Hoth Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 How's EPS long range? Still improving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: How's EPS long range? Still improving? Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Yes. Thanks Jerry. Music to my ears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Thanks Jerry. Music to my ears. It was always weaker with EPO vs GEFS but at the end of the run it looked like it was ready to go gangbusters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Looking back a year ago today, this popped up as one of my Facebook memories: winter of yore. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Looked great for here.. 6z? 0C 850 went north of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 6z? 0C 850 went north of CT Heavy snow to rain then back to snow.. that looks great to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: 6z? 0C 850 went north of CT That would be ugly SE coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Heavy snow to rain then back to snow.. that looks great to me Would prob be more like FZRA/IP before flipping back to snow with that high and sfc track though sometimes in the CT Valley you torch to 33-34F rain on those setups. My worry is def not enough amplification at the moment though. Maybe that will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Heavy snow to rain then back to snow.. that looks great to me I like playing with fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I like playing with fire. So do arsonist. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 24 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Looking back a year ago today, this popped up as one of my Facebook memories: winter of yore. Those were the days...When men were men, and Mother Nature and Old Man Winter made some sweet lovin' when the time was right. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 8 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Those were the days...When men were men, and Mother Nature and Old Man Winter made some sweet lovin' when the time was right. Old man winter is transitioning. Wasn’t appropriate . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Heavy snow to rain then back to snow.. that looks great to me Oh. Congrats then I guess. Maybe change your name to ineedglop? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Maybe we can get suppressed for a few weeks. Wouldn’t the high to our ene and n slow things down and push it closer? I thought it was worse when the 50-50 is too far s and w that we get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Would prob be more like FZRA/IP before flipping back to snow with that high and sfc track though sometimes in the CT Valley you torch to 33-34F rain on those setups. My worry is def not enough amplification at the moment though. Maybe that will change. Yea, not very excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Six or so days out, I’m a bit intrigued. Even the offshore solutions perhaps offer a little something and the amped up solutions, hey well at least it shows a good storm. Of course it go it could go to dog crap today too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Six or so days out, I’m a bit intrigued. Even the offshore solutions perhaps offer a little something and the amped up solutions, hey well at least it shows a good storm. Of course it go it could go to dog crap today too. Yeah even the op Euro has some light snow with the system well southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 I believe this is ok if it cycles back to phase 6 then through 7 and 8 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 It’s cold this morning! Actually feels like winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s cold this morning! Actually feels like winter. Yea with grass blades and leaves showing their beautiful ‘winter’ look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea with grass blades and leaves showing their beautiful ‘winter’ look. Hard and brown. Feel of winter without the look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Hard and brown. Feel of winter without the look. Stevie Wonder says it looks like deep winter this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 GFS solution is dubious though ... It's unclear where the western Ontario polar stream smear that organizes into a diving S/W ultimately comes from... The western Canadian geopotential medium/evolution through there has modest ridge amplitude, check, prior to the southward plunge through the Lakes of that carving feature. You really need that, and the southern rider, both, for the subsume scenarios. These aspects are demonstrated with shocking panache ... too well to sit well in fact, considering there is still yet 48 hours worth of model cycles before any of that time frame enters the useful area of the old reliability curve ... to put it nicely. Looking closer at the intervals and going backward in time it appears the N/stream loading is coming through Alaska's attenuating gyre up there ... prior to that it's not clear if it comes from the N- Pac or if its relayed from N. Asia over the lower B. Sea.. But, it gets dumped over western Canada and the ridge subtle flex then incites its dive ... where perfectly timed ally-'oop southern stream weakness provides the subsume domain space.. It's 1978 -esque ... really. If one goes back and looks at that total evolution, that facet in general would air apparent to both with all intended "pundamental" glory - Not saying the GFS is phantom feeding us perfect stream interaction that is, in total, achieving extraordinarily high mechanical conservation proficiency at 144 hours out in time, buuut, ... that seems more likely what the model is doing. ... Yes yes, I'm sure the Euro will come in with out of nowhere supporting huge adjustment ... if for purely non-scientific intent, just to make this very prudent skepticism seem wrong ... But being dealt reverses seems to be the bemusing, repeating theme to this whole shit show saga over recent weeks. In any case, it is at least true to say ... a pretty leap in its own performance curve getting all that to happen. It is that ending sardonic tone that would have me at a pause ... The under-the-radar outcome off all those dealt-reverses modeling ventures ... come hell or high water has not meant snow and winter profiled events... So regardless of how we get there, that is a trend that is hard to knock after month+ consistency. I guess at the end of this morning rant the old axiom should apply: perfect solutions beyond three ... or even two days time usually don't survive. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Tip definitely doesn’t have a job... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tip definitely doesn’t have a job... LMAO..... But I'm thinking this slides out to sea south....obviously way too early to say that, but that's what seems to be most likely at this point to me. But at least it's showing something...be real nice to see some more decent news with this today....We can Hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tip definitely doesn’t have a job... Best job in the world ... And I'm sure if that was riddled with optimism that feeds the group delirium there would be a different response. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Best job in the world ... And I'm sure if that was riddled with optimism that feeds the group delirium there would be a different response. Nope. I’m amazed at the time you have to compose well written and long essays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Best job in the world ... And I'm sure if that was riddled with optimism that feeds the group delirium there would be a different response. Are you part of said group or do you hold yourself to a higher standard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Gentlemen, while on my morning truffle shuffle I was witness today to a most curious natural phenomenon, which I want to pass along. It seems that the remnants of yestereen's rainfall have developed a crust of sorts in the postprandial hours. Indeed, the standing puddles of water appear to have transitioned from a liquid phase to a hard one. I must say I stopped short in abject wonderment to observe said phenomenon and found that this hard-water was both cold to the touch and devilishly slippery. Somewhere in the deepest pockets of memory something familiar in me stirred, some remnant of winters of yore suspended, but what it was I could not say; but I decided then and there to make a thorough investigation into the matter when I returned home. Well, my research has been most illuminating. It would seem that, in a brief period during peak winter climatology, lasting no longer than the twinkling of an eye, the mercury in southern New England may fall to such hyperborean lows as to allow liquid water to transition into a new and rare state called "ice". Gentlemen, I propose to embark on a series of experiments to test this miraculous substance, which I believe may bring about a revolution in the fields of mixology, and stick-wielding winter sports. I shall pass along the particulars in due course should you decide to invest in my new venture. Yours faithfully and sincerely, Hoth, Weenie Emeritus 2 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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