RaleighWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Snow and sleet forecast from GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: 12z Euro came a bit SE if I recall so maybe the jogging is almost done? Models lining up a lot more closely now Yeah, you know you're GOLD man! Good luck.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Cary_Snow95 said: Raleigh westward would be all snow there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Models are kind of converging, but things still change/adjust within 36-48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: DWD-ICON... Since no one has ever heard of it we can't just assume it's a poor model right? Hey now it's been pretty consistent with this sharper, slower wave. I'm pulling for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, CaryWx said: 12z Euro came a bit SE if I recall so maybe the jogging is almost done? Models lining up a lot more closely now Unfortunately though the Ensembles still seem to be all over the place. Hopefully that will start to change when they come out tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: Yeah, you know you're GOLD man! Not too giddy to realize this all could be just a dust-bust (at best) too. Been there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: Raleigh westward would be all snow there Gotcha. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: Raleigh westward would be all snow there Raleigh westward to Burlington. lol westward from there flurries!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: DWD-ICON... Since no one has ever heard of it we can't just assume it's a poor model right? I would guess so, if it was that good it would be used by more. Reason it's so deep it really digs that low in the SW, kind of like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 German 0z total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, SN_Lover said: German 0z total precip I'll take the German for a $1000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, SN_Lover said: German 0z total precip That has about the same QPF as the CMC for rdu. Right around .8-1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I think if your in GA, and most areas in the SE......GREAT trends tonight. GFS is VERY close to a really good hit around here....CMC, and GFS trending better with qpf and colder for sure around GA. RGEM looks like its going to be good as well. 4KM NAM was getting better...reg nam...its lost. I noticed that the precip is about 6 hours or so slower moving in...I am ok with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Straw grasping time in full swing... gfs rly looking juicy. Cmc falling in line. Euro like come south more 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 That warm nose is inching its way eeeeever so slightly into n/e Georgia on the latest GFS. Wouldn't take much more to get that thing into the southern part of the upstate. I've seen that story play out many times. Everyone's totals approaching 2-4" while you're still sitting with a cold rain. Just plain brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Dang, why can't the Germans show inches instead of mm ? 13 mm = 1/2 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 DT is about to release his first guess map soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Snowless in Carrollton said: DT is about to release his first guess map soon Ready the crayons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Snowless in Carrollton said: DT is about to release his first guess map soon Good, He'll probably have me in the 4-8 if it's like usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: DT is about to release his first guess map soon DT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: German 0z total precip Thats around an inch of QPF east of I77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, mckinnonwg said: DT? Dave Tolleris. He runs Wxrisk.com and is an active, if aggressive (both in forecasting and towards people) social media and private forecaster. Edit: Not sure if that was a serious question or not, so I answered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wow said: Thats around an inch of QPF east of I77 Yep. In all my years here on amx weather I've never seen or heard of it failing, being wrong etc. We you to use a french model, but for whatever reason we got rid of her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: Ready the crayons. I spit water on my screen. I don't expect to see a lot of movement in models at this point. At least not big shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, HWY316wx said: I spit water on my screen. I don't expect to see a lot of movement in models at this point. At least not big shifts. Just wait for them to be showing 40 and rain at 2 AM on Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, HWY316wx said: I spit water on my screen. I don't expect to see a lot of movement in models at this point. At least not big shifts. For my sake I hope the GFS ends up a little north. I don't guess it would take much for it to shift 30-40 miles north ? But if it doesnt I'll still be happy with 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, WidreMann said: Just wait for them to be showing 40 and rain at 2 AM on Friday night. Now that would be just my luck. Glad to see your smart mouth back. Always know something is cooking when you show up. (I mean that in the nicest of ways) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Yep. In all my years here on am I've never seen or heard of it failing, being wrong etc. We you to use a french model, but for whatever reason we got rid of her. It's stuck to its guns. Same as the 18z run, ill give it that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 New UKMet is sharper with the trough over the SE than the GFS...and it's a little colder this run. Looks really good from Atlanta (assuming the good precip gets back there) to south of Charlotte to south of Raleigh...should be all snow NW of that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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