CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: lol. I think I've been more positive this year than others. I actually enjoyed the Thurs event more. Even if it's less then predicted, a 20" here, 15" there, 16+ here....the interior has some of the biggest snow puss1es I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2017 Author Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Off topic, but anyone know how to reduce the spacing in my sig? Can't seem to fix it. Nope. And this forum is a glorious place with them turned off in my settings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Off topic, but anyone know how to reduce the spacing in my sig? Can't seem to fix it. Hold down the shift key and hit enter key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2017 Author Share Posted February 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even if it's less then predicted, a 20" here, 15" there, 16+ here....the interior has some of the biggest snow puss1es I've ever seen. Jack fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Nice East-West plumes on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Nothing to complain about, standpoint of not seen often in winter. MODIS pass unfortunately eclipsed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 meh for sure, missed the forecast range by several inches. Getting 8" on a forecast for 4" is way better vs. 8" on a forecast of 12-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hold down the shift key and hit enter key lol, too late. I just added more text per line. thanks though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Gagetown (CYCX) nb has been ripping. 55 cm/22" and counting. 36 cm/14" in the last 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, bobbutts said: meh for sure, missed the forecast range by several inches. Getting 8" on a forecast for 4" is way better vs. 8" on a forecast of 12-18" Well and there's the weenie problem. Focusing on the high of the range. Because a forecast of 8" and getting 4" or 12" is the same relative miss (though everyone would take the high bust versus low). Our SOO and I were just having a discussion about snowfall forecasting, and I would be curious to see what some other mets would say, but when forecasting snowfall you should always be at least a little concerned you are too low on amounts. Otherwise, you have a high bias. And that's really not a good thing to have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Wife just measured and says ~4" since I cleared this morning, so maybe not meh afterall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nice East-West plumes on radar Poland and Oxford are getting smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Poland and Oxford are getting smoked Looks like this western band is starting to take some of the sting out of the eastern one. At least making it more unstable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Poland and Oxford are getting smoked Puking from the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 This subsidence zone is aggravating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even if it's less then predicted, a 20" here, 15" there, 16+ here....the interior has some of the biggest snow puss1es I've ever seen. One thing to note is that taking the under on the bigger forecasts and modeling has really worked well for expectations. If BOX forecasts 12-18" and I forecast 8-12" and get 10", then I feel like a 5x SB champ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: One thing to note is that taking the under on the bigger forecasts and modeling has really worked well for expectations. If BOX forecasts 12-18" and I forecast 8-12" and get 10", then I feel like a 5x SB champ What about in Jan 2015 when OKX went 24-30 for all of NNJ, I went 8-16, and they got 2-4... is that squeaking into the playoffs and getting blown out in the divisional round? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Forky and i were discussing the bias of euro overamplification. Seems to be pretty pervasive lately...even within the short range. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 just recorded a 50mph gust...with 36mph sustained over the last hour or so...wound up with 6.5" total after last nights mood snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 oh look, the euro was overdone again. 48 hour forecast vs verification Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Forky and i were discussing the bias of euro overamplification. Seems to be pretty pervasive lately...even within the short range. Any thoughts? This storm is no slouch, but the Euro did have it at least 10 mb deeper at this time (based off the 12z run yesterday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Blizzard has to be raging in the Penobscot Bay region. The buoy in the western part of the bay is 43G58KT right now with 9.2 ft seas every 5 seconds. Not bad for the bay. That will slap you around a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 WSW should not have been dropped for rockland and strafford counties in NH this morning. We've been in that sw section of the westernmost band all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Man, that banding keeps pinwheeling around southern Oxford county and our hood. Looking at cam, I'd say this was better than last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: WSW should not have been dropped for rockland and strafford counties in NH this morning. We've been in that sw section of the westernmost band all day. Western part of Rockingham and Strafford really haven't been in it like the eastern part of the counties. I probably could've kept coastal Rockingham in, but it was a tough call. Needed to do something with them by 10 AM because they were expiring anyway. Opted for wind advisories with blowing/drifting impacts instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Western part of Rockingham and Strafford really haven't been in it like the eastern part of the counties. I probably could've kept coastal Rockingham in, but it was a tough call. Needed to do something with them by 10 AM because they were expiring anyway. Opted for wind advisories with blowing/drifting impacts instead. Fair enouh. I see your point. But the cities are all in the NE sections of those counties--Rochester, somersworth, Dover, Portsmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 29 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well and there's the weenie problem. Focusing on the high of the range. Because a forecast of 8" and getting 4" or 12" is the same relative miss (though everyone would take the high bust versus low). Our SOO and I were just having a discussion about snowfall forecasting, and I would be curious to see what some other mets would say, but when forecasting snowfall you should always be at least a little concerned you are too low on amounts. Otherwise, you have a high bias. And that's really not a good thing to have. I feel like we are sometimes going to gangbusters and overthinking things on forecasts that aren't exactly brainteasers. I can't speak for Maine obviously, but I think it was pretty obvious that the BOS area struggle for a bit with snow. I felt like many people were throwing out numbers way to high and still kept at it yesterday when the trend was there. So now, not only do you give the met community a bad name...you now have repercussions such as economic issues and hardships by school/business cancellations..etc. Whatever happened to going with the more likely outcome? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 I follow somebody from Halifax NS on Instagram ... here is a photo she took today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 blizzard conditions at Augusta ME, with 45mph wind gusts. I believe this HZ (haze) is in error and it is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: I follow somebody from Halifax NS on Instagram ... here is a photo she took today Incredible snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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