Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any chance of Ginxs sneaky snow Friday? More likely Sat night on the Euro. NAM was quicker TK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 3 hours ago, mahk_webstah said: I have to say Mr. iceberg, you have slowly but surely subtly yet relentlessly become one of the top five funniest people on this board. Zeus is still number one, and his standard is above most mortal human beings, but you’re definitely top five. Your ultimate melt will be very fun! top 5: Zeus Brian Ruanaway Scott? (It’s dry and subtle) who am I missing? Forky when he’s not being a biatch Forky still has my favorite post of all time, It was several years ago during a dull winter and he posted "Enjoy your clipper" with a picture of dim sun through a high gray overcast. I laughed so hard I nearly wet myself. Thread was crazy long for a brush from a weak sauce clipper that a very long shot at best.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 hours ago, yoda said: N NY/N VT crushed... cold air nearby for SNE, but its in the upper 40s You can't make this stuff up anymore. This is like the winter that seemingly wants to say "Thanks for putting up with 2012-2016 when Vermonters smoked more cirrus than herb". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Can see the OES on the Cape in this Modis shot, congrats James Looks like New Haven is the coastal dividing line for snowcover vs. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You can't make this stuff up anymore. This is like the winter that seemingly wants to say "Thanks for putting up with 2012-2016 when Vermonters smoked more cirrus than herb". I'm a bit too much on the edge there for my liking but verbatim, I'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 54 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Can see the OES on the Cape in this Modis shot, congrats James Certaining isn't deep in our area. Like a crusty 1/2" tops. Will be long gone Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 26 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You can't make this stuff up anymore. This is like the winter that seemingly wants to say "Thanks for putting up with 2012-2016 when Vermonters smoked more cirrus than herb". It’s ufortunate but I’ll take my 1 inch and go wild on it. Congrats to you, again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s ufortunate but I’ll take my 1 inch and go wild on it. Congrats to you, again. It's 8-9 days out. I wouldn't sweat it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's 8-9 days out. I wouldn't sweat it right now. eps looks ok, for now. But when a system has NNE as their strike zone this season, even from the warning track at like D10, it fires a bullet right down Broadway. Pretty remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: eps looks ok, for now. But when a system has NNE as their strike zone this season, even from the warning track at like D10, it fires a bullet right down Broadway. Pretty remarkable. Look at snow climo for BTV/CAR/AUG/LEW/CON/PEM. Then compare to BOS/ORH/PYM/PVD/BDL/HVN Case closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's 8-9 days out. I wouldn't sweat it right now. Yeah definitely not on an OP run. Just using it as the gradient pattern has been incredibly stable. Every run has a ton of snow in southern Canada and sometimes it spills down into NNE. I feel like I haven't seen a model run show less than 12-24" across Quebec in a very long time. It's almost like a Nina gradient winter so far. Southern Canada has been absolutely buried, and we've snuck into that a few times now in November and again in January. For SNE, with the upper level trough early next week and spokes rotating around it, I wouldn't sleep on an Advisory event popping up somewhere in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Don’t worry. We will be getting back at Powderfreak in April when the backdoors keep us at 39F and drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Look at snow climo for BTV/CAR/AUG/LEW/CON/PEM. Then compare to BOS/ORH/PYM/PVD/BDL/HVN Case closed. To be honest, ORH isn't that far from a bunch of those stations like BTV/CON/PWM climo wise but the gradient has been extreme. We were probably sort of due for something like this though given the past decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Shit, I just realized a glacier broke off in my subconscious and has began flowing downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: To be honest, ORH isn't that far from a bunch of those stations like BTV/CON/PWM climo wise but the gradient has been extreme. We were probably sort of due for something like this though given the past decade. ORH actually averages more than CON....basically a wash with PWM...PWM is technically like an inch or two more I think on the long term average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Happy hour GFS run....Sunday more interesting and then a warning event for Tuesday in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Happy hour GFS run....Sunday more interesting and then a warning event for Tuesday in SNE. Strong sw there on Sunday. Might help set the stage for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Strong sw there on Sunday. Might help set the stage for next week? We def want Sunday's shortwave stronger and to push heights south behind it. That would make Tuesday better. That's what the happy hour GFS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: You can't make this stuff up anymore. This is like the winter that seemingly wants to say "Thanks for putting up with 2012-2016 when Vermonters smoked more cirrus than herb". Glad that's mostly out in la-la land, otherwise I'd be getting more inches of rain than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH actually averages more than CON....basically a wash with PWM...PWM is technically like an inch or two more I think on the long term average. We should put ORH in NNE...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 4 hours ago, dryslot said: Your late, It was already mentioned two weeks ago. I haven't posted about it yet, but I notice it every evening. Animals pay no heed to daylight when meals are involved. If we should wind up with one week of winter, please don't let it be next while I'm in SFO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH actually averages more than CON....basically a wash with PWM...PWM is technically like an inch or two more I think on the long term average. What's the ORH 81-10 norm using your 90s numbers? I think CON will make up a couple inches on their norms after ditching the obs from the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: More likely Sat night on the Euro. NAM was quicker TK Not seeing any evidence in model land. We’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 After this midweek storm, i may end up with over 8inches of liquid for the month of January. Im at 5.65 inches so far for this month. Also may get another t-storm. What a January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: We def want Sunday's shortwave stronger and to push heights south behind it. That would make Tuesday better. That's what the happy hour GFS does. Every single one of these waves like Sunday has looked good this year . All models have them and even at 2 days they look good. Then we lose them . Hopefully this isn’t the same deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2019 Author Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Happy hour GFS run....Sunday more interesting and then a warning event for Tuesday in SNE. That overnight Sunday--> monday evolution narily misses an apocalypse man... holy shit ho ... if only.. Get that 498 core 400 miles S, which at this range is a dime in Met, ... watch out... Heh, nice that the pattern changed, huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: What's the ORH 81-10 norm using your 90s numbers? I think CON will make up a couple inches on their norms after ditching the obs from the airport. 81-10 is 66.9" if I fix the bad 1990s data with our reconstructed F6 data. I think NCDC has it around 64 and change. Obviously that number is going to go way higher when we replace the 1980s with the 2010s. The current 1990-2018 average is like 75" or 76". But it is still going to have the bad 1990s data in there...even the first few years of the 2000s were bad data. Edit: I didn't realize CON isn't measuring at the airport anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Happy hour GFS run....Sunday more interesting and then a warning event for Tuesday in SNE. GFS 15 on board, lower SNE payback? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: You can't make this stuff up anymore. This is like the winter that seemingly wants to say "Thanks for putting up with 2012-2016 when Vermonters smoked more cirrus than herb". Bitch Please JSpin 11-12 115 ,12-13 144, 13-14 142, 14-15 144, 15-16 72, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Bitch Please JSpin 11-12 115 ,12-13 144, 13-14 142, 14-15 144, 15-16 72, lol you know what I mean. When Boston suburbs get 100"+, J.Spin's 144" is just about average for him . 2011-12 is probably the last winter we beat SNE sites as a percentage of normal snowfall. Not actual inches but percentage of normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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