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February 7th Storm Threat Discussion/Obs

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Pouring snow...started about 5:15ish and we are closing in on 2.5" on elevated areas and normal favored surfaces.

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Moderate snow and 32 down here just north of charlottesville. Rain hung in a little longer than we all hoped but nice to sip coffee and watch it snow now. Epic jebwalk about to commence

 

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All snow now. Moderate wet snow. The transition from drizzle, to rain-snow, to all snow took about 15 minutes. La Plata. 32/32

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5 minutes ago, WxMan1 said:

Still a snow and rain mix here in Crofton, 35°F.

Evoking lots of memories of Snowquester here (March 6, 2012). Without the cold antecedent airmass, those that will do well (better) are our friends over higher elevations and/or under FGEN, perhaps convective banding. Otherwise, meh. 

Yeah this is the key for the coastal plain a bit later. Always has been, but with a weaker system than previously forecast, and somewhat more easterly track, it remains to be seen where and to what extent this occurs.

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5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I can verify this statement lol.

Sorry. We needed the more amped up solution to cool the boundary layer. It’s not just the precip. Yea we have good moisture transport out of the gulf streaming north ahead of the NS trough but the more amped coastal would have added a northerly surface wind component and helped a little. Might still. The low seems to be a little slower getting it’s act together. Maybe we get a late save as it passes the outer banks if it can amplify enough. 

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4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Just flipped to all snow here. Hoping it drops SE to you quickly.

Had a little lull here to lighter snow and smaller flakes, but picking back up again. I’m hoping the models didn’t have the banding exactly right last night because I think we were in no man’s land.

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