Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Perhaps a weather forum isn't the highest percentage play to avoid it. Yeah too bad it wasn't disproportionately the focus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah too bad it wasn't disproportionately the focus. Its just bc nothing is working out...naturally folks will focus on what has gone wrong...I get it, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Im only half serious anyway Ray 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I was just looking at a forecast sounding for 150 HR on the GFS for somewhere in central New England...700-500 lapse rate of 2.5 C/km!!!! Tropopause time. Might be able to kiss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 hours ago, Hoth said: I don't think we had any blocking in 2015. Maybe I'm wrong. Transient which always works , NAO is good too but put your eggs in the EPO PNA basket 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 It's amazing the effect that 1/2" of fresh snow has on people. Some renters just checked in and they were so excited. "We thought it would be awful with all the rain and we got here and all the trees are covered in snow and could barey see driving." They were so happy!!! The fact that there's still almost 2 feet on the ground helps too, you wouldn't know it rained with the fresh stuff on top. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, alex said: It's amazing the effect that 1/2" of fresh snow has on people. Some renters just checked in and they were so excited. "We thought it would be awful with all the rain and we got here and all the trees are covered in snow and could barey see driving." They were so happy!!! The fact that there's still almost 2 feet on the ground helps too, you wouldn't know it rained with the fresh stuff on top. Whooopeeeeeeee!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 hours ago, klw said: Driveway is in great shape. I had gotten enough off of that on Tuesday night that it is mostly down to pavement now! And now it is covered again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 hours ago, #NoPoles said: Whineminster is trying to hide his melt by only going crazy in the NNE thread where it will go undetected by most of the mainstream posters... My pack blow torched itself in about 3 hours....I really just don't know what to do anymore. I spent all this time after the November storms fixing the plow truck.... tuning the sled.... putting new leaders on the tip-ups.....and poof! It's all gone! Even the pond ice! Plus I spent all this time organizing a sled trip up the cabin with the braap Bros, and the trails probably won't even be open tomorrow in CNH!! Vent over. Sorry for the OT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 JUST SHUT IT DOWN EVERYBODY.....THIS IS GOING AS PLANNED FROM XMAS DAY......SMFH......MAN 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 GGEM with one of its crack runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: GGEM with one of its crack runs I just saw that...can it be right for once? Please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Harv says looks like even if it starts as snow looks to go to rain on Tues “at this point “ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I was just looking at a forecast sounding for 150 HR on the GFS for somewhere in central New England...700-500 lapse rate of 2.5 C/km!!!! Tropopause time. Might be able to kiss it Let me upload the sounding of me caring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Euro is a better SWFE since the PV doesn't dig as much......I think this is more plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Euro is a better SWFE since the PV doesn't dig as much......I think this is more plausible. Id like Will to chime in, but Im not sure that's a SW flow event in the more traditional sense. There's another shortwave in the south the causes a separate cyclogenesis along the coast while the clipper dies to the west. The northern clipper isnt running into confluence and redeveloping to the southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 10 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Id like Will to chime in, but Im not sure that's a SW flow event in the more traditional sense. There's another shortwave in the south the causes a separate cyclogenesis along the coast while the clipper dies to the west. The northern clipper isnt running into confluence and redeveloping to the southeast. I'll defer to you on that. I didn't look that closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll defer to you on that. I didn't look that closely. Yeah, the wave produces snow in Mobile and northern Florida before it gets up SNE lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 7 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Yeah, the wave produces snow in Mobile and northern Florida before it gets up SNE lol. I just checked out the PV at H5 and saw a track of slp over sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 6z GFS is trying hard to bring us heavier precipitation in three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Now we cooking with gas. Euro / EPS keeps the entire event wintry interior with snow to ice and follow up wave snow. Ray pattern starts now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I'm bummed I'll be in SFO all week and miss Tuesday. It looks like I might return Friday night to some cool temps. I'll watch this one unfold from afar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Now we cooking with gas. Euro / EPS keeps the entire event wintry interior with snow to ice and follow up wave snow. Ray pattern starts now Yea sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Yea sure Ooopppss.. Tue into Wed... 1025mb arctic high pres settles across new England late Mon into Mon night. The orientation of this high will be critical as isentropic lift associated with a warm front, attendant to low pres across the Great Lakes, which itself is associated with the secondary lobe of the polar vortex moving E through the longwave trof. Column thermal temps support a p-type of mainly SN to sleet to freezing rain as mid lvl warm air advects poleward. Noting a signal for cold air damming in the mass fields, supporting the risk for a wintry mix to start. Using the more less progressive ECMWF also proposes a risk for frontal wave development, which, after lower lvl warming could reintroduce cold air before exiting. Given the depth of the longwave trof, this feature also has Gulf of Mexico connections, suggesting higher moisture and PWATs closer to 1.00 inches leading to high liquid values. Overall, something to monitor through the weekend as timing, track and secondary development will determine the amount of SN/PL or FZRA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Anyone clinging to life support best not look at the 06 GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Selective reading while mounting the snow unicorn. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Somebody go check on whineminster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I like the optimism in here. 06z GFS is cutter after cutter. Maybe even celebrating the Pats win in shorts and tee shirts?? That’s one ugly look. Weeks 3 and 4 probably look stellar though....... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 When Will and Scooter aren’t around in the early mornings and the whining starts based on a Gfs op run. It’s no wonder people left the board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: When Will and Scooter aren’t around in the early mornings and the whining starts based on a Gfs op run. It’s no wonder people left the board Fake News Kev FNK didn't see the 987 over Hunchies head with +5 850s covering all of Emass with 35 to 40 degree temps in all of SNE so now his original Euro shows post has changed to what an AFD says. Lol can't make it up FNK 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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