dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: I thought you had more elevation....but it's Maine so that helps! Nope, But i have some Lat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 fingers crossed on the gfs and maybe we can look to the rgem a little at this poiint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: fingers crossed on the gfs and maybe we can look to the rgem a little at this poiint. 18z GFS still remains warmer and furthest north with SLP track thru CNH, SME and off the coast south of Eastport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS still remains warmer and furthest north with SLP track thru CNH, SME and off the coast south of Eastport. That's a blue bomb birch bender up this way, especially the elevations. Thats also likely the reason there has been so few posts in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: That's a blue bomb birch bender up this way, especially the elevations. Thats also likely the reason there has been so few posts in here. , You and i and maybe two others will have to keep the thread alive i guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 I think I may have received more snow from those squalls this afternoon than from what looked promising earlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: , You and i and maybe two others will have to keep the thread alive i guess. You guys know this about me, but a developing low over PWM area usually makes me feel warm and fuzzy inside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You guys know this about me, but a developing low over PWM area usually makes me feel warm and fuzzy inside. The 18z GFS is the furthest model north with that SLP, Even further then the 12z run when other guidance shifted south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You guys know this about me, but a developing low over PWM area usually makes me feel warm and fuzzy inside. That'd be the conditions here if that verified .. 'warm and fuzzy' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 I’m lurking but can you guys dumb it down for ignorant weenies such as myself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 18z GFS is the furthest model north with that SLP, Even further then the 12z run when other guidance shifted south. Comparing the 12z EURO...it looks like 25-30 miles (the size of a county) north of that. But yeah that's going to matter a lot in your neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Comparing the 12z EURO...it looks like 25-30 miles (the size of a county) north of that. But yeah that's going to matter a lot in your neck of the woods. Going to need to keep this off the coast going underneath us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 It'll be interesting to see how this plays out. The EPS snowfall progs are pretty impressive in this area for a 50-member mean through the next 3.5 days. Still a few days to go but that's a good signal in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 PF...you're gonna get smoked in this one. You over to Sunday river. Most of the rest of us are left out aside from maybe an inch or two...dryslot to dendrite axis still in the game but looking a bit shakey there on some runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It'll be interesting to see how this plays out. The EPS snowfall progs are pretty impressive in this area for a 50-member mean through the next 3.5 days. Still a few days to go but that's a good signal in NNE. Those color contours target right over your head. I’ll take whatever we get, which I’m guessing will be 6”-8”. Today’s 3” was a nice unexpected bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 I would certainly like to be another 50 miles or so further NW for this one as it stands right now, Riding the edge here so we will continue to watch if we can trend this colder and keep the SLP track further south over the next few cycles, But I’m heading to Eustis next weekend they look to do quite well there so that works too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: PF...you're gonna get smoked in this one. You over to Sunday river. Most of the rest of us are left out aside from maybe an inch or two...dryslot to dendrite axis still in the game but looking a bit shakey there on some runs. Yeah we drool. Him over th the Whites and into Maine. Crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 51 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: I’m lurking but can you guys dumb it down for ignorant weenies such as myself? Basically 2 systems. First one is a general light snowfall in NNE through your way. That's the easy part. Then a 2nd coastal storm will form. Looks to be too far north for SNE but the mountains of Maine, NH and Vermont should do very well. Up in your area it will really depend on where exactly the 2nd storm forms. There may be a tight snowfall gradient in Maine as you get away from the coast and up into the mountains. That's my take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Looks wet on the hill wedsSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 9 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Basically 2 systems. First one is a general light snowfall in NNE through your way. That's the easy part. Then a 2nd coastal storm will form. Looks to be too far north for SNE but the mountains of Maine, NH and Vermont should do very well. Up in your area it will really depend on where exactly the 2nd storm forms. There may be a tight snowfall gradient in Maine as you get away from the coast and up into the mountains. That's my take. You speak fantastic layman’s language, THANK YOU! That really helped immensely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Another very tough forecast for my area if the models hold serve. On Nov 27th I got plastered with the 13" birch bender that knocked out power to most of our town and caused extensive tree damage. While I got my 13" 600 feet below me got 5" and 25 miles southeast got barely enough to cover the ground. Will this be the same? Still way to early and models will keep making adjustments. Hope this can develop further south so more people get into the action. Fun to watch it unfold, wish it didn't happen in the wee hours of Wed AM when Im asleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 11 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Fun to watch it unfold, wish it didn't happen in the wee hours of Wed AM when Im asleep Seems to happen to me more often than not. Especially losing power at innoportune times. Maybe not, but those are the ones you remember most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 23 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Another very tough forecast for my area if the models hold serve. On Nov 27th I got plastered with the 13" birch bender that knocked out power to most of our town and caused extensive tree damage. While I got my 13" 600 feet below me got 5" and 25 miles southeast got barely enough to cover the ground. Will this be the same? Still way to early and models will keep making adjustments. Hope this can develop further south so more people get into the action. Fun to watch it unfold, wish it didn't happen in the wee hours of Wed AM when Im asleep Mid level temps are a bit of a problem until heights start to crash. We both may be just a bit too warm aloft until the tail end. Hopefully everything ticks south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Really hoping we don't finish with another slop fest.Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: Mid level temps are a bit of a problem until heights start to crash. We both may be just a bit too warm aloft until the tail end. Hopefully everything ticks south. How does it look for the Tenney Mtn area? Im rooting for the "little guy" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Wow. The NAM blows....not that I trust it with this system in any way at this point, but blech. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 33 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wow. The Pattern blows....not that I don’t love more January rain with this system in any way at this point, but ya January 9 rain sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Padding our rainfall totals. Congrats ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Whiten things up nicely tomorrow night for end of week butter cold snap ahead of the big weekend storm Tuesday night into Wednesday night ... Precip-burst initially rain quickly changing to snow. Potent vortmax beneath broad diffluence ahead of cyclonic digging, closing low-mid level low. Wrapping stretched Pacific sub-tropical warm-moist tongue with precipitable waters up to 0.75 pre lead vortmax, conditionally unstable environment within positive vorticity advection yielding W to E sweeping deep frontogenetical banding beneath favorable ascent right around midnight into early Wednesday morning, expect precip- banding, quick hit, initial rain quickly changing to snow per mid- level precip-intensity netting low-level column cooling. Quickly changing conditions towards and into the Wednesday AM commute, will not be surprised if most of S New England, especially N/W MA / CT , sees a coating up around 2 inches, highest across the Berkshires. K- indices and total-totals at or exceeding convective thresholds, as heights are crashing and you`re cooling top-dow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Looking forward to up to 3 sloppy inches followed by a period of heavy powder? Not sure how to interpret the gyx discussion and the zone forecast what will all the “rain then snow then rain or snow for 10 minutes then snow for an hour back to rain and snow then chance of snow” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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