weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The pressure forecasts are just ridiculous...this is going to be a ton of fun watching this thing just explode and strengthen. The CCB is going to be absolutely nuts. This is going to be an insanely difficult forecast with a ton of bust potential on both sides. Figuring out exact track, where your heaviest banding sets up, and given the intensity of the banding you're going to have one helluva subsidence zone. There are just so many factors to take into account for this forecast...how the snowgrowth will be and whether winds will be too strong and rip dendrites apart, will it actually be too cold in the SGZ or will the SGZ actually be a bit lower than what you would like to see? Given the intensity of the system will the bulk of the precip remain more confined towards the center of the system...my God Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: KTOL will love that map We Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: come to poppa I think we're gonna get smoked!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FIRST CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-likely-thursday-near-hurricane.html Verification of MPM's pessimism . Hopefully the set up still favors heavy snows into NY State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL tomorrow night. I love this quote: "Snowfall should overspread most of Eastern Mass by the mounting commute on Thursday morning." I need details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 lmao who tagged the thread "happening james" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FIRST CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-likely-thursday-near-hurricane.html Close call for BOS! Thanks for sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: I love this quote: "Snowfall should overspread most of Eastern Mass by the mounting commute on Thursday morning." I need details. With photos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Notice how models are kicking it east farther up the coast with almost every run. Should be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 14 minutes ago, Hoth said: Gotta hope for better heights back here, dude. Come on convective heat release! It’s ticking closer but still not there. I expect this to gain more latitude before it makes the nudge ene though. eps mean had a better ridge which setup a more west trough than the 12z gefs...yet it was still east of the gefs. red flag to this guy. Lets go, one time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Playing out exactly as many envisioned. Just a crushing from ORH eastward. This is for Coastalwx... note the onshore NE flow OES enhancement into Weymouth. I'm done. We meh. Congrats easterners. Wake me when it's over. By the way, where's James? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, JC-CT said: cape cod really getting the shaft there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: In all honestly, why do you even post in here? Ok we get it, you hate big storms, cold and snow. This is a weather forum. It's where people come that like the phenomenons of weather. It's one thing to hate winter, the cold and snow and just enjoy the science of weather from a summer standpoint but it's another to come in here and post the pessimistic, negative garbage that you do regarding every winter event. You should strongly consider moving south of here because the winter storms around here are probably only going to get bigger and stronger in our lifetime. Just my 2 cents. I hope that includes the storm on your avatar, thats the kind of distribution to make just about everyone happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FIRST CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-likely-thursday-near-hurricane.html Nice writeup This may be an example of the Euro --- run only twice a day --- being the slowest guidance to keep up with trends, assuming the mesos will be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Notice how models are kicking it east farther up the coast with almost every run. Should be telling. exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 We take the GEFS. Big jump there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Notice how models are kicking it east farther up the coast with almost every run. Should be telling. I feel like with the lack of good blocking that opens up room for a further track east. Would really need help from a nicely negatively tilted system earlier in the game to really perhaps help with a tug west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 There are a lot of specific calls and congrats in here for almost 2 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: We take the GEFS. Big jump there. Pumps and a bump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, Hoth said: I love this quote: "Snowfall should overspread most of Eastern Mass by the mounting commute on Thursday morning." I need details. LOL Thanks...no time for proof reading haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent a hugging track but no blocking it can hug... no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 What I don’t know is how the banding sets up. This is not a developing large, but rapidly feeling H5 low. It’s kind of tight. Will be interesting to see how it goes. I do think it may be west of NAM, near Reggie. At least right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: LOL Thanks...no time for proof reading haha Leave it! Hilarious! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent an hugging track but no blocking it can. no? Will mentioned with a strong block this would left hook into tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I feel like with the lack of good blocking that opens up room for a further track east. Would really need help from a nicely negatively tilted system earlier in the game to really perhaps help with a tug west. While true, with stemwinder systems you typically see them cut across the thermal gradient rather than along it. Part of the “creating its own ridging” mystique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent an hugging track but no blocking it can. no? I think you want the blocking to sort of develop as the storm is working up the coast. Like...if the blocking is in place previously that isn't good. could be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent an hugging track but no blocking it can. no? If we had blocking in this case, this would sling into Long Island. The blocking would help slow down and close off the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: While true, with stemwinder systems you typically see them cut across the thermal gradient rather than along it. Part of the “creating its own ridging” mystique. gotcha...I think I actually remember coming across that on Twitter a few days back...can't remember who said it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What I don’t know is how the banding sets up. This is not a developing large, but rapidly feeling H5 low. It’s kind of tight. Will be interesting to see how it goes. I do think it may be west of NAM, near Reggie. At least right now. My Posts do this all the time but what are you saying about 5H low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Ah, like Sandy did. OK, well you suck Judah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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