Semper911 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Its odd to be honest very odd Gfs hugging? Maybe they know there's something wrong with the euro? (and the others) They know something we don't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Look who did the afd. Case closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 20 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Does anyone have any insight into the power failure potential in this compared to previous big storms? In other words, should I “battery up”? I know a NatGrid lineman posted here and they told him to pack for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Loop the 3km NAM sim reflectivity. Watch when the northern stream vort finally captures the system. That's when the mid levels go to town, and you can see the precip blossom out west around 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 GFS has my surface temp at 45 while a 977 low is 150 miles southeast and I'm under heavy precipitation. Bull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: GFS has my surface temp at 45 while a 977 low is 150 miles southeast and I'm under heavy precipitation. Bull. Bull for sure. But, not being 45, is it 33? or is it 37? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Warm I’d take the under with that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: Bull for sure. But, not being 45, is it 33? or is it 37? Yeah, that is a more difficult question for sure. I could see 34-5 with giant mashed potatoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 The last 5 pages in this thread are amazing. You can feel the past 6 days of tracking starting to come out . Been a fun journey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Congrats scooter on 18z reggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 No early calls from airlines to offer free rebookings yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I would be happy if my screen name was Hoarfrosthubb or MPM right now. That's about all I can say for certain. This seems nuts. 12z on Monday? Coast is fkd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, Semper911 said: I know a NatGrid lineman posted here and they told him to pack for a week. Yeah, there was a storm two years ago in February that had over 100K outages in RI with 7-8 inches of paste. That was minus the wind potential this storm presents. If the 10-15” amounts come to fruition, along with the wind, get ready for a few nights of board games. The infrastructure in RI and Worcester Hills is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 LOL. Maybe that will take a few down. The wording from BOX about the CF is about as strong as I have ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 EEN looks sweet on the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Congrats scooter on 18z reggie I give up at this point. What the hell is that with so much snow up north in NNY and into CVT. I just sold on anything decent north of Killington to a lot of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Congrats scooter on 18z reggie Thermals too warm huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Dpb1983 said: Yeah, there was a storm two years ago in February that had over 100K outages in RI with 7-8 inches of paste. That was minus the wind potential this storm presents. If the 10-15” amounts come to fruition, along with the wind, get ready for a few nights of board games. The infrastructure in RI and Worcester Hills is a joke. If it is a powder event (which seems highly unlikely for most) no issues. But paste and winds equal dark nights and gennies. Good like to you folks. You saved my azz in 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Reggie is really close to a lot more...it's counting a lot of the precip during this time frame as rain, but you can see we're below 0C at 850 already...so gotta keep a sharp eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Gfs shuts snow down by 9pm outside of ct, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie is really close to a lot more...it's counting a lot of the precip during this time frame as rain, but you can see we're below 0C at 850 already...so gotta keep a sharp eye Yeah, it has 2m in the 40s in CT at 48 with 850s around zero. That would be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 It is a good thing this isn't even the main event lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, Dpb1983 said: Yeah, there was a storm two years ago in February that had over 100K outages in RI with 7-8 inches of paste. That was minus the wind potential this storm presents. If the 10-15” amounts come to fruition, along with the wind, get ready for a few nights of board games. The infrastructure in RI and Worcester Hills is a joke. Yes I got smoked in that one, was as bad as Irene, zero wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I give up at this point. What the hell is that with so much snow up north in NNY and into CVT. I just sold on anything decent north of Killington to a lot of people. Your clients will not be happy, be careful DIT will steal some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: If it is a powder event (which seems highly unlikely for most) no issues. But paste and winds equal dark nights and gennies. Good like to you folks. You saved my azz in 2008 I was pretty happy the “bomb cyclone” turned out to be powder. Nobody wanted to be outside in the sub-Arctic days that followed that beast. Is the media just not buying the snow potential or are they playing catch up at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 27 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's the key, multiple tide cycles. We don't get those very often, and when we do they usually end up in the history books. I think blow back is going to be a problem in the PSM area. That first tide gets into Great Bay but the east jet won't let it retreat back out to sea before the next tide. Can't forget inland flooding/runoff exacerbating it in places too if it stays mild along the coast. 35 ft seas now on WW3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 rgem is a crushing out here, precip algorithms ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Reggie thermals have been awful this winter. Maybe only GFS worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: rgem is a crushing out here, precip algorithms ftl. It has nothing to do with algorithms. It has you at 40F surface temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Went out for a run, but the lack of updates on the GFS is telling lol. Looks more like a few slushy inches than blue bomb on mobile. Round and round we go. Not that I'd base a forecast solely on the 18z runs, but it's a new solution every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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