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MountainGeek

Tuesday 1/7/20 Disco snow event

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Just now, arlwx said:

WTOP just announced Fauquier County VA schools will have early dismissal.  Secondary schools dismiss at 11:30 a.m.; Elementary schools and Marshal MS dismiss at 12:30 p.m.

Loudoun, Rappahannock, Frederick and Madison are closed all day. 

 

And nothing for PWC yet. Odd

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32 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said:

27/25. Overnight runs have me a bit more worried but I’ll trust the euro

it will be fine but I agree you are walking the line like Johnny Cash.  It might come down to miles making the difference.  If I remember correctly you are east of the fall line but not by much.  maybe the 6z Euro will look solid.  just a few days ago even snow tv didn't look likely so at least that is almost certain.

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22 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I am not really sure I understand why areas further east get hosed on this since it seems the precip would arrive later tonight when its cold.

But I don't really care. This is a non event for everyone except the western mountains.

The air mass is not a cold one. Its cold this morning because it was perfect radiational cooling conditions overnight.

If the track were perfect, as guidance was suggesting over the past day or 2, then it might work out for eastern areas. Trends across guidance is a closer to the coast track, and with no real source of cold air, it comes down to dynamics. Best dynamics now appear to be coincident with the areas that tend to do well in marginal setups- inland.elevated, and less low level warming with the coastal. If this were not such a fast mover, then even with the further north/west track there might be some decent snow for eastern areas as the lower levels cool on the backside. That is not the case, however. Also a HP to the N or NW would change the outcome, but that also is not the case.

Now, continue whinging.

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16 minutes ago, arlwx said:

WTOP just announced Fauquier County VA schools will have early dismissal.  Secondary schools dismiss at 11:30 a.m.; Elementary schools and Marshal MS dismiss at 12:30 p.m.

Loudoun, Rappahannock, Frederick and Madison are closed all day. 

 

Frederick Co MD on time. But I suspect seeing an early dismissal announced. If the schools get to noon it is considered a full day. And going off the event we had like this last year, and their wait to release 2 hrs. early and buses running in snow with one off the mountain roads. 

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27 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I am not really sure I understand why areas further east get hosed on this since it seems the precip would arrive later tonight when its cold.

But I don't really care. This is a non event for everyone except the western mountains.

Later tonight????   This event is over by 8pm at the latest.  

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29/22 skies are mostly clouded over, but rising sun to the east is filtering through while still low to the horizon. 

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32 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said:

And nothing for PWC yet. Odd

WTOP just announced PWC closing two hours early.

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1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Yeah at least it still gives my yard a half inch or so verbatim.

Take comfort in knowing your sacrifice benefits the greater good.

 

 

 

 

i.e., snow in my yard

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11 minutes ago, high risk said:

Later tonight????   This event is over by 8pm at the latest.  

He is always lost.

He is moaning despite his area being under a WWA for an inch or 2 of snow.

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Satellite shows cloud deck racing in but I can see sun peeking up.  Come on angle of the stratus!!!!

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I am definitely seeing some commutageddon scenario with this one. Obviously not as bad as the 2011 storm but with the heaviest stuff coming 2-6 pm it could get ugly. 

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7 minutes ago, H2O said:

Satellite shows cloud deck racing in but I can see sun peeking up.  Come on angle of the stratus!!!!

Inbound stratus angle.. that's gotta be a new one for the weenie handbook

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Just now, clskinsfan said:

Cloudy 27//19 here NW of Winchester. I am on my way to Harrisonburg. Looks like it is already snowing down that way? 

Took about an hour of decent radar returns overhead here before the 'snow snow' started to come down. Was just flurries earlier.

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