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Damage In Tolland

Snow bomb obs March 21

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3 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

All rain no snow

That sucks, sorry to hear. If it had come overnight it would have had a better chance.

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jgMGqJL.gif

Big red flag here from yesterday's GEFS run. Those U wind anomalies show more of a NE vs. E LLJ. Not a lot of momentum to throw precip up over the cold air when the flow is more NE in the mid levels. 

Just a few hours before this from LI and south, those anomalies were more due E.

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Snowing moderately here. Over 2 inches now. Nice to see even if the storm overall is disappointing. 

 

IMG_1205.JPG

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Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Nope.  Was still showing 6" of snow and more down at the Canal ~10".  

Yeah, yeah, I get it, it's a weenie snow image.  But how is a model this bad at spitting out snow graphics like this?

ecmwf_acc_snow_neng_18.thumb.png.665bf28282c964ca491375317952c0b9.png

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Also the 21.12z EPS had probabilities of 3" or more for the PSM area at 10% or so. I had a hard time believing that would be correct, but turns out it was a very good forecast. The mean 6" line didn't quite cross LI Sound either.

What's crazy is you would think with the poorer resolution of the EPS it would struggle with these gradients, but that wasn't the case.

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Snowing moderately here. Over 2 inches now. Nice to see even if the storm overall is disappointing. 

I agree.  Snow always seems nice to see!  I had about the same this morning when I left at 7. 

I'll have to look when I get home but I think this takes over March 1993 as my snowiest March on record.

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4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Yeah, yeah, I get it, it's a weenie snow image.  But how is a model this bad at spitting out snow graphics like this?

I have zero clue how that algorithm works, but it is probably a check to see if the temp is 34 or colder, and if yes it dumps 10:1 snow. The Euro more or less nailed the surface temps on the Cape (34ish). But that algorithm likely doesn't know how deep that warmer air was.

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Just now, OceanStWx said:

Also the 21.12z EPS had probabilities of 3" or more for the PSM area at 10% or so. I had a hard time believing that would be correct, but turns out it was a very good forecast. The mean 6" line didn't quite cross LI Sound either.

What's crazy is you would think with the poorer resolution of the EPS it would struggle with these gradients, but that wasn't the case.

This is brutal and I love the Euro. 

eps_snow_3_massachusetts_72.thumb.png.f0fb5a8173f59b014335dbe51816d36e.png

eps_acc_snow_massachusetts_36.thumb.png.b3da0d668168b73fad137f6fe4e90f3b.png

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24 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Even the EURO was way to aggressive but obviously much much closer to being correct

Euro predicted ~3" for me.., but I got ~8"... that's 2.5 X the forecast...

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

pARTS  of LI have near 20". Wow.

Banding was great last night

The snowfall rates went to town as the sun went down.

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48 minutes ago, White Rain said:

Have 1.5” on the driveway, roads are covered but melting where cars have driven.

 

yes wintery appeal. 

The caution flags were everywhere for this one, not sure why everyone is super upset.  Must have been looking through weenie goggles. 

 

This Winter is a B-. The March storms were fun, but the rain in January and February was a real downer, if this march snow happened in Jan, and Feb stayed cold with a few snow events it would have been an A. 

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12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

pARTS  of LI have near 20". Wow.

Congrats to them. They deserve it..........oh wait they don't because they crash the board and live on a tropical island where it should be raining. 

 

 

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Never mind "Bomb" or "K.U."; a whole new category needs to be created for this one-- Stingy-Ass Dusting Storm (SAD). Long may it shine in the hallowed hall of records!

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33 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This is brutal and I love the Euro. 

eps_snow_3_massachusetts_72.thumb.png.f0fb5a8173f59b014335dbe51816d36e.png

eps_acc_snow_massachusetts_36.thumb.png.b3da0d668168b73fad137f6fe4e90f3b.png

TAN has had 0.37" so far and it's still snowing. What's that there? 0.50"?

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