moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Playing out exactly as many envisioned. Just a crushing from ORH eastward. This is for Coastalwx... note the onshore NE flow OES enhancement into Weymouth. I'm done. We meh. Congrats easterners. Wake me when it's over. By the way, where's James? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, JC-CT said: cape cod really getting the shaft there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: In all honestly, why do you even post in here? Ok we get it, you hate big storms, cold and snow. This is a weather forum. It's where people come that like the phenomenons of weather. It's one thing to hate winter, the cold and snow and just enjoy the science of weather from a summer standpoint but it's another to come in here and post the pessimistic, negative garbage that you do regarding every winter event. You should strongly consider moving south of here because the winter storms around here are probably only going to get bigger and stronger in our lifetime. Just my 2 cents. I hope that includes the storm on your avatar, thats the kind of distribution to make just about everyone happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FIRST CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-likely-thursday-near-hurricane.html Nice writeup This may be an example of the Euro --- run only twice a day --- being the slowest guidance to keep up with trends, assuming the mesos will be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Notice how models are kicking it east farther up the coast with almost every run. Should be telling. exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 We take the GEFS. Big jump there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Notice how models are kicking it east farther up the coast with almost every run. Should be telling. I feel like with the lack of good blocking that opens up room for a further track east. Would really need help from a nicely negatively tilted system earlier in the game to really perhaps help with a tug west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: We take the GEFS. Big jump there. Pumps and a bump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, Hoth said: I love this quote: "Snowfall should overspread most of Eastern Mass by the mounting commute on Thursday morning." I need details. LOL Thanks...no time for proof reading haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent a hugging track but no blocking it can hug... no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 What I don’t know is how the banding sets up. This is not a developing large, but rapidly feeling H5 low. It’s kind of tight. Will be interesting to see how it goes. I do think it may be west of NAM, near Reggie. At least right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: LOL Thanks...no time for proof reading haha Leave it! Hilarious! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent an hugging track but no blocking it can. no? Will mentioned with a strong block this would left hook into tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I feel like with the lack of good blocking that opens up room for a further track east. Would really need help from a nicely negatively tilted system earlier in the game to really perhaps help with a tug west. While true, with stemwinder systems you typically see them cut across the thermal gradient rather than along it. Part of the “creating its own ridging” mystique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent an hugging track but no blocking it can. no? I think you want the blocking to sort of develop as the storm is working up the coast. Like...if the blocking is in place previously that isn't good. could be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wait, I always thought blocking would prevent an hugging track but no blocking it can. no? If we had blocking in this case, this would sling into Long Island. The blocking would help slow down and close off the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: While true, with stemwinder systems you typically see them cut across the thermal gradient rather than along it. Part of the “creating its own ridging” mystique. gotcha...I think I actually remember coming across that on Twitter a few days back...can't remember who said it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What I don’t know is how the banding sets up. This is not a developing large, but rapidly feeling H5 low. It’s kind of tight. Will be interesting to see how it goes. I do think it may be west of NAM, near Reggie. At least right now. My Posts do this all the time but what are you saying about 5H low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Ah, like Sandy did. OK, well you suck Judah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: gotcha...I think I actually remember coming across that on Twitter a few days back...can't remember who said it. Blocking really helps to turn the whiff or light events into something closer to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: We take the GEFS. Big jump there. This is why they suck though. Not enough spread in the short-range so they jump together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Great time for the heating functions to die in my car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Blocking really helps to turn the whiff or light events into something closer to moderate. Thank you! That's easy enough to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: My Posts do this all the time but what are you saying about 5H low Effing auto correct. I meant large and rapidly deepening H5 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 19 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: cape cod really getting the shaft there. And NS gonna get porked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Effing auto correct. I meant large and rapidly deepening H5 low. Is oceanstwx(The kind fellow)who puts together those maps overlaying the best lift and where banding would be per certain models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Wow, Bluewave mentioned in the NYC forum that the surface pressure depicted on the Euro is -7 standard deviations. That's incredible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: This is why they suck though. Not enough spread in the short-range so they jump together. I mean how is that a good model Showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 FWIW: HRDPS also much further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is oceanstwx(The kind fellow)who puts together those maps overlaying the best lift and where banding would be per certain models I might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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