SN_Lover Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, deltadog03 said: I would argue that at hr 90 its not much different than the 18z run....nice little tilt to it... Heights are more spread out and vort is anemic. It's not as healthy as 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, griteater said: It is indeed weaker and a touch farther south....suspect it will be a good run for the southern areas yep, ideal look at this point. no warm nose due to an amped system, will look good in the deep south here coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 At 102, light snow from Dallas to ArkLaTex to N MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 This is going to be even farther south and weaker unless you can hope for a last minute phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, Wow said: This is going to be even farther south and weaker unless you can hope for a last minute phase yep def south in the gulf at 108, but at this range i dont mind the suppressed look at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 GFS is going to the Euro with each run, I tried to urge caution with the 12Z - as it was pretty obviously overdone IMHO. I am sticking with my forecast of a minor event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 For sure more suppressed at 12z Saturday. Higher qpf noticably south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 At 108 it has snow from Dallas to Macon to Columbia and to the NW to E TN and W NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: This is going to be even farther south and weaker unless you can hope for a last minute phase Complete cave to Euro...oh well. Time for bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: Complete cave to Euro...oh well. Time for bed. Not as bad but trended that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 00z GFS matches up very well with the 12z Ukmet. Would make for a nice winter storm across the Deep south. Hopefully the 00z Ukmet holds serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, griteater said: Not as bad but trended that way Posters farther south are rooting for the opposite as NC. Really s case of what's bad for one area is good for another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Also, shouldn't dismiss this for folks further south, looks like a nice overrunning event for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: GFS is going to the Euro with each run, I tried to urge caution with the 12Z - as it was pretty obviously overdone IMHO. I am sticking with my forecast of a minor event. When you account for the classic NW trend, this could be a decent winter weather event for Atlanta....definitely going to keep watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Caved to the King. smh. Looks like parts of N and NW NC could get practically blanked this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Looks like the surface low crosses Florida at...Lake Okeechobee. Good run for areas like central GA, SE NC, etc., though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, LithiaWx said: Posters farther south are rooting for the opposite as NC. Really s case of what's bad for one area is good for another. Yep agree, I'm fine with this run even up here all things considered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Congratulations Wilmington! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cg2916 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I'm ok with this, leaves more room for the northwest trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Not a bad run...I noticed the CMC is coming in a little better...a little more separation through hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 QPF could be much more expansive that what the GFS is showing. Looks like the qpf output is having convective feedback problems in the gulf. (Of course, that could wind up being an issue). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Yep agree, I'm fine with this run even up here all things considered This is just fine by me right now. It won't stay where it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Bleh, from 8" to nothing IMBY. Better suppressed than rain at this point though. The deep south deserves snow from time to time anyhow, and we all know things will change between now and Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 00z UKMet coming in looks like similar to new GFS, but looks like it has slightly more amplification over the SE...guessing it would be a decent system for a lot of our region, but not a biggie. It has stream separation though which is key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 if you ask me what i'd want to see the gfs show 4/5 days out for a nc snowstorm i would paint this picture. seriously, this is a great look and leaves room for the possible NW trend here over the next 48hrs. living and dying with each model run will drive you crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: This is just fine by me right now. It won't stay where it is. I'd agree as well though would like to see the Euro make a move tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: This is just fine by me right now. It won't stay where it is. Yep, exactly what I want to see this far out. Even if all we end up with is flurries, it beats the pants off of a raging SER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 After this run, my confidence has actually strangely increased for Atlanta to see at least 2 inches of snow this weekend. Atlanta's biggest issues are almost always surface temperatures and cold air aloft...that's not a problem so far with this storm and I predict the QPF field will be more expansive and moisture-ladened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 CMC went boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Canadian is a nice hit!! Trended much better compared to 12z.... gotta wait for the euro now. It's trying to climb the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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