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George BM

June Discobs 2019

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6 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Today is a mother****ing classic!!

Holy hell this is amazing.  Sitting on the patio longing for sweatpants and a sweatshirt.  This is a carbon copy of July 4th 2014.

Yea...feels great!

64/43 . I'm hoping to see my breath in the early morning lol

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8 hours ago, Sparky said:

2007 high 79 low 58

2008 high 78 low 63

2009 high 80 low 58

Thanks...those definitely would not be the year I'm thinking of.  Maybe it was 2014 and I'm getting old lol. 

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12 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

With this blocking  setup I wonder if we don't get a low to cutoff under us and crush us with rain for days if it came together right .

 

500hv.na (1)_crop_899x849.png

Before the 20th of June we'll have a flood.

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My just brewed hot coffee will not even stay warm outside.  I LOVE THIS WEATHER !!!!!  

Also, I don't see any bugs. :D Dropped to 47 degrees here as the low last night. 

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11 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Before the 20th of June we'll have a flood.

My thoughts as well . At least isolated chances especially between day 6 to day 10 . Some  Gefs members starting to show the potential for multiple slow moving waves of low pressure in the above time frame . 18z FV3 also was a pretty wet run for the east US thru day 10 . I bet models throw out some juiced  scenarios in the coming days with the pattern coming up . And a cutoff low is always a potential with this blocking . Beats tracking sunny and 85 

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20 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

My thoughts as well . At least isolated chances especially between day 6 to day 10 . Some  Gefs members starting to show the potential for multiple slow moving waves of low pressure in the above time frame . 18z FV3 also was a pretty wet run for the east US thru day 10 . I bet models throw out some juiced  scenarios in the coming days with the pattern coming up . And a cutoff low is always a potential with this blocking . Beats tracking sunny and 85 

Big rain potential early next week, surprise , surprise

 

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd


 

a lot of this is day 6 and 7 for us 

 

 p168i.gif?1559768418

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LWX afternoon AFD hitting on the heavy rain threat starting Sunday into next week:

Quote
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A upper level low will move to our south in the southeastern US. A
Frontal boundary will be situated over Georgia and South
Carolina on Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
situated over the carolinas and Georgia. Temperatures will be
mild in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

The upper level low will start to break down and merged with the
larger upper level flow Sunday through Tuesday. Shortwave energies
will eject from the upper low and move through our region.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible Sunday
through Monday. A cold front is forecast to move through our
region late Monday into Tuesday and bring more widespread
showers and thunderstorms. As continued showers and
thunderstorms will be possible Sunday through Tuesday, the
region could be in for a flood threat. At this time we will need
to continue the monitor the model trends to see if they start
to show agreement. Temperatures during this period will remain
mild in the mid 70s to low 80s.

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1 minute ago, yoda said:

LWX afternoon AFD hitting on the heavy rain threat starting Sunday into next week:

Quote


 

Meanwhile the rain that was moving our way today on the radar, has dissapated significantly. While Dewey Beach and Southern most locations are getting strong storms.  

Need to go water veggies now, boooo !  

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today's weather is an example of how legendary the humidity here can be.  less than 24 hrs ago, it felt like the colorado mountains.  today is back to what we do best.

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30 minutes ago, frd said:

Meanwhile the rain that was moving our way today on the radar, has dissapated significantly. While Dewey Beach and Southern most locations are getting strong storms.  

Need to go water veggies now, boooo !  

The storms did miss us to the south but the worst part was the 15,000 feet cloud top crapvection where I am.

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51 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Just one op run but Gfs 6z shows several inches of rain through day 7 esp in the southern reaches of the forum  . Most falls day 5-7 

 

Screenshot_20190606-063636_Chrome_crop_540x736.jpg

Push that north and west 50 miles and we would be golden. Seems like an oddly familiar map in winter lol

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Moderate rain here now, a thread the needle scenario.  I will take it ! 

Normally we miss to the South  

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Just one op run but Gfs 6z shows several inches of rain through day 7 esp in the southern reaches of the forum  . Most falls day 5-7 

 

Screenshot_20190606-063636_Chrome_crop_540x736.jpg

 

 

The Euro supports this, but focused more to our South. WPC seems to echo that idea. 

GA has been so dry with the extreme heat lately, and after this,  so much for a powerful inland heat ridge.

 

 

3CB6EBE0-75BF-43B6-BCE9-0DF8C29D8172.thumb.png.9f26aac4ee910107a79157cf5075366c.png

 

 

 

 

 

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@frd

Yea...Va on south look favored right now but I'm interested to see when we get in short range what the meso models spit out . If they show multiple waves kicked out our way from the ull...and more importantly do they make it this far north . There could be some training setups 

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20 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

@frd

Yea...Va on south look favored right now but I'm interested to see when we get in short range what the meso models spit out . If they show multiple waves kicked out our way from the ull...and more importantly do they make it this far north . There could be some training setups 

Wouldn’t take much to cause problems around here even if we have trended dryer recently. 

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