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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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Roger Smith

Roger Smith

Posted
Posted

The models have an awkward look to the interaction between GL ULL and coastal ULL around 24-30h, the elongated unified version may turn out more as a rapid domination of the coastal meaning that its heights would drop faster than shown. This could cause the deep surface low to stall or even loop (counter-clockwise) in the Gulf of Maine. 

If something like that happens, 20 to 35 inch amounts are very likely in the coastal strip. If it goes the way we are being shown so far, still could be 16 to 28 inch amounts. 

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ariof

ariof

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54 minutes ago, BRSno said:

I have to catch a connection to Beijing in Detroit at 1pm Wed. Hope I can catch a flight out or my aircraft at least comes in on Wed morning. 

Start driving now.

Or call the airline. DL is actually flying extra sections out tonight to get the planes out (UA and AA seem to just be canceling afternoon inbounds tonight). You would probably have to overnight in at DTW, the airline might help out if you can convince the you then won't be screwing things up on Wednesday. (There will be nothing on the ground at Logan tonight, and nothing flying tomorrow at all. (The Jan 4 storm was similar: nothing flew.)

Without any planes on the ground, you're banking on 1337, the 9 a.m. flight, to be a) not canceled, 2) on time and c) not so full that you can't get on or you're dealing with IDBs. If you're ticketed in 1337, you could take your chances. Otherwise, be prepared to wait a day or try to get out tonight.

 

(a, 2, c because b+) kept giving me a smiley)

Screen Shot 2018-03-12 at 3.31.13 PM.png

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BRSno

BRSno

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Posted
17 minutes ago, ariof said:

Start driving now.

Or call the airline. DL is actually flying extra sections out tonight to get the planes out (UA and AA seem to just be canceling afternoon inbounds tonight). You would probably have to overnight in at DTW, the airline might help out if you can convince the you then won't be screwing things up on Wednesday. (There will be nothing on the ground at Logan tonight, and nothing flying tomorrow at all. (The Jan 4 storm was similar: nothing flew.)

Without any planes on the ground, you're banking on 1337, the 9 a.m. flight, to be a) not canceled, 2) on time and c) not so full that you can't get on or you're dealing with IDBs. If you're ticketed in 1337, you could take your chances. Otherwise, be prepared to wait a day or try to get out tonight.

 

(a, 2, c because b+) kept giving me a smiley)

Screen Shot 2018-03-12 at 3.31.13 PM.png

Def can't fly out tonight to DTW, nor can I drive there. So I'll either have to postpone it for Thurs or try my luck on Wed.

This is super helpful though, thanks a ton!

Oddly enough they haven't canceled the last BOS-DTW tomorrow.
5aa6dc4210b08_ScreenShot2018-03-12at3_58_51PM.thumb.png.1ab0c21f51c838a32f340e2d8d03d501.png

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