ncskywarn

It went operational as of the 12Z run today.- (12 Jun 2019) The operational GFS has been upgraded to the FV3 core as of this morning's 12z run.

(12 Jun 2019) The operational GFS has been upgraded to the FV3 core as of this morning's 12z run.

https://www.severestudios.com/livechase/

We have Andrea 000 ABNT20 KNHC 202149 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 550 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda has developed a well-defined center with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph. A special advisory will be issued on Subtropical Storm Andrea by 6:30 PM EDT or 2230 UTC. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Cangialosi

Tornado Watch WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCHES 88/91 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 428 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019 NCC001-007-037-057-063-067-077-081-085-093-105-123-125-135-145- 151-153-165-167-183-200000- /O.EXT.KRAH.TO.A.0088.000000T0000Z-190420T0000Z/ TORNADO WATCH 88, PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON, IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN NORTH CAROLINA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 20 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA ALAMANCE ANSON CHATHAM DAVIDSON DURHAM FORSYTH GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT HOKE LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND SCOTLAND STANLY WAKE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ABERDEEN, ALBEMARLE, ANDERSON CREEK, ANGIER, ANTIOCH, ARCHDALE, ASHEBORO, ASHLEY HEIGHTS, BADIN LAKE, BETHESDA, BISCOE, BURLINGTON, BUSHY FORK, BUTNER, BYNUM, CARRBORO, CARY, CHAPEL HILL, CONCORD, CREEDMOOR, CUMNOCK, DUNCAN, DUNN, DURHAM, EAGLE SPRINGS, EAST ROCKINGHAM, ELDORADO, ERWIN, GRAHAM, GREENSBORO, GUM SPRINGS, HAMLET, HASTY, HIGH POINT, LAKE TOWNSEND, LAUREL HILL, LAURINBURG, LEXINGTON, LILLINGTON, MONCURE, MOUNT GILEAD, OXFORD, PEKIN, PFAFFTOWN, PINEHURST, PITTSBORO, PLYLER, POLKTON, RAEFORD, RALEIGH, RESEARCH TRIANGLE, ROCKFISH, ROCKINGHAM, ROXBORO, SANFORD, SEVEN LAKES, SILER CITY, SILVER CITY, SOUTHERN PINES, STANLEYVILLE, SURL, THOMASVILLE, TIMBERLAKE, TRAMWAY, TRINITY, TROY, ULAH, WADESBORO, AND WINSTON-SALEM. $$

Lee County has been removed from the warning.

Greg Fishel announcement http://wr.al/1EK7j

06Z GFS significantly further South compaired to 00Z at hour 96. Edit: Ends up about the same place though at hour 120. By hour 150 the low ends up further North over the NC sounds just West of Hatteras. compaired to off the coast East of the NC/SC border a lot more rain then snow for a lot of people.

Smart idea

Not to mention the NC State Fair is suppose to open tomorrow afternoon.

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 76.8W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 76.8W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 76.7W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES