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40/70 Benchmark

January 2021

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4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not exactly high stakes....

Nice storm in Cali on Monday. They need it a helluva lot more than us.

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20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I first joined Eastern in  2004.  This is by far the most tedious winter discussion thread of all those years.

M A K E    I T   S T O P.

Yup! That's when I started lurking here, The only thing that comes close is 11/12 after the halloween storm. Even then we had at least a few couple inchers to track

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All those good vibes on models and north trends yesterday totally gone. -NAO are no good for New England . Cold and dry now into early Feb. What in the sam hell happened last night? Op euro with a dusting to the pike is the wettest . EPS went way south 

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10 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z eps was pretty decent looking...one more bump north would be ideal though...it’s good that primary is trying to rip up into Ohio...would like to get it tickling CLE eventually  

image.png.3e9bce7a28b82d31517bd37a129bc65b.png

 

image.png.21ea2a55bf891138c293d5e87ed6d332.png

 

This was the 00z run. 

image.png.4ff6a2376344de9af6d96df26db56cd8.png

image.png.e13c76a198d3838e140632cca3b89df6.png

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So what went right during the 04/05 season..I remember there being a consistent Greenland block/-NAO from late Jan on. The PAC must have been more cooperative? Although, it did favor the coast still so maybe those further inland would curse that season

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22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

All those good vibes on models and north trends yesterday totally gone. -NAO are no good for New England . Cold and dry now into early Feb. What in the sam hell happened last night? Op euro with a dusting to the pike is the wettest . EPS went way south 

Euro was 2-4” pike south. You ok man?

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26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

All those good vibes on models and north trends yesterday totally gone. -NAO are no good for New England . Cold and dry now into early Feb. What in the sam hell happened last night? Op euro with a dusting to the pike is the wettest . EPS went way south 

So  the three to four inches on the ground by the weekend is out?

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Pretty noticeable south move there. Hopefully comes back north this afternoon 

I wouldn't call it noticeable. Ukie has some snow too. For 5-6 days out, there is plenty of wiggle room. 

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4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Normally, I’d say that looks decent for at least advisory snows up to the Pike. Maybe even S NH. This winter, not so sure. 

You’re not wrong. It’s weakening as it approaches... so the further east and northeast you are, the worse off.

Im not expecting much here honestly. Maybe SW CT gets something decent.

Even on the guidance hitting us.... by the time it reaches most of the area, it’s pretty weak sauce.

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3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

You’re not wrong. It’s weakening as it approaches... so the further east and northeast you are, the worse off.

Im not expecting much here honestly. Maybe SW CT gets something decent.

Even on the guidance hitting us.... by the time it reaches most of the area, it’s pretty weak sauce.

Well shoot, but I agree. Besides maybe Ray, I’m in a pretty bad spot for this one. SW CT looks good for a few. 

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22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro was 2-4” pike south. You ok man?

The Jim Jones pattern

You gotta be looney to like what you see 

Drink this koolaid- doesn’t the pattern look very good ...ahh yes

 

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Tough to say who looks good and who doesn't this far out. But I will gladly take any snow from those who don't want an advisory's worth. 

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4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Well shoot, but I agree. Besides maybe Ray, I’m in a pretty bad spot for this one. SW CT looks good for a few. 

Looking good 5 days out rarely pans out. 

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30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If that’s what you forecast then bust I Guess?

Good thing he didn’t.

On 1/16/2021 at 1:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

4”+ is a lock OTG by this time next Sat

 

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