CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: We rain? Better chance where you are, but just way too many questions right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Was hoping for a glancing blow or not much at all given my back situation, but that 6z Euro/NAM is telling me to get gas for the blower. I don’t expect the GFS to latch on until T-12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 We going to Poundtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 23 minutes ago, Allsnow said: And it’s over again, awful model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 RPM whiffs. Probably not a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We going to Poundtown Please don't post websites that you partake in. The forum thanks you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 There is going to be some folks that get a maple mauling, On the fence right now on the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 EPS is east of 00z too. looks similar to the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Somethings happening here, what it is ain't exactly clearThere's a NAM 6Z run over there, telling me I've got to beware. Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 26 minutes ago, qg_omega said: And it’s over again, awful model Another coup d'état for the GFS. America is back on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Please don't post websites that you partake in. The forum thanks you. Beers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Beers? Cold Brew Iced Coffee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Well, I am firmly in the crosshairs now. GFS is coming around. The 06z Euro is a thing of beauty. It can stop moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beers? Nice comeback, I got a chuckle out of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Euro caves. GFS/Euro blend at this point is the best forecast imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Individuals... still a ton of spread and a surprising amount of non-events mixed with some really jacked up ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 That is some ridiculous EPS individual spread. Huge differences. One potentially troubling issue is the late development. Seems to be bombing ever so later each run which we'll see if that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 hour ago, wdrag said: 90Left of the 850 LOW...that's a start on max axis (provided cold enough)... nothing has changed since that was uncovered decades ago. 90 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 90 miles? Yes. It's an old school forecasting rule that has held up pretty well over the years for well developed storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 90 miles? Yeah, give or take. That's usually related to 700 low and banding, but can vary depending on bombing, shape and orientation of mid level low etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: I’ll take my 15 inches on the NAM. I’m sure Luke would be ok with that too. Don’t. Do. It. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro caves. GFS/Euro blend at this point is the best forecast imho. Still think North and East in NE is where it as it with this...aside from parting gifts. Think the action way out west is being overplayed attm. I'll have a first call out today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah, give or take. That's usually related to 700 low and banding, but can vary depending on bombing, shape and orientation of mid level low etc. Yea, I usually look immediately NW of H7 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I usually look immediately NW of H7 low. Yeah especially with this one, even closer to 500. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still think North and East in NE is where it as it with this...aside from parting gifts. Think the action way out west is being overplayed attm. I'll have a first call out today. Euro being the NW outlier is something we've seen before at this time range and I feel like we know how it ends. 70/30 compromise...... We'll see though, this one is a bear on guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 15 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: That is some ridiculous EPS individual spread. Huge differences. One potentially troubling issue is the late development. Seems to be bombing ever so later each run which we'll see if that continues. Even the GEFS at 6z... just huge spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 23 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Individuals... still a ton of spread and a surprising amount of non-events mixed with some really jacked up ones. Late-bloom aspect very prevalent in those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 20 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: That is some ridiculous EPS individual spread. Huge differences. One potentially troubling issue is the late development. Seems to be bombing ever so later each run which we'll see if that continues. YES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Late-bloom aspect very prevalent in those. Yeah that's generally the climo favored way to go. I can't remember the last storm to phase faster and earlier than models progged at Day 3. But plenty phase later than models show at Day 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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