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Bonafide SWFE 2/7-8


weathafella

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Serious question. Am I misremembering SWFE climo here? I recall it being a 3-5” event followed by a mixed back and ending as a brief period of rain.

This looks to produce virtually no snow here. Am i wrong, or is this just just  warmer version SWFE

Warmer version. You are thinking of ones with a bit better antecedent airmass and high placement.

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3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Serious question. Am I misremembering SWFE climo here? I recall it being a 3-5” event followed by a mixed back and ending as a brief period of rain.

This looks to produce virtually no snow here. Am i wrong, or is this just just  warmer version SWFE

You'll get a couple I bet.

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I wouldn’t be surprised with half an inch or 3-4” if we’re being honest. These things tend to come in like a wall.. if we hold snow for 90 minutes longer than models predict... could equal another 2” of snow. 

At this point, I’d lean on the lower end though

Safe bet.  We're gonna inch our way to climo.

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8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully your flight is cancelled.

In your job you probably have a better sense of this than I, but I doubt that'll be the case.  It's not like its impacting any hubs or anything.  Do you have anything that shows how airports do wrt to cancellations in storms?

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6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

In your job you probably have a better sense of this than I, but I doubt that'll be the case.  It's not like its impacting any hubs or anything.  Do you have anything that shows how airports do wrt to cancellations in storms?

It's all the airline. In general they love to cancel because it saves money. Diversions, delays, and fines from sitting on the tarmac cost tons of money. I would prepare for a cancellation if I were you. I know it sucks, but with the weather...not sure how many will get out of BDL at 2pm.

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5 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said:

Some of the jbenedet ball busting that went on today was over the top. He's an asset to this site. His posts are intellectually sound, well written, respectful and erudite. He never goes off topic with political rants nor does he intentionally needle posters like ginxie.

 

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5 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said:

Some of the jbenedet ball busting that went on today was over the top. He's an asset to this site. His posts are intellectually sound, well written, respectful and erudite. He never goes off topic with political rants nor does he intentionally needle posters like ginxie.

Agreed.

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The euro is THE EURO, so of course that dented my confidence somewhat. It was a warmer look at hr 24, that then simply fell in line with 0z's outcome. I'm a bit skeptical of that. The euro -- like me -- is largely all alone, but on the other side of it; warmer versus colder respectively.

I want to hold out for the 18z mesos before signficnantly taking down confidence . I have a hunch that the 12z EPS will be slightly north/west of the op and that could represent another flag, that the op is too cold...

The 12z GEFS were also notably warmer than 6z.

Euro H5 look also continues to trend warmer, with higher heights over the West Atlantic and in SE Canada.

 

 

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