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Bostonseminole

SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2020

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2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

and we had that storm in the Mediterranean 

Medicane, pretty powerful in Greece from the vids I saw. Peak season now, about to wind down if modeling is right. We will get our annual Halloween ST storm

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15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

East of Bermuda and peeps still saying there is time????

Yeah, it's only 100mi E of Bermuda but there is still plenty of time to pull the entire hemispheric pattern West 500 mi to have it hit us.

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18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

There's gonna be some nasty winds on the eastern side of that as it interacts with the HP off to the NE of it.  Gonna be a tight gradient. 

EURO actually drops mslp to 947 just outside NS before it occluded. Massive expansion of 850 wind field as it transition. 

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EURO actually drops mslp to 947 just outside NS before it occluded. Massive expansion of 850 wind field as it transition. 

Hurricanes at this latitude can do funny things. Lots parts interacting and coming apart with potentially explosive results.


#NovaScotiaStrong
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15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Good luck over there. Definitely a serious event if the modeling has it right. Southern shoreline gets rocked as that transition takes place. 
 

aBq2G2v.png

You already know to do the standard weenie reduction with this one below

zeD719A.png

113 mph converted!!

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35 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Wow tropical cyclone alpha off the coast of PORTUGAL? Who had them in the cyclone pool? Has that ever happened before? (The location not the Greek name)

I was in England 3 years ago when Hurricane Ophelia struck the British Isles.  Main impacts were in Ireland and Wales, but did get a bit breezy around Manchester.  I also have a vague recollection of another tropical storm or hurricane hitting Portugal or Spain a few years ago, but can't recall when.

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1 hour ago, HimoorWx said:

I was in England 3 years ago when Hurricane Ophelia struck the British Isles.  Main impacts were in Ireland and Wales, but did get a bit breezy around Manchester.  I also have a vague recollection of another tropical storm or hurricane hitting Portugal or Spain a few years ago, but can't recall when.

Ophelia went extratropical 9-12 hours before hitting Ireland. Vince  in 2005 was downgraded to a TD just before landfall in Spain.

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2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Good luck over there. Definitely a serious event if the modeling has it right. Southern shoreline gets rocked as that transition takes place. 
 

aBq2G2v.png

You already know to do the standard weenie reduction with this one below

zeD719A.png

Looks like my fully bloomed panicle hydrangeas get spared the worst here on the south shore lol

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6 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

0z GFS would toss back a relatively short lived but very large E swell Tuesday Pm to N shore of mass Thru Mid coast Maine 

 

Yikes

 

Screenshot_20200919-072457_Chrome.jpg

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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

How large are we talking on this image?

 

You can the GFS/EURO slowed TEDDY  in the last day ...lingering at a favorable spot longer in the NE Mass/ SE NH/S Maine swell window . The  slight "hook" back west happens at a latitude much more favorable to deliver a bombing East Swell 

14.6 feet at 16 seconds is what i see for "the wall" Near Hampton Beach NH Tuesday late afternoon.  I can't recall bigger for that spot

 

Looks like Based on a East Swell you can count on surf crashing well over the wall At Nantasket and Nahant later Tuesday afternoon and probably a lot of road closures . One of the last Very high Tides of the month is the Tues Pm high tide and that is mid P.M at Nahant. 

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16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

 

You can the GFS/EURO slowed TEDDY  in the last day ...lingering at a favorable spot longer in the NE Mass/ SE NH/S Maine swell window . The  slight "hook" back west happens at a latitude much more favorable to deliver a bombing East Swell 

14.6 feet at 16 seconds is what i see for "the wall" Near Hampton Beach NH Tuesday late afternoon.  I can't recall bigger for that spot

 

Looks like Based on a East Swell you can count on surf crashing well over the wall At Nantasket and Nahant later Tuesday afternoon and probably a lot of road closures . One of the last Very high Tides of the month is the Tues Pm high tide and that is mid P.M at Nahant. 

This will bang.  New Moon Goon

Screenshot_20200919-143624_Chrome.jpg

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34 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Ok, I think I can enjoy a beach day on Tuesday. I know nothing about surf, but 10-20 ft swells sound interesting. Thanks @Ginx snewx & @STILL N OF PIKE.

Just realize the swell be down considerably along RI coast as it begins to come from more Due east Tuesday p.m and aims at Eastern Ma/NH/S Maine sections .

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Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Right now I’m thinking NE Mass (the areas you mentioned) or the Cape. Not too far a drive. 

Awesome Man! Salisbury beach is Gorgeous with Great Public access. Other areas may see closures along shore. Anything North of Chatham on Cape will be EPIC.

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7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Just realize the swell be down considerably along RI coast as it begins to come from more Due east Tuesday p.m and hits Eastern Ma/NH/S Maine sections hardest

Awesome trip to Ptown with 20 to 30 footers. 10 to 15 RI coast 

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Awesome Man! Salisbury beach is Gorgeous with Great Public access. Other areas may see closures along shore. Anything North of Chatham on Cape will be EPIC.

yea Gulf of Maine, even Gloucester should be nutz

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Awesome trip to Ptown with 20 to 30 footers. 10 to 15 RI coast 

Race point faces Due north in Truro, and should be onshore and not really having much East Exposure but Truro to Eastham should "Jack". 

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