mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 My prediction over the next 10 days, outside of ocean effect and upslope, is that 3 snow events will affect New England. One will be small to moderate and affect a relatively small area. Another will be small to moderate and affecting a larger area. And a third will be moderate to major and affect much of us. Rationale is strength of cold air, pattern persistence and La Niña northern stream, and storms occcuring at the end of major cold outbreaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 21 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So what I'd like to see from the GFS today is a continued suppression on the lead southern s/w. That's what the trend has been over the last 3 runs. It scoots well offshore ahead of the trailing northern stream diving out of Canada. By doing all this it allows for the trailing wave to dig more and carve out a decent trough and develop our Miller B that the Euro shows. Yeah. I see no chance of these two short waves phasing. Get the first one out of the way and give the second some room to do the cha cha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 The GFS sucked with the Christmas storm, It had me in a subsidence zone for like 5 runs in a row of getting 4", It was to far NW with that feature here anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 43 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So what I'd like to see from the GFS today is a continued suppression on the lead southern s/w. That's what the trend has been over the last 3 runs. It scoots well offshore ahead of the trailing northern stream diving out of Canada. By doing all this it allows for the trailing wave to dig more and carve out a decent trough and develop our Miller B that the Euro shows. I would like to see that not only for selfish snowfall reasons, but that is how I drew up events during the pre season huddle. The Miller A juggernuat version never sat well with me...more n stream emphasis does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 31 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: My prediction over the next 10 days, outside of ocean effect and upslope, is that 3 snow events will affect New England. One will be small to moderate and affect a relatively small area. Another will be small to moderate and affecting a larger area. And a third will be moderate to major and affect much of us. Rationale is strength of cold air, pattern persistence and La Niña northern stream, and storms occcuring at the end of major cold outbreaks. I agree that we aren't leaving the arctic unscathed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 GFS fell flat on its face last storm. Euro was the winner. Things back to normal in the universe. GFS seems to be the least on board with a system for Sat night/early Sun. So we'll see...I'd prob favor something but keep expectations in check...could be a scraper type or a fast moving advisory type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Watch that n stream system this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS fell flat on its face last storm. Euro was the winner. Things back to normal in the universe. GFS seems to be the least on board with a system for Sat night/early Sun. So we'll see...I'd prob favor something but keep expectations in check...could be a scraper type or a fast moving advisory type deal. Yup no big dogs in sight. Just little to medium sized dogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup no big dogs in sight. Just little to medium sized dogs You said doozy and then rendered everyone speechless spinning the word doozy into meh. But I love you and merry Christmas to you and your family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup no big dogs in sight. Just little to medium sized dogs Most likely...and I'm fine with that. Best holiday season in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Well I guess this answers everyone’s questions.....LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 wennies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: wennies Do you think you can develop a separate wennie tag? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Do you think you can develop a separate wennie tag? FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: FYP Lol..that’s what I had. Stupid autocorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 31 minutes ago, weathafella said: You said doozy and then rendered everyone speechless spinning the word doozy into meh. But I love you and merry Christmas to you and your family. Lol. Bloody Mary’s on the plane ride? I just think folks have suffer interpretations of doozy. At any rate.. it does look like a snowy weekend. Hope you can get back. Seasons Greetings! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 GFS making some improvements at 5h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 GFS and Euro are totally different with H5. GFS does not dig and almost waits for the energy in the PAC NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Brett's Canadian with a much better look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Brett's Canadian with a much better look. Yeah a few inches of powder from a scraper this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 GFS seems to be trying for more of the NY deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. Bloody Mary’s on the plane ride? I just think folks have suffer interpretations of doozy. At any rate.. it does look like a snowy weekend. Hope you can get back. Seasons Greetings! Lol. There is a local on-air met who has what he calls a "Doozometer" to show the strength of an expected storm. I wasn't able to find an image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So what I'd like to see from the GFS today is a continued suppression on the lead southern s/w. That's what the trend has been over the last 3 runs. It scoots well offshore ahead of the trailing northern stream diving out of Canada. By doing all this it allows for the trailing wave to dig more and carve out a decent trough and develop our Miller B that the Euro shows. The CMC basically does that now. Getting there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 40 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Well I guess this answers everyone’s questions.....LOL . I like this guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS and Euro are totally different with H5. GFS does not dig and almost waits for the energy in the PAC NW. Yeah, one of these models will have to make a larger scale change at 5h. I though the GFS nodded some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 GGEM looks tasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Such larger differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Since the consensus is boring, I'm glad there is a ton of spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 The best is when you look at precip total accumulation on any model for any period and you don't have to wonder if there's any liquid. Get us the cold it will snow days are here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 NC weenies should be happy again with this GFS run. They're pretty upset about losing the 28th/29th potential. Lucy's setting Charlie up again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.