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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip

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Just now, Go Kart Mozart said:

Is that a cold air dam between the two lows?  Weird.

Yes, the high is pretty good N of Maine so some decent cold gets wedged in. I'm skeptical the final outcome is going to be this convoluted, but its clearly something we should watch.

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it's super close to a really big hit.

Get that thing to wind up 200 miles farther south and that is a 8-10 hour blizzard for SNE with a huge temp drop and winds on the back end. 

Seems like plenty of opportunity for some fun convection off the southeastern US to start getting into the equation too. 

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

At this point I almost expect it.  

We've come a long way since 2015 in what we expect, ha.

It would be another thump to mix here, Which has been the theme since Nov, But a pounding in the foothills and the rest of the State, I'd have no complaints if that's the way its going to be.

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9 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Boston and NYC gets screwed again while DC gets a few inches. 

It's like the weather gods are pissed at NYC and Boston because of the playoffs.

The weather gods are still exhausted after the epic pounding in 2015.  They figure that should have satisfied you guys for a long time.

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27 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Want that thing to develop a bit earlier and farther south to get a nice cold conveyorbelt going for SNE. 

Mm, agreed ... I would hunch/add, in that look that there is an elevated warm tongue and very tall sleet column all the way almost back to the Capital District of eastern NY there.   

It just doesn't seem the secondary gets its act together fast enough to close off the 700 in time - maybe.  

Having said that ... this is an alarming trend that's actually been ongoing for several cycles of Euro camp ... possibly even led by the EPS ... It seems recent Euro oper. guidance has been ceding to it's ensemble mean... 

We'll see if it continues.  Heh, the Euro cluster is kinda sorta on an island now but ...we got time.  Obviously you know all this just sayn' for the general reader

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