Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 You could see early on the heights were higher out in front. The low was a bit weaker but less confluence over new England made the difference. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Such an interesting evolution. Can you explain what hours you’re looking at re: ridge doesn’t close while the SW ejects? Ejects before 108 as the ridge starts to close off? Look at the H5 at 114. Look at the NE and upper level energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: NS Sw shifts to the backside of the trough to help bring it north. I’ll be honest, I didn’t see that coming (clearly from my earlier post). Didn’t like the fact that energy was being left behind but clskinsfan brought up a good point about the energy ejecting at the right time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Snowing from Saturday night into Sunday evening on GFS. Long way to go with this storm but I'll take it (00z GFS at 132 is $$) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, LP08 said: GFS also holding back. Still will get snow but it will be a step down from 18z Oh yeah? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Such an interesting evolution. Can you explain what hours you’re looking at re: ridge doesn’t close while the SW ejects? Ejects before 108 as the ridge starts to close off? Yeah. I am looking at the crappy IWM maps and it never closed off at 500 that I could see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 NS phases in a tad late and the storm explodes off LI and Mass. Still a beautiful run. Track is perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: Oh yeah? At least half was right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Look at the H5 at 114. Look at the NE and upper level energy. Yep, I honestly was only paying attention to the energy out west and the ridge. I missed the weaker/more north confluence. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 NS snaps back into Ohio this run. You can see it tries to pull the coastal into New England but can't quite capture it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Lol best run yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Beautiful! I just shed a tear from 132-150. I know it won’t happen like this either. That’s why I’m crying. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 So now we've got a vast array of solutions on the models. Whoa boy...good luck to the models figuring out the timing of that NS energy! (So you can believe there's gonna be a good bit of jumping around at LEAST until it actually comes on shore later this week!) We gotta try not to marry our brains to anything we see right now, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: Lol best run yet. I'd lock this up right now. No more gambling for a better solution. 10 inches of snow aint nothing to sneeze at 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Yeah. I am looking at the crappy IWM maps and it never closed off at 500 that I could see. I’m usually a fan of letting the run play out but jumped way too early this time. Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Gfs snows for 30 hours. I'll take the under. Not as much energy got sucked back from the ridge closing off so the shortwave has more juice than the euro. Ns helped but that's not nearly as reliable at d4+ with the southern stream. Honestly, i'm surprised the gfs held the storm together as well as it did. H5 doesn't look that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Bitter cold on the backside of the storm. Temps in the teens Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Gfs snows for 30 hours. I'll take the under. Not as much energy got sucked back from the ridge closing off so the shortwave has more juice than the euro. Ns helped but that's not nearly as reliable at d4+ with the southern stream. Honestly, i'm surprised the gfs held the storm together as well as it did. H5 doesn't look that impressive. I liked the look of the H5 from 114 on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: I'd lock this up right now. No more gambling for a better solution. 10 inches of snow aint nothing to sneeze at Yes please lol. Where do I sign.?? region wide 6 -10 in. Event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: If it does the same tuck under the ridge trend that it did with the southern stream that's going to be back in Iowa by tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Now we wait for Yoda with incorrect analysis or just bad news. yoda, you're up 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: I’m usually a fan of letting the run play out but jumped way too early this time. Oops. False start. Nj2va. 5 post penalty...lol But seriously...especially at this early stage, we just gotta let it run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Well, that was a rather...interesting...development that somehow worked! Wouldn't have thought that NS shortwave coming down from the Lakes area would save the day like that. That thing really dug a lot more, made all the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Now we wait for Yoda with incorrect analysis or just bad news. yoda, you're up Sorry, I missed the GFS and CMC debacle in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: I liked the look of the H5 from 114 on I meant that h5 didn't look good enough to produce a 10" storm. If i only looked at h5 vort panel i would have guessed 2-4"/3-5". 10"? Woah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol 138 on the CMC is amazing. Wish we were inside 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol Bob you’re not kidding. About as perfect of a track you’ll get for a mid Atlantic crusher lol track from SAV to outer banks to east of RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol Actually better lol... stripes CHO to DCA to BWI to ACY with 12 to 16 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now