Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Euro is a PSU jackpot so no complaining from the northern crew 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Deck Pic said: Can we get 20:1 ratios on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hurricanegiants said: How bad is it? Down to flurries? It doesn't look that much worse than 6z to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, good news is it's colder in the mids @ 18z tomorrow. Bad news is it stole half of our snow. The sad thing though is even as the precip has shifted east the temperature profiles have not so that the significant snow threat had decreased for everywhere. Less precip in general is getting thrown back into the cold. Thats because its really a deamplification trend which means less cross boundary flow to get precip into the cold sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Euro is a PSU jackpot so no complaining from the northern crew yea but the jackpot keeps getting less and less each run. See my other post. What good is being the jackpot when it ends up being 1-2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Connecticut looks good 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: It doesn't look that much worse than 6z to me... LOL... its not, and 6z wasnt THAT much worse than 0z, which wasnt that much worse than 12z.... but you don't see the direction this is heading? Some people look at exactly what each run shows...I tend to try to have a forward thinking idea of where its heading. This isn't heading anywhere good. BUT...it could flip around next run, or maybe we get a nice nowcast positive bust... never can write it off completely if there is a slug of precip riding along the boundary... but its not heading the way we want going into gametime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: yea but the jackpot keeps getting less and less each run. See my other post. What good is being the jackpot when it ends up being 1-2"? Watch the squalls on Wednesday overperform this pathetic event tomorrow. I can dream, right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, frd said: Watch the squalls on Wednesday overperform this pathetic event tomorrow. I can dream, right. euro says no, bone dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, frd said: Watch the squalls on Wednesday overperform this pathetic event tomorrow. I can dream, right. I could see Friday out performing tomorrow but that's not saying much. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: euro says no, bone dry And backed down a bit on the severity of the cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 So it sucked you all in for a 2nd time b4 pulling the rug again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: yea but the jackpot keeps getting less and less each run. See my other post. You're in the jackpot though. Don't be a sore winner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 @psuhoffman you do realize that you are the most likely to stay all snow and get the most accumulations out of this, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: I'll take it... easily. I don't get all the fuss especially from the northerners. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, MD Snow said: @psuhoffman you do realize that you are the most likely to stay all snow and get the most accumulations out of this, right? I think he realizes that. 3" sucks though when you have been on the short end of the stick all winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: yea but the jackpot keeps getting less and less each run. See my other post. What good is being the jackpot when it ends up being 1-2"? for all the complaining you have done about missing out on snow, you'd think you'd be happy with what you end up getting. but what do i know. this place has turned into a super duper negative place to be right now. and frankly, its not fun. good luck with your 1-2", hopefully you get more. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Fozz said: I'll take it... easily. I don't get all the fuss especially from the northerners. I will definitely take 3-4", especially when it falls in a shorter period. Even the 4" storm sucked since it took 24 hours to get that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: I think he realizes that. 3" sucks though when you have been on the short end of the stick all winter. 3" is fine when you're going into an Arctic blast. And it's not like there's much time for this to trend into a cartopper. As long as it looks like winter, I'll take what I can get from this, especially if it comes in a short time as you said. After all, we could be Boston and get nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ji said: So it sucked you all in for a 2nd time b4 pulling the rug again lol You still get 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Jackpot area continues to shift around. Between marginal temperatures and different models having different ideas on max qpf zone, this looks like a classic nowcast situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, Fozz said: I'll take it... easily. I don't get all the fuss especially from the northerners. Yeah it’s not a bad run considering it’s kind of just an arctic front, and not a real storm. If I get 1.5 inches I’ll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ji said: So it sucked you all in for a 2nd time b4 pulling the rug again lol exactly as Bob predicted!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I think he realizes that. 3" sucks though when you have been on the short end of the stick all winter. Considering this year has been an epic disaster start to finish along I95 north of MD, the way I look at it is ANY snow is a true gift. Tomorrow will literally be only our 4th legit chance at accum snow and it will probably work out in some fashion. 3 out of 4 is pretty damn good for our region. If Friday works out it will be 4 out of 5 chances in a winter where the pattern has been awful and the chances are few and far between. We could very easily have been under 10" for the year everywhere in our sub. It's like the best total sh!tshow ratter I've ever seen. ETA: I was only counting met winter. If you include the Nov snow then it's another in the win column. Our area generally needs 3-4 chances to get 1 event. Not telling a soul how they should feel but by my calculations our area is doing really well 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Got a feeling the mason-dixon counties get an advisory this afternoon. Maybe northern howard and montgomery get one, but that's stretching it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Got a feeling the mason-dixon counties get an advisory this afternoon. Maybe northern howard and montgomery get one, but that's stretching it. I’d maybe agree but the rush hour aspect of it probably warrants a WWA for the entire CWA. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Got a feeling the mason-dixon counties get an advisory this afternoon. Maybe northern howard and montgomery get one, but that's stretching it. If the weight the fv3 or gfs at all, they will definitely give the entire cwa an advisory by tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 2-3 inches would be good. 4 inches a huge win An inch or less would be stupid. I'd rather have nothing. At this point, I don't know what to expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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