CT Rain Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Oof. We torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Terrible run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Gross run, Ryan will have question marks tonight. Nam usually worries him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Iowa today SNE Wed? seems likely 5 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Or that could be this thread when it trends warmer. NAM and SREFs got the ball rolling tonight. For those in the game, better hope they are wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 NAM max warm layer is at 900mb...so weird how low it is. I'm skeptical of that push that low into a CAD setup. Maybe it will end up right, but I'll want to see this consistently up to near go-time to think that we'll be pushing 900 that efficiently deep inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: NAM and SREFs got the ball rolling tonight. For those in the game, better hope they are wrong. Well the good news is they usually are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 rt2 north I think no matter are worry free but i have seen probably close to 100 of these swfe turn into bummers close in over the past 3 to 4 decades I could easily see a quick inch or perhaps 2 to the pike then a scalp fest and zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Lmao...you had to know the NAM had that coming...when does it ever not have an amped/nuts/weird run or two or three?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 NAM really juiced it up. What a week for the ski resorts. Ski Country needed this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I kind of fear the NAM. I might be totally off but I remember it usually being pretty good with ML warmth in SWFEs. That said, I'm not convinced the SLP tracks over my fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Why is this forum calling that a southwest thing? The low is going underneath the majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Is it voodoo when people say these always tick northwest towards go time? If not, this could be turning meh for a good chunk of people. I wouldn’t be surprised if we didn’t see much measurable snow out of this south of Boston. Couple inches west of Boston and maybe an inch or so in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 24 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Oof. We torch. Last night you said we snow...NAM still has 3-4 inches for inland areas ... I’m ok with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The difference in the 00z 3km NAM and the 18z run is sizable too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Why is this forum calling that a southwest thing? The low is going underneath the majority. Mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Last night you said we snow...NAM still has 3-4 inches for inland areas ... I’m ok with that. Dont let the camera fool you. He worries with the best of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I would be more worried about the NAM if we were inside 36 hours. Given this is still in its crappy zone I wouldn’t worry too much yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I also recall many times when the NAM was alone sniffing out mid level warmth and then ping, ping, ping. We shall see. A good weenie is always nervous before a storm. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, snowgeek said: I also recall many times when the NAM was alone sniffing out mid level warmth and then ping, ping, ping. We shall see. A good weenie is always nervous before a storm. . It’s not even mid level warmth it was markedly west with the track and WAA as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The differences I saw were at 500mb. It looked sharper with the s/w and hence a track more into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 RPM is also a torch FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 We go through this every SWFE, we know the game .Ct congrats n of 84 3 to 6 NW CT 6 to 8 NE Ct East of Tolland 2 to 4 SWCt 2 to 4 Sect 1 inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 RGEM is a furnace too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Game over I guess! watch euro and tomorrow’s suites come back around lol it reminds me of bitcoin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We go through this every SWFE, we know the game .Ct congrats n of 84 3 to 6 NW CT 6 to 8 NE Ct East of Tolland 2 to 4 SWCt 2 to 4 Sect 1 inch or 2 Yeah it's kind of my feeling on it...I was even mentioning to Scott earlier that I wouldn't be surprised if we get a run or two trying to track this over ORH...then we see things cool back down as we go the final 24 hours. It seems like the 00z suite tonight is going to be the "lets track this over ORH" model suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 47 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM max warm layer is at 900mb...so weird how low it is. I'm skeptical of that push that low into a CAD setup. Maybe it will end up right, but I'll want to see this consistently up to near go-time to think that we'll be pushing 900 that efficiently deep inland. Is this really a CAD setup? Never saw that with the last one and I don’t see that with this one either.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Is this really a CAD setup? Never saw that with the last one and I don’t see that with this one either.... It's an obvious CAD setup....look at the high position and the kink in the isobars as the low approaches...it's nothing like the previous storm yesterday. That said, if this goes another 100 miles west from even tonight's runs, then we will still warm sector eventually....but this is pretty classic CAD look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The GFS originally looked a little amp, but if anything tracks a hair south of 18z. Quite the thump pike north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 GFS actually looks a hair better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 GFS looks good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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