Henry's Weather Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Moderate event on gfs for 1/26 verbatim. Late, sloppy transfer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 LOL, So we have Scott, Ray, Kevin, Will, Tip and many others and now questions about the the Groundhog! God help us ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Moderate event on gfs for 1/26 verbatim. Late, sloppy transfer. At least it’s still there...that’s all that matters at this juncture. Appreciate the info :-). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I know what he meant. But it snows outside of MET winter A LOT. He knows that. And the Guy’s nothing but a Troll. looks like an ATV was a better choice versus the snowmobile 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Just now, Dr. Dews said: looks like an ATV was a better choice versus the snowmobile Bro you suck. You bring zero value to this board..absolutely ZILCH. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Bro you suck. You bring zero value to this board..absolutely ZILCH. Lol you just can’t resist. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lol you just can’t resist. Too easy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Glorious Sunday in Chicago! About an inch down from light intermittent snow. Might pick up another inch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Feels like one of those windy CAD days in March. Smells of burning leaves in the air with opening day a few days away. The senses are all screwed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I know ..it's hilarious - I wonder ... the last 20 years ( we've had this conversation before - I'll keep it comparatively brief ...) we have had not only more snow than any other 20 year period probably dating back 300 years of climo ( check that; it just seems so), more importantly: It was also 20 years of constant cinema. The excitement quotient was concomitantly ...exceptionally dosing! Perhaps we are just conditioned to expect more drama now, and that "euphoria" drug we joke about, when opening the models and seeing 8 to 10 isobars closed off over ACK becomes ...almost 'entitled' ? We're talking years bombs and over-achieving SWFE and Katrina's and Maria's and Sumatran subduction thrust events...my god. Hell hath no fury like entitlement "unjustly" unrealized. Lol. Like, the sin of god himself to impose normalcy. just sayn' Afterthought: I realize we may not have actually had more 20-year totals than other 20-year blocks of time in the past... I do know that when it's on, we over-achieved more frequently per features and season. Btw, folks,..that is/was modeled by climate change science - fwiw... A metric was proposed all along by guidance and science therein, that the atmosphere holds more WV in a warming world. Mechanisms that release that WV will increase proficiency ... You know, I was actually thinking the other day “this was pretty normal when I was growing up”....granted, I grew up during some lean snow times including the worst 4 consecutive year stretch on record at ORH, but still. It was totally normal to go weeks with nothing except maybe an inch here or 2-3 inches there and never anything significant. Scott and I used to joke about how stoked we’d get when Mets were forecasting like 3-6” or 4-8”. That seemed like a HUGE storm back then. These days, we’re pissing and whining when we get 12” and someone else is getting a 30” mesoband. How spoiled rotten we have become. It’s funny how if we just keep getting skunked all this week, then maybe we score a relatively modest 6” on the 1/26 threat, we’d still be above average for snowfall. Lol. It’s like we collectively couldn’t recover from the sting of the Grinch storm. I’d bet the tenure of the season would be 100% different if we spent the last week of December and first two weeks of January with a sublimating 8” glacier left from the 12/17 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You know, I was actually thinking the other day “this was pretty normal when I was growing up”....granted, I grew up during some lean snow times including the worst 4 consecutive year stretch on record at ORH, but still. It was totally normal to go weeks with nothing except maybe an inch here or 2-3 inches there and never anything significant. Scott and I used to joke about how stoked we’d get when Mets were forecasting like 3-6” or 4-8”. That seemed like a HUGE storm back then. These days, we’re pissing and whining when we get 12” and someone else is getting a 30” mesoband. How spoiled rotten we have become. It’s funny how if we just keep getting skunked all this week, then maybe we score a relatively modest 6” on the 1/26 threat, we’d still be above average for snowfall. Lol. It’s like we collectively couldn’t recover from the sting of the Grinch storm. I’d bet the tenure of the season would be 100% different if we spent the last week of December and first two weeks of January with a sublimating 8” glacier left from the 12/17 storm. Yeah and the entire second half of the storm down this way was like 1:6 type stuff...12” of serious meat and potatoes type pack. Didn’t stand a chance against that grinch, vaporized it in 12 hours. Who knows, if that didn’t happen we still could have had some of the glacier pack around today. Well, subtract yesterday’s rain too, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 CMC went from a cutter to a whiff in one run, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You know, I was actually thinking the other day “this was pretty normal when I was growing up”....granted, I grew up during some lean snow times including the worst 4 consecutive year stretch on record at ORH, but still. It was totally normal to go weeks with nothing except maybe an inch here or 2-3 inches there and never anything significant. Scott and I used to joke about how stoked we’d get when Mets were forecasting like 3-6” or 4-8”. That seemed like a HUGE storm back then. These days, we’re pissing and whining when we get 12” and someone else is getting a 30” mesoband. How spoiled rotten we have become. It’s funny how if we just keep getting skunked all this week, then maybe we score a relatively modest 6” on the 1/26 threat, we’d still be above average for snowfall. Lol. It’s like we collectively couldn’t recover from the sting of the Grinch storm. I’d bet the tenure of the season would be 100% different if we spent the last week of December and first two weeks of January with a sublimating 8” glacier left from the 12/17 storm. This times a thousand. Growing up in SRI I was ecstatic over a 4 to 8 call. To the whiny butts please stop. