SnowGolfBro Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Congrats What could wrong, eh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 January 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Can’t decide if I’m more worried about suppression or overamped/rain. I guess that’s a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: One thing I like about this is the precip shield is much bigger than the dec 9. Drops 1" plus of liquid across the area 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ji said: One thing I like about this is the precip shield is much bigger than the dec 9. We dont have the brick wall of confluence sitting in the middle of PA. I think it is almost guaranteed that we see some snow at this point. We just dont know if its going to be a dusting or a foot. All of the models give us snow in some way though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Fv3 snows from hrs 115-153. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Hoping this doesn't turn into another Miller K (as in strikeout)! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Fv3 has snow into the area prior to noon on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: We dont have the brick wall of confluence sitting in the middle of PA. I think it is almost guaranteed that we see some snow at this point. We just dont know if its going to be a dusting or a foot. All of the models give us snow in some way though. What I like to see is even with the strung out messes (Euro and ICON), we still see some snow. Would be great to get a little snow heading into an active tracking period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Can’t decide if I’m more worried about suppression or overamped/rain. I guess that’s a good sign. I'm more worried about depression 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 The baroclinic leaf and ull pass showing more and more on guidance (except euro) has the look of a classic 24 hour duration MECS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: What I like to see is even with the strung out messes (Euro and ICON), we still see some snow. Would be great to get a little snow heading into an active tracking period. If the Euro could just get on board tonight, the rest of this week’s discussions won’t be about if it’s going to snow, but just how much it’s going to snow. Sort of dream, but it’s ok to dream. Fingers crossed for the morning read with a lot of Euro boom and destruction talk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Yogi says the UKIE track looks fine... it's a weak SLP though FWIW 120 it's in NW MS and 144 it's 200 miles or so off the coast of the VA/NC border 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Yogi says the UKIE track looks fine... it's a weak SLP though FWIW 120 it's in NW MS and 144 it's 200 miles or so off the coast of the VA/NC border Is that an improvement over 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Man. First chance I had to look at the FV3. What a beatdown. And it would stick around for a while. It also has a repeat a few days later. What a run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Chris78 said: Is that an improvement over 12z? Couldn’t find the SLP at 12z so I’d venture that’s an affirmative 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Is that an improvement over 12z? I'm using meteocentre as my guide lol... going to wait for weathermodels to come out to check on how QPF did 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 So Donald Trump shut down the government...broke the broken gfs even more and now its back to giving us big snowstorms in bad patterns. 2 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: So Donald Trump shut down the government...broke the broken gfs even more and now its back to giving us big snowstorms in bad patterns. And the delayed update to the GFS is giving us snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: So Donald Trump shut down the government...broke the broken gfs even more and now its back to giving us big snowstorms in bad patterns. I think they should keep feeding it bad data and call it an upgrade 5 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 I think they should keep feeding it bad data and call it an upgrade Some intern just fed it data from January 2014 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I think they should keep feeding it bad data and call it an upgrade Some intern just fed it data from January 2014 Heh man, if that's what it takes to get a snow storm around here then email a copy Jan 29th - Feb 15th 2010 data and tell them to press play 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 6 hours ago, nj2va said: For DC, 18z GEFS breakdown (including control): 5/21: 0.0” 7/21: 6”+ 9/21: <6” Good signal at this range for at least a light event. Updated for 00z: 0/21: 0.0” 8/21: 1.0” or less 2/21: 1.5-6” 11/21: 6”+ No complete shutouts so that’s good. More bigger hits (>6”) in the mix but less middle ground this run. Mean looks to be about 6”. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 29 minutes ago, Ji said: So Donald Trump shut down the government...broke the broken gfs even more and now its back to giving us big snowstorms in bad patterns. It wouldn't be the first time a shutdown was followed by a great winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Gefs looks night and day different from the EPS but is nice to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Updated for 00z: 0/21: 0.0” 8/21: 1.0” or less 2/21: 1.5-6” 11/21: 6”+ No complete shutouts so that’s good. More bigger hits (>6”) in the mix but less middle ground this run. Mean looks to be about 6”. woof 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, Fozz said: It wouldn't be the first time a shutdown was followed by a great winter. Dude I was just about to bring that up! In fact...ya know the last time a government shutdown stretched from December into January? 1995-96...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 17 minutes ago, nj2va said: Updated for 00z: 0/21: 0.0” 8/21: 1.0” or less 2/21: 1.5-6” 11/21: 6”+ No complete shutouts so that’s good. More bigger hits (>6”) in the mix but less middle ground this run. Mean looks to be about 6”. e2 is acceptable @Bob Chill 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Dude I was just about to bring that up! In fact...ya know the last time a government shutdown stretched from December into January? 1995-96...lol Not to mention October 2013... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 GEPS got a little better. 9/21 members get at least 1" IMBY, up from 5/21 at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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