OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: gotcha...I think I actually remember coming across that on Twitter a few days back...can't remember who said it. Blocking really helps to turn the whiff or light events into something closer to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: We take the GEFS. Big jump there. This is why they suck though. Not enough spread in the short-range so they jump together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Great time for the heating functions to die in my car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Blocking really helps to turn the whiff or light events into something closer to moderate. Thank you! That's easy enough to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: My Posts do this all the time but what are you saying about 5H low Effing auto correct. I meant large and rapidly deepening H5 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 19 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: cape cod really getting the shaft there. And NS gonna get porked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Effing auto correct. I meant large and rapidly deepening H5 low. Is oceanstwx(The kind fellow)who puts together those maps overlaying the best lift and where banding would be per certain models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Wow, Bluewave mentioned in the NYC forum that the surface pressure depicted on the Euro is -7 standard deviations. That's incredible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: This is why they suck though. Not enough spread in the short-range so they jump together. I mean how is that a good model Showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 FWIW: HRDPS also much further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is oceanstwx(The kind fellow)who puts together those maps overlaying the best lift and where banding would be per certain models I might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 “the heart wants what it wants” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: I might be. And what would it take for you to be that fellow this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: And what would it take for you to be that fellow this time? For starters I need to get to work, and that won’t be until 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I’ll take Rays snowfall map in a heartbeat! had me in the 8-14 inch zone..we take. also nice write up Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: For starters I need to get to work, and that won’t be until 10. slacker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 10 minutes ago, WintersComing said: FWIW: HRDPS also much further west Still time to get this over PVD, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 40 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: I hope that includes the storm on your avatar, thats the kind of distribution to make just about everyone happy. Absolutely. That was a NAM run back when I made the account when I lived in New Jersey. Think it was the last big true miller A before Jan 16'. Now I live in Eastie and loving my spot for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RPM is back to a blockbuster for central and eastern CT, oh that model, i love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Still time to get this over PVD, huh? Wonder how much E NY will get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: “the heart wants what it wants” Similar to the Canadian meso model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: RPM is back to a blockbuster for central and eastern CT, oh that model, i love it bang bang skeet skeet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 50 minutes ago, tim123 said: Notice how models are kicking it east farther up the coast with almost every run. Should be telling. Yea I think we’ll eventually lose the “kick” altogether. We’ve lost the warm core look on most guidance through hr 42 or so, but it seems to come back after that point to some degree, resulting in the further east movement (away from the cold air) which is counter to mid latitude cyclone development. It should be losing the warm core characteristics with latitude, not gaining them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wonder how much E NY will get? 1-2" for Albany? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Remember that anafrontal deal a couple years ago that turned into a full-fledged coastal within the last 48 hours or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I'm working on a blog post/snow map and I almost don't even want to do a snow map right now lol...there's just too many unknowns and the range potential is just too high. There is zero way to really know where the CCB will setup and that doesn't only influence where the jackpot zones are but it also influences who sucks on subsidence for a good amount of time. I'm even uncertain how expansive the precip shield will be...although this point is more due to lack of knowledge. I want to feel like that since this thing is going to be insanely deep that two things will happen; 1) The core of the precip shield is confined closer to the center of the storm and 2) Will precip end up being more bandy...like what happened in Boxing Day in 2009...that too could also introduce areas of subsidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: Remember that anafrontal deal a couple years ago that turned into a full-fledged coastal within the last 48 hours or so? the high light of that winter back here...6-7 inches mashed potatoes ground b4 wasn't even frozen solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 1-2" for Albany? My gut says 4-8 easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Remember that anafrontal deal a couple years ago that turned into a full-fledged coastal within the last 48 hours or so? Another ain’t happening James wasn’t it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: For starters I need to get to work, and that won’t be until 10. We would like the wv vs model verification analysis, please. throw in a ncar ensemble post and we happy, you can rest afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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