TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 This GFS run has an incredible changeover. Complete torch over to ice cold in one frame. With a CCB overhead. THIS IS WHAT WE'VE BEEN EXPLAINING FOR DAYS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: awful pbp, looks improved ie cooler and with that pos model’s temp package thats big. Ya that pbp was horrid lol...holy smokes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Would prefer the low to be 25 miles east, that rain/snow line sets up just west of the river. Too close for comfort. If you can offer up more than just a reach-around or a makeout session, you just might be able to get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Lol....39/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Ground temps in the upper 30s. 850 temp above freezing what am i missing looks warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Ground temps in the upper 30s. 850 temp above freezing what am i missing looks warm? At what hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: awful pbp, looks improved ie cooler and with that pos model’s temp package thats big. AHAHAHAHAHAHAHA......totally.....I guess pbp's come in as many varieties as the GFS runs...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 850mb goes from +2 to -6 in one frame. Boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Ground temps in the upper 30s. 850 temp above freezing what am i missing looks warm? Your'e fired from pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ground temps in the upper 30s. 850 temp above freezing what am i missing looks warm? You're are missing that you can't rip and read 2m temps....read my blog post. This is exactly why so many mets are probably going to bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: At what hour? 48 i was looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ground temps in the upper 30s. 850 temp above freezing what am i missing looks warm? Warm bias with GFS thermals, trending w/ more favorable thermals and placement of low...and rapid collapse in surface temps with heavier rates/CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ground temps in the upper 30s. 850 temp above freezing what am i missing looks warm? You’re missing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 GFS looks too progressive compared to other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 48 i was looking at Lol....get the glasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, ineedsnow said: 48 i was looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Your'e fired from pbp I will just quit lol 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You're are missing that you can't rip and read 2m temps....read my blog post. This is exactly why so many mets are probably going to bust. Ill remember that for 6z. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: GFS looks too progressive compared to other guidance It's biased progressive....we'll see what the Euro does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 GFS Is like the Mets of NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You're are missing that you can't rip and read 2m temps....read my blog post. This is exactly why so many mets are probably going to bust. This right here is why I read this forum......been true since Eastern in 2005......thank you......I fail miserably conveying this to all the losers at work who rely on Apple Weather for their forecast.....amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 42h is pound cakes west of the river I dont care what the surface colors say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Look at Ryan.....just servin it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: GFS Is like the Mets of NY what does that make you (mr metfan) ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: GFS looks too progressive compared to other guidance Most guidance has trended more progressive at 00z...we will see if that sticks. Several 12z runs had us hammering through about 09z. Now 'were mostly done by 03z-06z. I could see it going both ways...we do have a pretty decent flow across the center of the CONUS to try and push it along...but at the same time, these real big bombs tend to hold on for that extra 6-8 hours with a nuking out upper low more than models often give it credit for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: GFS looks too progressive compared to other guidance Agreed. I have a hard time seeing that, even with the weakening Atlantic ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Harv is waivering in confidence...really hedging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 That is one helluva sad looking clown map on tropical tidbits. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Most guidance has trended more progressive at 00z...we will see if that sticks. Several 12z runs had us hammering through about 09z. Now 'were mostly done by 03z-06z. I could see it going both ways...we do have a pretty decent flow across the center of the CONUS to try and push it along...but at the same time, these real big bombs tend to hold on for that extra 6-8 hours with a nuking out upper low more than models often give it credit for. Ya Trending progressive, Not a good thing for e areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Harv is waivering in confidence...really hedging. What did he say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Harv is waivering in confidence...really hedging. Honestly feeling bad for him. Looks nervous. Not something you see from him very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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