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Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek


Typhoon Tip

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1 minute ago, kdxken said:

 What is it look like for timing up there my daughter is going to be returning from Plymouth State at around 6 PM ? I don't want Her to get caught in a cluster on 93 .

It was sticking to the road already from exit 18-19 a half hour ago. It’ll be slick around then, but nothing too heavy. I’m sure they’ll be salting the daylights out of the highway.

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10 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 Snowing pretty good in Southborough . What do you think for your area ? I'm hoping Sherborn gets more rain than here . 

I'm guessing southborough and sherborn will be pretty similar....southborough in general has a little extra elevation, so maybe that will goose their totals a little higher....but both spots should get croaked pretty hard. I'm guessing 8-14" is a good forecast for both...prob more like 10-15 for areas above 300 feet? Can't rule out a higher lolli as well in any big bands.

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GYX snow estimate has backed off 4" since this morning, still 14" for "most likely", which would be great.  I just hope it doesn't end like Feb 15 last year (a very different and much smaller system.)  About 18 hours before 1st flakes, Farmington's "most likely" for that one was 17" with 10% chance of 21.  They got a bit over 5".  I'll guess we end up at the 90% chance - 10".  Other than Feb 2010, I've never been disappointed by double-digit snow.

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6 minutes ago, snowman21 said:

Anyone believe the 4 inches in Fairfield? I mean BDR has basically been 1 SM -SN and 34 degrees. Not exactly a good combo for accumulating.

In Fairfield and no more than 1 inch OTG. 1/2in from overnight melted but rates have not been hard enough to accumulate anywhere

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1 minute ago, snowman21 said:

OKX sliced about 25% off their accumulations in the CT zones. One more cut and they'll basically be back to where they were 12-18 hours ago.

BOX keeps upping mine. 6 inches this morning has turned into 12 to 18 . Come get it I don't want it . 

 

 

 

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7 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

I'm not in New Fairfield for this one, unfortunately. But my parents said that they are nearing 10" and heaviest snow all day (elevation is 800' at Sherman/New Fairfield border).

Yea, thats an anomoly. Everyone else is experiencing crap snow growth all day besides a couple bursts when the band went through. But it was expected we bang by 1-2pm and we have not. The east trends severely hurt our chances to tickle the CF. 

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1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, thats an anomoly. Everyone else is experiencing crap snow growth all day besides a couple bursts when the band went through. But it was expected we bang by 1-2pm and we have not. The east trends have severely hurt our chances to tickle the CF. 

I think being further west is helping with this one, just like the last one.  They are right on the NY state border.  I have a friend in Ridgefield, also west side and at elevation saying they're probably around 6-7".

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3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, thats an anomoly. Everyone else is experiencing crap snow growth all day besides a couple bursts when the band went through. But it was expected we bang by 1-2pm and we have not. The east trends have severely hurt our chances to tickle the CF. 

It’s been snowing like a mofo here after noon time. I’d have to measure but EASILY 6” for sure. And it is still dumping right now. May have to do with orographic lift up this way. Over 1200ft of elevation to help. 

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