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lol you just can’t resist. I could have easily resisted...I wanted to bark at that guy. It felt Good. Now back to the gentler Wolfie...we good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Gefs more squashed than 6z runs and 12z op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You know, I was actually thinking the other day “this was pretty normal when I was growing up”....granted, I grew up during some lean snow times including the worst 4 consecutive year stretch on record at ORH, but still. It was totally normal to go weeks with nothing except maybe an inch here or 2-3 inches there and never anything significant. Scott and I used to joke about how stoked we’d get when Mets were forecasting like 3-6” or 4-8”. That seemed like a HUGE storm back then. These days, we’re pissing and whining when we get 12” and someone else is getting a 30” mesoband. How spoiled rotten we have become. It’s funny how if we just keep getting skunked all this week, then maybe we score a relatively modest 6” on the 1/26 threat, we’d still be above average for snowfall. Lol. It’s like we collectively couldn’t recover from the sting of the Grinch storm. I’d bet the tenure of the season would be 100% different if we spent the last week of December and first two weeks of January with a sublimating 8” glacier left from the 12/17 storm. It may have been normal to go a couple weeks with nothing. But even in the 80’s we would never go a month and now more than a month with no snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It may have been normal to go a couple weeks with nothing. But even in the 80’s we would never go a month and now more than a month with no snow falling mm... I dunno Kev I can distinctly recall 40 day stints of really not even seeing a flurry. I remember the weeks after that 1987 planetary alignment storm... that ended winter. Feb and March nothing... 1989 ? come on man - Thanks Giving was the whole winter that year pretty much. It's actually kind of a silly conversation point because we both know that every decade has ratters ... And even in 'partial ratters' that have a good event or two nested in dearths of events, those years will still put three week stints of ennui in the books pretty commonly. Realistically ? not, ..or should not be considered that uncommon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It may have been normal to go a couple weeks with nothing. But even in the 80’s we would never go a month and now more than a month with no snow falling I had 1” on 1/1 on the front end, 2” on 1/3, a half inch on 1/5, and a coating on 1/14. This is what it would be like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It may have been normal to go a couple weeks with nothing. But even in the 80’s we would never go a month and now more than a month with no snow falling No, it was pretty bad at times in the 80’s bud. This wouldn’t have been that uncommon. But With that said...it still sucks. Hopefully something breaks our way soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 35 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I could have easily resisted...I wanted to bark at that guy. It felt Good. Now back to the gentler Wolfie...we good. So easy for him to get under the skin, but I get it. It is worse when the winter weather scenes is just so crappy at the moment. Up at our place in the Adirondacks they have a foot or more and I know people are running the sleds but the conditions are not optimal,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It may have been normal to go a couple weeks with nothing. But even in the 80’s we would never go a month and now more than a month with no snow falling But you were above climo back in Mid December so you should be satisfied. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Just now, Cold Miser said: So easy for him to get under the skin, but I get it. It is worse when the winter weather scenes is just so crappy at the moment. Up at our place in the Adirondacks they have a foot or more and I know people are running the sleds but the conditions are not optimal,. Pretty sure that foot will be 2 by Wed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Gfs still looked nice on the 26ish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: So easy for him to get under the skin, but I get it. It is worse when the winter weather scenes is just so crappy at the moment. Up at our place in the Adirondacks they have a foot or more and I know people are running the sleds but the conditions are not optimal,. Yes..your completely correct. :-) Ya, in northern Maine where I do my sledding, they’re all riding too...not optimal, but not all that bad either. Gotta make the best of it sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Curious did any MET predicted a poor snowfall season with great blocking? If so kudos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Euro sucks for the 26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: Euro sucks for the 26th Probably for the best because you just know that the cutter for 2/1 on the GFS will verify, wiping out anything from 1/26. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Lol 9 days away and 15 days away respectively...not worried by OP runs at this far lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Euro sucks for the 26th I'm wondering if the EPS carries it or at least some - The GEFs actually have several members with blizzards. Sort of imagine "PD1" but a further N. track compared to that one - Will would be the better one to reference but I'm pretty sure that first variation of the straight E Miller B boning on northern extent scenario had milk cirrus and flurries to the Pike with CCB blizzard conditions in PHL-DCA... Digress - Another aspect that's interesting is that 2/3rds of those members have a storm and of those, they're all snow really... Usually at this range, they are all rain - not sure if that means anything but. Anyway, point is ... I wonder if the operational Euro is a rare weaker outlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol 9 days away and 15 days away respectively...not worried by OP runs at this far lead. Its holding energy back Not worried 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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