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jackb979

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About jackb979

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Location:
    Washington D.C.
  1. jackb979

    December 9/10 Storm

    Reminder that the disturbance will finally move onshore on the west coast around 3-4am EST tonight/tomorrow morning. I'm not getting my hopes up for a major change to the forecast, but it will be interesting to see if there's any shifts either way once we get some observations fed into the models
  2. jackb979

    December 9/10 Storm

    Exactly. Especially since the system is still a little over 24 hours from even coming onshore on the west coast.
  3. jackb979

    December 9/10 Storm

    DT update
  4. jackb979

    December 9/10 Storm

    I agree. 18z so I'm not throwing in the towel yet. But there does seem to be a growing consensus on how far to the north models will bring this system. Luckily, winter has not even started yet and we will still have plenty of storms to track. Will be useful to compare model performance on this storm for future threats later on (especially FV3).
  5. jackb979

    December 9/10 Storm

  6. jackb979

    December 9/10 Storm

    A miss on the 18z GFS. Snow doesn't get further north than Richmond.
  7. jackb979

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Just so i know which thread to follow tonight...so anything storm related from now until the (potential) storm is on the Storm Mode thread just created, and anything on December outlook in general will be on this thread, correct?
  8. jackb979

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Looking ahead to the warm-up and Christmas, it looks like whatever warm-up does occur will be relatively short-lived. a little over a week perhaps
  9. jackb979

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    big improvement over previous GFS runs, but only one run. Let's see if this holds and if FV3 can stay the course as well.
  10. jackb979

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Right. Although the models seem to be focusing on central VA/NW NC, the energy won't arrive on the west coast until late thursday/early friday. Once that happens with observations can get fed into the model and there will (hopefully) be much more agreement/consistency
  11. jackb979

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I want to see the Fv3 before I begin to accept this will in fact be a southern slider
  12. jackb979

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Don't know if this was posted here yet but this pretty much sums up what we've been talking about for a while. Once these storms move on shore we can finally get some more accurate observation data fed into the models and maybe have some more consistency in these model runs.
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