Wild Weather Monger

Montego Bay seems to be destined to be struck by the intense western eyewall.. Yikes. http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/05Pilon/plnMAXw01a.gif

Aside from the storm already being.2 degrees further west than the 5 pm advisory, it sure looks to be moving faster than 3 mph, too.

Yep. a bit of southerly component this evening. Also, it appears to have increased its forward speed a bit. Small chance Melissa gets far enough west before re-curving and just misses Jamaica to the west if this movement persist a bit longer than expected.

What to make of the big positive spike shown at months end before most of those members fall off of the cliff? That's new.

It's interesting that the UKMET never drives Karl inland. Makes me wonder if there is any chance at all of the storm lingering in the Bay of Campeche and being picked up by the next trough?

It would seem the loss of life with Ian in the US will be +- some 1700 fewer souls lost than Katrina. 1836 is Katrina's official death toll.

I'm not in Florida either so IDK what the local news was saying. But having lived in SE Louisiana most of my life, local news and government always trumpeted the worse possible scenario. So much so that when the big one actually did come, many were shocked at what the real deal can bring. I think social media plays a part in this too. How many times have we all rolled our eyes at people posting those 2' snowstorm 5-day model runs on Facebook and such that rarely verifies? Or the 200mph 3K NAM for a hurricane?

IDk. When have local or nationional news NOT harped on the seriousness of the situation? One could argue the "boy who called wolf effect" that accompanies so many storms is the culprut.

Different time stamps.

Why would anyone need to boil water when clearly responsible people who choose or have no choice bit to ride out a hurricane surely have at least three days of drinking water in their hurricane preparedness kits?

Grand Isle: https://grandislerentals1.click2stream.com/

Yeah, I've been watching this for my old hometown. This latest jog is looking more like a heading I fear.

All this power outage talk makes me think I'm in my SE forum with .10 of ice accretion in the forecast.

If all I had was a radar and a thermometer I'd be out buying milk and bread after peaking at tonight's SE radar. Dang, can't break this snow drought here.

Whatever. I was there.

Camille 2. 901mb 185mph

Why not? There is a patch of untouched water in the Bay of Campeche.

Dang. I grew up there. I should have chased this one.

After a lazy day recovering from its trip across the Yucatan, Zeta looks to be beginning to fire some convection around the center.

Does anyone have the EMCF and GFS gust products handy? Zeta looks to be likely to cause more inland tree damage deep into the SE states than any storm this season given it's fast forward motion once inland.

Come on people. It's not maxing out until it nears landfall. 2020 remember?

Been painful here 40mi ENE of Atlanta. Have my shot of what's left of this system over the next 4-6 hours. Have crept back up to 35 since the mixed precip ended earlier. Hoping for a nice burst to prime the yard for the rest of the morning.

Radar filling in rather nicely W and SW of Atlanta.

I like ice. The more the merrier. Snow is my first choice of course. Two inches of ice, or two feet of wet snow. Both would put the lights out in this part of the country, but who on this board would pull against a epic snowfall regardless of the impact Despise sleet. Robs one of snow accumulation, and really ticks me off when it takes what could be a crippling ice storm but is instead a couple inches or so inches of useless pellets. Only Wild Weather I do not like is tornado's. I've lived thru, and chased canes, but tornados are killers even if precautions are taken.