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WinterWxLuvr

Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED

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1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

 

Please wait. I’m begging you.

5FBD5A42-8B1E-4B21-8063-B5463B429E69.jpeg.99851bcb71b5a49fcdeb8f457bb94ff1.jpeg

Are we that superstitious? we could never make a thread and its gonna do what its gonna do with or without it. 

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Just now, mappy said:

Are we that superstitious? we could never make a thread and its gonna do what its gonna do with or without it. 

I sometimes think people are being serious....like they are that superstitious.   Winterwxlvr might be joking tho.....:unsure:

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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

The GFS is starting to lose the idea of pumping up the SE ridge in the long range as well. Early March could be interesting for sure. 

And think, two days ago you cancelled winter

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After reading most of the posts from this morning, it looks like the main issue is suppression.

How does one suppress PSU's concerns over the NAM?  

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Someone may do a Leroy Jenkins soon and just post one! I do laugh at "Science Minded" people that are all about evidence based truth.. then get all bent out of shape on a Jinx and curse of a storm thread! 

To quote a famous song! "God is great. Beer is good. But people are crazy!"

Weather Weenies are crazier!

:D 

My banter shall end here!

 

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2 hours ago, snowfan said:

Let me explain how the NAM wins. Post 1/20.

Crazy how accurate this was. So predictable.

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Posts weren't deleted folks, just moved to banter.  There are weirdos here who actually like reading about the weather and models on a weather board in a weather thread.

Let's get hype for the Euro

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Posts weren't deleted folks, just moved to banter.  There are weirdos here who actually like reading about the weather and models on a weather board in a weather thread.

Let's get hype for the Euro

Non event. NAM says so. So it’s NAM vs Everyone

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38 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

All time classic.  Top 5 fave for me.

We had a small fire last night but we caught it in the nick of time...

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Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

GA

Uh, the little grey part in NE GA baby!

That map is cool though, I bet it's not TOO unusual for there to be some snow in like OK, TX, TN most of the winter.  But definitely cool seeing decent snow cover in MS, AL, LA.  What an incredible pattern.

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1 minute ago, Round Hill WX said:

Very nice 700MB advection/frontogenesis in the right quad exit region of the jet on the 12z GFS. Explains the heavy burst graphically.

 

Great post. The beauty of getting just a little help from compressed flow to our north is it creates a heavy lifting zone as deep moisture streams in. Won't be 10:1 or greater ratios (imo only) but it could literally snow it's eyeballs out for a time like we havent seen yet this year. I'm going to be skeptical af until it's happening. Nice to see legit mid level fronto as deep moisture is already overhead. Not bad. Not bad at all

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Vort north of New England slightly west, compressing the flow better in the east coast.

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Flow is also a little flatter in front 

Yea, euro is likely going to add a few miles to the wiggle room cache. Me likey fo sho

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Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

It's a pretty substantial run to run shift comparing 12z to 00z.  

 

Just now, Bob Chill said:

Yea, euro is likely going to add a few miles to the wiggle room cache. Me likey fo sho

I was kinda joking earlier about suppression but if we keep going at this rate.....:lol:

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