40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Euro looks better to me on that follow up wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 7 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: U should post less and read more, now mind your own biz cmc all day watch and learn rook the euro is keying on wave 2 looks to bring up the coast just like cmc told u rook ? I have been calling for an event on Wed PM-Wed night all week long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: ? I have been calling for an event on Wed PM-Wed night all week long. Don’t respond to him he... he trolls out the NYC forum as well... he’s limited poster for a reason... major weenie!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Doesn't quite get the job done... but it's a fairly big improvement on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 That look at H5 is like deja vu. Holy March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Congrats, Ack. We will end up with a storm...probably more moderate in magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 55 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Because? Because the 1980's were snowless compared to the 90's, 2000's and 2010's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Another nice bump nw on the EPS with spread to the north. We got what we needed overnight. Snowy Wed night and Thursday a high likelihood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 EPS 3” prob thru Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: EPS 3” prob thru Friday is that good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 gefs look like they have some decent hits too. Definitely worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Need to see this trend continue Sorta weary it does, but potential is there Looks like first wave could waffle south and weak , dont know if that makes second wave more latitude challenged. Dont love the confluence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: is that good? Yes. Considering it’s gone up each run the last 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: gefs look like they have some decent hits too. Definitely worth watching. There is some but they Have had some last 4-5 Runs. Less cne Involvement on gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: There is some but they Have had some last 4-5 Runs. Less cne Involvement on gefs Well in SNE there’s definitely time for that second one to deliver some snow. That’s a potent look at 500 and that PV lobe near Maine only needs to move a tiny bit. The first wave is a miss, but nice to See DC get some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well in SNE there’s definitely time for that second one to deliver some snow. That’s a potent look at 500 and that PV lobe near Maine only needs to move a tiny bit. The first wave is a miss, but nice to See DC get some snow. They still may not to be honest. BL temps could suck and or that first wave could still end up a sheared mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Hopefully that front runner wave keeps weakening. It's def gotten weaker over the past few runs. I wasn't expecting it but it's a good thing for the second wave on Wednesday night/Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 GEFS EPS held onto the scraper outcome. So close to more. Time to watch 2nd wave now that Tuesdays a minor playa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Tick.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Tick.... Going to be a bumper crop of them this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: Going to be a bumper crop of them this year. Not imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: GEFS EPS held onto the scraper outcome. So close to more. Time to watch 2nd wave now that Tuesdays a minor playa This doesn’t look like a scraper to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not imby Nope, That's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, allgame830 said: This doesn’t look like a scraper to me... Not at all. It was another huge bump NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not imby 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not imby Why No tics in your back yard?,,chicks in your back yard?,and why will there be a ton this yr?,not being rude just wondering ? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 7 hours ago, BombsAway1288 said: Because the 1980's were snowless compared to the 90's, 2000's and 2010's They had a lot of near 0 winters since 1990. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: They had a lot of near 0 winters since 1990. Yeah the 1980s weren't that bad down there. They were horrendous up in New England though. Our 30 year averages will def go up. BOS may be like 47" in the new 30 year average but not sure how they smooth it. They may not raise it as much since they use some sort of smoothing Algorithm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 The GGEM solution last night did what no other verified system this year has ... actually produced a K.U. storm... I-95 corridor style - although arguable with some mix issues on the short side of that metric. The Euro solution came in more amplified ... that's the important take away. One aspect I would like to point out to the crooning cinematic audience of the modeling mise en scene ... the Euro has a known seaward bias along the eastern seaboard ... NCEP pointed that out a coupe of times this winter in their Ext. range discussions, often having to correct westward in short ranges. It may "seem" like guess work, but I can aver clad scientific reasoning why this is a candidate scenario for just such a bias, and combing those with the former fact that it was indeed more amplified, that hearkens to a bigger impact potential for me. Regardless of the specific model's bias, et al, we are still clearly having some sampling issue in the runs. The 00z to 06z comparison among the MESO models (I think) plays homage to that. The 00z NAM and that ICON model both took a similar tact that moved closer to a GGEM total solutiion, but then, ...en masse, they both went less amplified in almost precise measure - certainly by evolution-complexion that was true - on the very next cycle, the 06z, which is not a run that gets the complete benefit of the physical input. That sort of mirror behavior among cousin solutions disparate nonetheless, tells me that input (as in the initialization) is more likely the cause for continuity irregularities there. The flow upstream from the Pacific into western N/A could not be more complex. It's midland to weak stream nebularity that the models then try to resolve out in time... and, out in time, this whole ejection east of placeholder trough construct, it is taking place in a non-traditional PNAP. The ridge in the west is not really in a stronger configuration on the heels of the ejected material, ...whereby, the whole circulation medium would more traditionally force a deeper solution in the east due to wave spacing/reasons. This is a crumble up sort of event on the EC, where downstream residual -NAO tendencies is forcing the front of the wave to slow, and that's sort of akin to a tsunamis metaphor - that's when the front of wave slows against the land, and the back of the wave then rears above...and so on. Not sure what would serve as a for better-than-worse analog for this sort of total evolution. Perhaps Feb 8-10, 1969 or even March 1960 ... these are examples of more modest western ridges but waves that rolled up and broke in a flatter type of flow once they succeed the 80th and/or 70th longitudes. The models never do as well with back-logged wave spacing arguments as they do when things are in a nice orderly west to east procession of events and features. That much I know. And, I don't think the western ridge is going to be showing up to these affairs. ...The -PNA preceding and during is probably helping to negate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 7 hours ago, BombsAway1288 said: Because the 1980's were snowless compared to the 90's, 2000's and 2010's I took the average at DCA starting at 1991-92 and not counting this winter yet. Lower than previous 30 years. 13.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Nothing doing on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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