Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just love a good nor'easter. I know it's not a Cat IV cane, but something about nor'easters just captivate me. Maybe it's the power and the challenge of forecasting, but a good storm like this can let me not worry about major snow. Something about a true beast that leaves me in awe. Yep , full moon goon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Even in April 1997, a majority of the snow fell in about an 8 hour period...it was pretty ridiculous. BOS probably had 17-18 inches in 6 hours between midnight and 6am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie looks great synoptically...but the ptype algorithm is insisting on rain for a good chunk of SNE still at 48 hours. Waiting to see the actual mid-level temps. Don't know if it's just being warm at the sfc. 850 is 0-1 throughout , cools below 0 in western SNE after 15z and out east after 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Even in April 1997, a majority of the snow fell in about an 8 hour period...it was pretty ridiculous. BOS probably had 17-18 inches in 6 hours between midnight and 6am. Yea, I crashed at midnight with 1', and woke up to 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 19 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Here's my evening blog post on the storm: https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Powerful-NorEaster-Extremely-Challenging-Forecast-475480233.html Nice write up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, JGNYK03 said: 850 is 0-1 throughout , cools below 0 in western SNE after 15z and out east after 21z Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 15 minutes ago, Zeus said: Working on a mask that looks like Ray. lol oh man. Kevin is going to be really jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, thankfully no one has forecast 3 feet. But we know weenies everywhere are thinking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Reggie is just warm at 925-850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 RGEM is similar to the NAM. It's just hovering 1-2c even near BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: RGEM is similar to the NAM. It's just hovering 1-2c even near BOS. Easily correctable...theoretically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, JGNYK03 said: 850 is 0-1 throughout , cools below 0 in western SNE after 15z and out east after 21z Similar timing to the EURO....crashed everything over after 3pm on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reggie is just warm at 925-850. Does it bring more qpf up into CNE than the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 RGEM looks whacked out once beyond about 36-39 hours...it has pretty cold 925mb temps established over the interior and the ageostrophic component is def pretty decent on the wind barbs....but yet, it just goes absolute furnace within a 3 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm hedging...keep in mind, its not a final call. You have 2 feet of snow for Fitchburg and the National Weather Service has less than an inch . Somebody's gonna be way off . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m very curious to see what BOX does with their next update. Lots of evidence that they need to increase snow amounts...a lot...and quickly. My weather apps are still very meh. It sure what drives them I don't recall such a disparity between the NWS and local forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 02:55:22 03:17:10 RUNNING-03:22:20 15-30 MIN. LATE Gfs running late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Does it bring more qpf up into CNE than the NAM? 0.3 or so for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM looks whacked out once beyond about 36-39 hours...it has pretty cold 925mb temps established over the interior and the ageostrophic component is def pretty decent on the wind barbs....but yet, it just goes absolute furnace within a 3 hour period. Solar insolation? It is weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, kdxken said: You have 2 feet of snow for Fitchburg and the National Weather Service has less than an inch . Somebody's gonna be way off . If it's me, I'll gladly admit it an analyze why. Keep in mind...there is a range.....lower elevations likely closer to 12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, ineedsnow said: 02:55:22 03:17:10 RUNNING-03:22:20 15-30 MIN. LATE Gfs running late Mythologically speaking, that’s typically interpreted as a good omen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good, sensible take. Yes great explanations. 6 inch probs are actually higher in the NE hills than NW hills though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Yes great explanations. 6 inch probs are actually higher in the NE hills than NW hills though Yea, I like the ORH hills down to near Union the most....more moisture, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 word from ncep is they are updating the thermal coding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: word from ncep is they are updating the thermal coding. You probably don't remember the 12 21 09 storm where they had to rerun the entire run due to a major input error. First one had a complete miss from DC to Bos. Next one had 1 to 2 feet which happened. Talk about weenie freakouts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: word from ncep is they are updating the thermal coding. Just like Gronk....it is sick of the beatings and decided to retire early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I like the ORH hills down to near Union the most....more moisture, I think. NAm is sick with fronto our there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 02:55:22 03:17:10 RUNNING-03:22:20 15-30 MIN. LATE Gfs running late Here come the frivolous theories on why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You probably don't remember the 12 21 09 storm where they had to rerun the entire run due to a major input era. First one had a complete miss from DC to Bos. Next one had 1 to 2 feet which happened. Talk about weenie freakouts lol I remember that....that was tremendous.....nice storm IIRC.....want to say there was thunder in West Hartford around 6pm-ish....I think I had pulled off 84 on my way home from work to clean the snow/ice build up on the windshield and while I was outside doing that the sky lit up and BLAM-O.....so great.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Amped said: Here come the frivolous theories on why. Will you be UP ALL NIGHT waiting for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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