clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 I was glad to see some NS involvement on this run. The ICON totally lost that at 0Z. I dont know what to expect with the news out there about the GFS lacking data. But that was a hell of a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 I mean the CMC did just one up the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol I’ll be honest. Wasn’t expecting that after the 12z EURO and icon tonight. And all the talk about the gfs being terrible because of the GS. Nice to have another global on our side even if it is the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: 138 on the CMC is amazing. Wish we were inside 5 days. You should wish it wasn’t the CMC. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 35 minutes ago, Scraff said: Don’t worry. The GooFuS will keep us in the game...until we lose. Good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 In the mid-upper 20s throughout Sunday too...not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Cmc didn't close off the ridge at all. That's a big difference compared to other guidance 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Should be intriguing to see the 00z UKIE in about 10 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Gfs snows for 30 hours. I'll take the under. Not as much energy got sucked back from the ridge closing off so the shortwave has more juice than the euro. Ns helped but that's not nearly as reliable at d4+ with the southern stream. Honestly, i'm surprised the gfs held the storm together as well as it did. H5 doesn't look that impressive. The angle and shape of ridge was different...the vort is also starting at a good latitude. Basically we just want some kind of low near us that can give us precip. There are so many little changes happening in so many different places that ultimately play a factor in final solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Scraff said: You should wish it wasn’t the CMC. Lol. True. Let’s enjoy for the next two hours before Dr. No kills the party. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc didn't close off the ridge at all. That's a big difference compared to other guidance Cmc ups the GFS with 40+ straight hours of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Good call Rare for me. But thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol2 of the worst models agree...one model hasn't been fed data since dec 27 haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 lol CMC is destruction. Too bad it's the CMC. Not staying up for the Euro tonight for it to sh*t all on my dreams. I'll awake tomorrow, look at the thread page count and figure it out from there. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 LOL. CMC is even better. Bullseyes DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: lol CMC is destruction. Too bad it's the CMC. Not staying up for the Euro tonight for it to sh*t all on my dreams. I'll awake tomorrow, look at the thread page count and figure it out from there. Can’t do that anymore. There are 50 comments if it is good, bad or nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Ji said: 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Gfs snows for 30 hours. I'll take the under. Not as much energy got sucked back from the ridge closing off so the shortwave has more juice than the euro. Ns helped but that's not nearly as reliable at d4+ with the southern stream. Honestly, i'm surprised the gfs held the storm together as well as it did. H5 doesn't look that impressive. The angle and shape of ridge was different...the vort is also starting at a good latitude. Basically we just want some kind of low near us that can give us precip. There are so many little changes happening in so many different places that ultimately play a factor in final solution True. All ops give us snow of some amount. That's always a good sign. I mean we can still easily fail but having all models snow on you is a confidence boost. I might toss the cmc though. Doesnt close the ridge off and has practically no ns interaction. So that big hit was 100% amplified southern stream. Only model showing that solution 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 lol CMC is destruction. Too bad it's the CMC. Not staying up for the Euro tonight for it to sh*t all on my dreams. I'll awake tomorrow, look at the thread page count and figure it out from there.Look at the gfs 500 anomaly. No way that looks like our biggest event since 2016 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol 5 minutes ago, Interstate said: I mean the CMC did just one up the GFS LMAO...dumps over a foot area-wide! Can only hope it's right! Go Canucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: lol CMC is destruction. Too bad it's the CMC. Not staying up for the Euro tonight for it to sh*t all on my dreams. I'll awake tomorrow, look at the thread page count and figure it out from there. Thought I was the only one that did that. As in about an hour ago, only to come back and see 4 pages +.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Fv3 is a good hit. A 1-2 punch. Might be double digits in dc. Lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On man, fv3 is a 95 special. Lock that S up along with the gfs and cmc 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Fv3 is a good hit. A 1-2 punch. Might be double digits in dc. Lol Well, only one way to go from here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Fv3 is a good hit. A 1-2 punch. Might be double digits in dc. Lol Is it doing the same thing, i.e., weird interaction with the NS digging down through Ohio? Or is it keeping the main SS low stronger? (ETA: sorry, kind of slow going on TT right now, haven't seen it out that far yet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Congrats 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 @Amped Fv3 digs the northern stream to iowa. Lol. U nailed it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc looks just like the gfs. Lol 2 of the worst models agree...one model hasn't been fed data since dec 27 haha Sometimes they are 2 of the worst, sometimes they are 2 of the best. Question is, which will they be this time? The second graph shows that in the last 30 days, the CMC is getting back in the range of performing as well as it is capable of performing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Guys go to bed before yogi posts the unmet and says he cant find the low pressure 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: @Amped Fv3 digs the northern stream to iowa. Lol. U nailed it DC flips to a mix or rain then back to snow. Classic megalopolis storm on that fv3 run. Much improved from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 One thing I like about this is the precip shield is much bigger than the dec 9. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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