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Ginx snewx

Happy Birthday Old Man Winter storm obs

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2 hours ago, Hoth said:

Eyeballing maybe 2.5-3". At the very least it has a wintry appeal out there, which is all I need at this point in the season. Congrats everyone who cleaned up!

do you have an exact number yet?

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8 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

You still accumulating?  East kids win again...

Lol only 8 here can't compare with you valley girls

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I think the bands have maxed. You can see a little lessening of the echoes in SNE. The stuff in Maine may try to clip Essex county, but it will lose the forcing that is helping generate it.

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4 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

that's it?? destroyed just to the southeast a few miles

Yes, I still consider it a positive bust considering the reputation of the Springfield area. Congrats on your 20, that's awesome.

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think the bands have maxed. You can see a little lessening of the echoes in SNE. The stuff in Maine may try to clip Essex county, but it will lose the forcing that is helping generate it.

Agreed.  Def getting more shredded

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5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think the bands have maxed. You can see a little lessening of the echoes in SNE. The stuff in Maine may try to clip Essex county, but it will lose the forcing that is helping generate it.

I agree. I'd be willing to bet on one more band of heavy snow organizing, though....

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1 hour ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Congratulations, you finally avoided the valley snowhole.

And he looks like the jackpot of the valley too.  No more complaints...lol

I had 14" from both rounds and am very happy.  I think there's a layer of at least 3-4" of sleet under last nights 8" which should have some good staying power.

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There's a bit of an enhanced plume about to rotate SW out of lower Maine and quickly...  Maybe a good inch in that - 

I'm now 6.5" since this recommenced last evening here in Ayer.  Bringing the two day storm total to 15.5" ... HRRR ftw ? 

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22 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Decent bursts keep rotating through. ASH has been a good spot for some biggies the last few years.

Started shoveling around 630. Each time I finished a chunk of the driveway it had another 1/2-1 inch on it.  Puked beautiful dendrites while I was out there.

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

There's a bit of an enhanced plume about to rotate SW out of lower Maine and quickly...  Maybe a good inch in that - 

I'm now 6.5" since this recommenced last evening here in Ayer.  Bringing the two day total storm total to 15.5" ... HRRR ftw ? 

HRRR was so bad last night, RGEM, CMC, GFS, 3k NAM even a version of the ARW had caught on to the ULL by then

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7 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

HRRR was so bad last night, RGEM, CMC, GFS, 3k NAM even a version of the ARW had caught on to the ULL by then

Yeah honestly I don't actually pay much attention to those hyper ala carte model types ... For all conceits and purposes of tech and excruciating computing power, they seem to throw almost as many variances, where just using the global models and smoothing them in mind's eye toward common sense works just as well.  

But, part of the "don't really use the HRRR" means lack of exposure to that guidance sourcing; so objective fairness requires that I don't actually impugn the model -  I'm just saying as such from what I gather from what people post about it. Good and bad... and I'm lazy? ...so I rely on the smoothing above.  

That said, Will mentioned the HRRR snowing through mid afternoon and that seems to be matching well - that's all I know ...haha 

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3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah honestly I don't actually pay much attention to those hyper ala carte model types ... For all conceits and purposes of tech and excruciating computing power, they seem to throw almost as many variances, where just using the global models and smoothing them in mind's eye toward common sense works just as well.  

But, part of the "don't really use the HRRR" means lack of exposure to that guidance sourcing; so objective fairness requires that I don't actually impugn the model -  I'm just saying as such from what I gather from what people post about it. Good and bad... and I'm lazy? ...so I rely on the smoothing above.  

That said, Will mentioned the HRRR snowing through mid afternoon and that seems to be matching well - that's all I know ...haha 

It also nailed the north/central CT enhancement  last night better than most.

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8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Up to 11.0” with that heavy band the last hour. 

Ha ha... 

Kevin could figuratively put his lap top down, stand up...walk out his front door, and down to the end of his street and he'd be out of the storms western periphery and not part it for that 2 minute excursion... Yet it's all, " up to 11.0" this and that on this last heavy band ...  

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