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Midweek event, Yah or Nah? February 27-28th Clipper

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1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Will be nice to get an all snow event. 

You'll be able to use a leaf blower to get rid of what the 12z Nam has.

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12z Nam ticked south. There is a nice high to the north to provide cold air .

I'm on the fence down here but this looks like a nice little event for SNE to CNE.

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1 minute ago, dryslot said:

You'll be able to use a leaf blower to get rid of what the 12z Nam has.

Yeah, NAM is pretty weak sauce.

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Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Yeah, NAM is pretty weak sauce.

Fell apart as it crossed the Mass border

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2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

CJ signal Thursday afternoon 

It's a pretty good one too wth 900mb temps in the -10 to -11C range and like 10 knots onshore flow below the inversion. 

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Could be the NAM being the NAM... 

Also, the end frames one can almost visualize that as blossoming into some.   Heh, 'nother chapter in "The great claw and scrape by winter"

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Last event that was modeled to have a “weenie band “ was a SWFE and had good moisture stream from SW 

this one is N stream dominant , correct

dont be shocked when models see the dry fast flow and shredderola this next 24 hrs

down to an inch or so

if this was a SWFE I would be feeling different 

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6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Last event that was modeled to have a “weenie band “ was a SWFE and had good moisture stream from SW 

this one is N stream dominant , correct

dont be shocked when models see the dry fast flow and shredderola this next 24 hrs

down to an inch or so

if this was a SWFE I would be feeling different 

s/w isn't getting shredded like last time tho 

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1 minute ago, ma blizzard said:

s/w isn't getting shredded like last time tho 

Last time was a SWFE and it had a much better moisture influx, this is much drier and not a SWFE (unless I’m looking at stuff wrong) 

Screaming flow , pure n stream ....

maybe this will be the first N Stream system not to dry out in last 60 hrs lead up to event this year of compressed flow 

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14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Last event that was modeled to have a “weenie band “ was a SWFE and had good moisture stream from SW 

this one is N stream dominant , correct

dont be shocked when models see the dry fast flow and shredderola this next 24 hrs

down to an inch or so

if this was a SWFE I would be feeling different 

I wouldn't be shocked if it does. There is confluence to our north which will try to rip this to pieces. The other models look good though.

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This is a classic open wave isentropic lift event...there's no hard fast rules on them about whether they trend stronger or weaker as we get closer. I've seen both happen. 

It just depends on how the actual shortwave itself trends. Flip a coin. 

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9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Poor Pickles. Kid is just lost right now. Tough to see happen 

You should have literally 65-70 inches based on all your calls for snow this year.

well see what happens 

just looking for discussion other than snow cheerleading , I’ve seen 10 N stream “systems /events “ shredded . Bad  Luck

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You should have literally 65-70 inches based on all your calls for snow this year.

well see what happens 

just looking for discussion other than snow cheerleading , I’ve seen 10 N stream “systems /events “ shredded . Flip a coin 

All you do is downplay everything 

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4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You should have literally 165 -170 inches based on all your calls for snow this year.

well see what happens 

just looking for discussion other than snow cheerleading , I’ve seen 10 N stream “systems /events “ shredded . Bad  Luck

lol

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1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Will be nice to get an all snow event. 

Just saw the 6z Euro, the debbie in me is beginning to see this thing shift just far enough north that I end up seeing a dusting to an inch at most...Definitely not a SW CT winter this year. 

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16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

All you do is downplay everything 

And to be honest I criticize myself as well. Like I don’t look at things close enuf before posting sometimes. I asked if this was N stream only bc if so imo It would be shredded , but there appears to be some interaction with a s steam disturbance spawning a low Well south of benchmark

i would beleive we need to see this southern energy or there would be no onshore flow in C.J. town

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