griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Pack was worried about cirrus, now he has 12 inches of digital snow He'll screw it up somehow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, HWY316wx said: Here are 2 of the precip type models. Looks like it's all snow in that sweet spot in GA. Um, that would be my back yard. GFS has had that bulls eye maxima between Atlanta and Athens for quite a few runs. Do feel better with the 00z coming in a bit colder. 18z was getting borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: Think it's been fast all along tho...it's probably catching on to more stream sep...took it a while Yep, looks inline with the rest of the pack now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 UKMet at 96 is up off the Canadian Maritimes...won't have earlier hour images for a while...can't really speculate what it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 41 minutes ago, WidreMann said: Yeah, but let's be honest, BL temps are going to be a problem. It's going to be sunny-ish on Friday and the cold is moving in with the storm. Any speedup in precip or temps being a little warmer on Friday and that could kill hours of precip that could be snow. Won't help with ground temps either. These events are tricky. Its not always getting sun. Places further SW which will see no sun on Friday can get killed by precip moving in too early and wet bulbing them down too early. When its 44/20 you don't necessarily want the precip to start because you can saturate into the mid or upper 30s. I've seen that one happen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: UKMet at 96 is up off the Canadian Maritimes...won't have earlier hour images for a while...can't really speculate what it looks like How do you only get hour 96 and not previous images??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GGEM through 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: John C on WYFF, says he's upping his totals for GSP to 2-4" inches, from 1-3" at 6pm, based on new model info I would love to see at least 3" around GSP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: GGEM through 60 How does that compare to 12z. Mixing issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Canadian is about a tenth wetter in the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 good look on the canadian, good model agreement. keep in mind this is 10:1 and bifkit shows some high ratios as temps crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: GGEM through 60 Its slowly bailing off that lack of snow over AL/GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: How do you only get hour 96 and not previous images??? Yeah it's really weird...it's from the sideways French site, ell oh ell http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=1&ech=60&carte=1021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Canadian looks way better for Atlanta East/Northeast. Much more like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Sick gradient in NC...RDU 30 miles from 0.4" and 20 miles 1"+. That was a big shift on the GEM and slower, it must have been deep h5 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 monday morning on the gfs, keeps getting colder every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: Sick gradient in NC...30 miles between. RDU 30 miles from 0.4" and 20 miles 1"+. That was a big shift on the GEM and slower, it must have been deep h5 low. I was just discussing this earlier. Both the GFS and CMC show this same tight gradient...those on the northern end of that precip max. streak are getting the most snow in their respective states. It's amazing how similar CMC and GFS look now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, WidreMann said: How does that compare to 12z. Mixing issues? 95% of your precip on the Canadian is subfreezing everywhere....it's very likely all snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Brad Panovich, still being conservative for Charlotte with 1-3" total and also an early start. Didnt mention total but once though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Dang, single digits even on the coast of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Pilotwx said: Big Frosty we are running out of time! The models can't makeup their minds 1 says snow the next model says nada! It might be time for a WV map? Na not yet but come tomorrow I'm breaking it out Looks like Imma gonna have to head east Need a lot of EURO love tonight... And a Miracle to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 30 minutes ago, weatherfide said: I think that was 1992. I remember it because I was downtown in college at the time and people on the radio were calling in 8" amounts in Fayetteville. Hey, Kyle! Might have been. One of those two spring ULL in recent years gave me 8, and a spring storm late March in the 80's gave me 7. Had the second worse ice storm down here in the early 80s..second only to Atl 73, and since I was in a pine forest did way more damage around my house. Over 1 1/2 inches. Was on a bit over an acre and you couldn't find the ground anywhere. We had bon fires from weeks in the neighborhood. No power for 11 days, and I had mine back in Buckhead in 73 in a week. Of course, only official totals count, but I know what I experienced, lol. Lived in Midtown until 1980 and never saw totals like I have down here, and I know it's because the closer you are to the storm the more precip you get in heavy bands. Trouble is you get left out when folks north of the Air Port are getting hit good. I was smack in the def zone of that ULL and it really came down. Had the ground not been so warm it would have been much more, but it was melting fast to cool it down enough for what was left to stick. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Lanie Pope underwhelmed for the Triad. Going with a southern NC event on the lighter side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Definitely some model consensus with the GFS and CMC snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 14 minutes ago, griteater said: Pack was worried about cirrus, now he has 12 inches of digital snow He'll screw it up somehow The king of digital snow...it's the verifying kind we struggle with. Painful waiting for Uk to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: Looks like Imma gonna have to head east Need a lot of EURO love tonight... And a Miracle to boot. Still got the german model on your side. 0z DWD-ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 24 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: Btw at hours 48-54, there's a pesky 925 warm nose that wedges itself through East GA....it erodes eventually, but it's part of the reason why those areas aren't seeing high snow accumulation because the precip is there. Yep, and if I'm not mistaken this feature is why the GFS has been throwing some higher totals up into the upstate and NE GA mountains as well as parts of western NC. Where I'm sitting at I like it, as long as it doesn't get any stronger. But I do feel for my friends to the southeast who always get bitten by the warm nose... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Wow said: Still got the german model on your side. 0z DWD-ICON You know you in trouble when you searching the globe for a model that gives you snow. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12z Euro came a bit SE if I recall so maybe the jogging is almost done? Models lining up a lot more closely now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Lanie Pope underwhelmed for the Triad. Going with a southern NC event on the lighter side. Surprisingly, Van Denton is slightly more optimistic. Of course, he's expecting the SE to NW gradient, but calling for 2"-3" in GSO. More in SE Guilford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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