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ncskywarn

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Everything posted by ncskywarn

  1. ncskywarn
    This would be ugly.
  2. ncskywarn
    Started snowing in Western Cary, Carpenter area about 10-15 minutes ago. Small flakes but it is snowing.
  3. ncskywarn
    To make it even more laughable Wake County gets more snow on that map then anywhere else in the United States or Canada.
  4. ncskywarn
  5. ncskywarn
    Someone on Southern Weather said that the HRRR uses the same algorithm that the RAP uses. So that really is not unexpected or surprising.
  6. ncskywarn
    Even is the models trend back with more QPF do you really think that Western Wake County will only be in the 1-2 inch range?
  7. ncskywarn
    WAR flexed just enough to slow down the NS and allow the SS to catch up just a little.
  8. ncskywarn
    Not necessarily because that would cause WAA mixing issues and a lot of ice. That many of us don't want to see.
  9. ncskywarn
    RDU SERF
  10. ncskywarn
    Just changed over to all snow now.
  11. ncskywarn
    Still rain/snow mix Cary Park area of West Cary.
  12. ncskywarn
    Not sure if this has been posted before but Interesting read. https://observer.com/2019/08/weather-forecast-noaa-prediction-models-accuracy/
  13. ncskywarn
    https://www.severestudios.com/livechase/
  14. ncskywarn
    Greg Fishel announcement http://wr.al/1EK7j
  15. ncskywarn
  16. ncskywarn
    06Z GFS significantly further South compaired to 00Z at hour 96. Edit: Ends up about the same place though at hour 120. By hour 150 the low ends up further North over the NC sounds just West of Hatteras. compaired to off the coast East of the NC/SC border a lot more rain then snow for a lot of people.
  17. ncskywarn
    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 76.8W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
  18. ncskywarn
    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 76.7W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
  19. ncskywarn
    According to the Mayor that was a erroneous report anyway. That's why I deleted it.
  20. ncskywarn
    GFS at 36 almost identical to 18Z. At 66 just a little East of 18Z.
  21. ncskywarn
    Looks like Northern model trends continue next up GFS
  22. ncskywarn
    Sorry I deleted my reply it started workingf again.
  23. ncskywarn
    ICON is West at 21. Edit: makes landfall near North Topsail at 33 and is moving West inland at 48.
  24. ncskywarn
    ICON is West at 21
  25. ncskywarn
    NAM is NW made landfall near Wilmington at hour 33 moving W at hour 36 & 39 stalled on the NC & SC border at 42 & 45. Edit: still stalled same place hour 51.
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