BristowWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 We didn't win the car but we did get the years supply of Rice-a-roni...the San Francisco treat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: Thanks, but we can all see what we need on TT. Take a break tonight and enjoy time with your family. Yes. Sage advice. It's 2 inches with a slanted stick. No reason to skip the egg nog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I don't see a lot of upside unless we get a flush hit from the southern wave. It's too easy to see how it might happen though....the MA gets skipped between streams. Hey Bob Merry Christmas it's going to be ok bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Hey Bob Merry Christmas it's going to be ok bro Lol. Just keepin it real. Pretty blues and ground truth are 2 different things. 2.3"....this run didn't do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: Lol. Just keepin it real. Pretty blues and ground truth are 2 different things. 2.3"....this run didn't do it It's Sunday man we trickle up our way to 4" and cold temps. Win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Storm 3 probably builds big SE ridge out ahead, storm 2 in a few days could track more inland, even having the first piece cutting up to the west as the main low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, leesburg 04 said: It's Sunday man we trickle up our way to 4" and cold temps. Win! We probably only need .25 qpf to do it too.... Seems reasonable. The stoked bros think I'm a little unstoked tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Lol. Just keepin it real. Pretty blues and ground truth are 2 different things. 2.3"....this run didn't do it The whole period is lacking clarity. But I still agree with something you said yesterday which is I doubt all these systems staying suppressed. It's not an inactive pattern. Right now it all looks squashed. My gut says one or more ends up amplifying. It's just frustrating not knowing which one. But ive learned enough to know when a setup is too complicate for me to know the outcome. So I'm just gonna wait and see until we get some stability and clarity in the guidance. But I'm still confident something comes of all this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2nd storm on new years day is a southern slider... miss to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Could be north ga's year. Not sure what their records are but if the gfs panned out it would have to be close to all time snowiest Dec. Some areas already have 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, yoda said: 2nd storm on new years day is a southern slider... miss to the south Yes that would be fun to witness. Wonder how many other ways we can fail. But having it to our south doesn't really scare me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Looks like Bigfoot stomped on all our snow. Drought too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Could be north ga's year. Not sure what their records are but if the gfs panned out it would have to be close to all time snowiest Dec. Some areas already have 10" A foot in Brevard, NC not too far from north Georgia in that surprise storm for them back on the 8th according to my in-laws. They were expecting an inch or two per local forecasts when it started that morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: Looks like Bigfoot stomped on all our snow. Drought too! That is a pure Boxing Day 2010 pattern re-dux... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Could be north ga's year. Not sure what their records are but if the gfs panned out it would have to be close to all time snowiest Dec. Some areas already have 10" I think 09-10 and 10-11 is the snowiest winter on record there for most of the climo sites but December didn’t have much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 I like our potential with the 2nd event the GFS is showing. Like it being to our South as this point in time. Plenty of time to trend NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, HighStakes said: Yes, that is often the case. I would mention a few others but I'm guessing you're a little to young to remember. Usually when that happens it is because the first storm becomes our 50/50. I will actually be shocked if we dont hit a couple of events over the next couple of weeks. The pattern is just screaming snow. And of course we are not going to have to worry about the cold air. If I dont see snow by the 10th of January I am out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: That is a pure Boxing Day 2010 pattern re-dux... Great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 With not much support from really anything else I hesitate being optimistic here....But we have seen this play out this season as others have noted. A big dog...probably not but look at the difference in the pac vort strength in just a 54hr forecast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Usually when that happens it is because the first storm becomes our 50/50. I will actually be shocked if we dont hit a couple of events over the next couple of weeks. The pattern is just screaming snow. And of course we are not going to have to worry about the cold air. If I dont see snow by the 10th of January I am out 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Man...what a uninterrupted super steady long period of artic cold starting tomorrow and going strong thru day 10...fairly rare That's the bigger part of equation ...and we got plenty. No doubt we get some snow imo. We might not hit the jackpot but we will score. We are staring at 2-3 weeks of deep freeze. At the very least will fall into something. The bitter cold January of 1977 was very dry but still produced several minor events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Man...what a uninterrupted super steady long period of artic cold starting tomorrow and going strong thru day 10...fairly rare That's the bigger part of equation ...and we got plenty. No doubt we get some snow imo. Need a contest for how much snow by the end of the year. It looks great for cold. But snow? Less than 2 inches at each airport. My guess with the exception of RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 44 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We didn't win the car but we did get the years supply of Rice-a-roni...the San Francisco treat ROFL. You just gotta love this sub-forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 23 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: That is a pure Boxing Day 2010 pattern re-dux... That's a re-dux of what has occurred all too often since September as I said last night, except the hole needs to be adjusted a little to the southwest. On the bright side, these anomalous patterns usually don't last over 90 - 120 days. Perhaps later tonight or tomorrow the models will begin to sense a break. Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Man...what a uninterrupted super steady long period of artic cold starting tomorrow and going strong thru day 10...fairly rare That's the bigger part of equation ...and we got plenty. No doubt we get some snow imo. the trough has a positive tilt and maybe a kicker to the west, but plenty of moisture and a 1050 high in the midwest. lift that trough north and west a bit and we could be looking at something worthwhile. i'd rather be in this spot right now for next weekend than having to worry about where all the cold air is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, HighStakes said: We might not hit the jackpot but we will score. We are staring at 2-3 weeks of deep freeze. At the very least will fall into something. The bitter cold January of 1977 was very dry but still produced several minor events. It's been way too long since we've had anything resembling the cold stretch like the winter of '77, and though I want snow as much as the next person, I have some really great memories from that winter. Make it happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 18 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Usually when that happens it is because the first storm becomes our 50/50. I will actually be shocked if we dont hit a couple of events over the next couple of weeks. The pattern is just screaming snow. And of course we are not going to have to worry about the cold air. If I dont see snow by the 10th of January I am out I agree 100 percent . Colds in place. Several Pac. Short waves. Cold is always overdone in the long range. I think the suppresion shown now will let up some.We may not have a big dog but i would be shocked if we get shut out over the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: It's been way too long since we've had anything resembling the cold stretch like the winter of '77, and though I want snow as much as the next person, I have some really great memories from that winter. Make it happen. I was only 4 years old lol. But I do remember '82. It would be great to do it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: I was only 4 years old lol. But I do remember '82. It would be great to do it again. Lol. I was 14 and it was brutally cold, but like you said, snow-starved. We made the best of it though. Lots of pond skating and cafeteria tray "sledding" on frozen solid hills. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GEFS is better. Much better. Nearly 0.4" of liquid for DC. With hopefully high ratios, we could be talking about a moderate snow event DT hasn't given up yet either. I mean, he's sticking to what he said, but at least he hasn't jumped ship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: GEFS is better. Much better. Nearly 0.4" of liquid for DC. With hopefully high ratios, we could be talking about a moderate snow event DT hasn't given up yet either. I mean, he's sticking to what he said, but at least he hasn't jumped ship Bob < actually they have taken another step in the wrong direction > Bob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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