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WxUSAF

January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)

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Still a good hit, but 12z was better. Didn't move through as fast.   

This run starts 12hrs earlier and is a shorter duration event.

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Just now, stormtracker said:

lol, 7 to 15", less north to most south.  DC at around a foot on pivotal

was about to say you are underselling it a bit! waiting to post the kuchera lol map till it ends but... it's more than nice. it's a great @Ji run

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Just now, Amped said:

Still a good hit, but 12z was better. Didn't move through as fast.   

This run starts 12hrs earlier and is a shorter duration event.

12z defintely was NOT better

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2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

1611684000-MR8JZCOtAPU.png

subtract .1" from the snow the EURO gives us overnight. :P

Whoa! High ratio fluff? 

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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Right where you want it.

That block is legit. If the NS doesn’t phase with the TPV like the gfs...this won’t gain much latitude imo. But there is always room for a 30 mile tweak that gets the death band to Carroll county lol. 

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Just now, Scraff said:

Whoa! High ratio fluff? 

temps are good the whole time. surface starts somewhat marginal but 850s never in doubt. high ratios literally never pan out but... doesn't look like garbage.

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Just now, stormtracker said:

12z defintely was NOT better

12z was better in N MD.   00z was better in DC and VA.  

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Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

Hmmm...not comparing the amounts just the placement and gradient. That one came out of the southwest too. It was just more organized. 

92A6B6A5-F062-4337-B160-4C9437C5C736.jpeg

3F23598D-FE22-4834-8CCB-0138C2DB281B.jpeg

The setup has some similarities. That was a nino so a healthier STJ. This will hit a brick wall similar to how that one did. Similar blocking. 

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3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The setup has some similarities. That was a nino so a healthier STJ. This will hit a brick wall similar to how that one did. Similar blocking. 

Hopefully we get to call it baby snowmageddon or junior? I’m in Philly but I’d def chase to W VA if euro is right. This H5 of feb 3 2010 but you can see the storm forming in southwest just like this one. Good point on the nino stj. Night. Hopefully another good day tomorrow.

3DD5EE32-4814-4C8C-BE75-7FBD94419476.gif

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Seems like we have a good starting time too. Won’t have to worry about that sun angle for a few hours. :P

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0z EPS is a great improvement.. awaiting snow means but def a fair more solutions like the Euro. 

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