CT Valley Snowman Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 How wet do you guys foresee it being Saturday afternoon near Augusta Maine? models seem pretty bullish on the front and short wave dropping through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 I am highly confident that interminable heat is unlikely over our particular geography. (tongue in cheek) However, that Euro solution is classically allowing it's bias/tendency to over construct events in central to eastern Canada to run amok. At 72 hours, there is a vague and small ridge node up there well west of James Bay ...which it doubles, then triples in spatial and mass amplitudes spontaneously from unknown physical source, drilling it then SE toward NS. On that day, Monday, the chart looks reasonable ...but how it got there? quite suspiciously overamp(ing) along the way. So, while it is unlikely that any location N of the Del Marva will be hot end to end ...particularly as one heads N up the coast, I have my doubts the Euro will be successful in that. I bet dollars that whole evolution up there that leads to a big fat oozer dropping south like a brick thudding off the back of a truck normalizes, damps out given time. We'll see... You know ... having said all that, it's hard to say what is really going on but the operational runs of all guidance types are waaay way out of sync with the GEFs -derived teleconnector suite. It may be a function of shortened wave-lengths ... I dunno. But, for days the suite has really been so exotically winter like it would make a January zealot ashamed - yet, predicting heat waves ...just a weeeeee bit out of whack there. fascinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 I am highly confident that interminable heat is unlikely over our particular geography. (tongue in cheek) However, that Euro solution is classically allowing it's bias/tendency to over construct events in central to eastern Canada to run amok. At 72 hours, there is a vague and small ridge node up there well west of James Bay ...which it doubles, then triples in spatial and mass amplitudes spontaneously from unknown physical source, drilling it then SE toward NS. On that day, Monday, the chart looks reasonable ...but how it got there? quite suspiciously overamp(ing) along the way. So, while it is unlikely that any location N of the Del Marva will be hot end to end ...particularly as one heads N up the coast, I have my doubts the Euro will be successful in that. I bet dollars that whole evolution up there that leads to a big fat oozer dropping south like a brick thudding off the back of a truck normalizes, damps out given time. We'll see... You know ... having said all that, it's hard to say what is really going on but the operational runs of all guidance types are waaay way out of sync with the GEFs -derived teleconnector suite. It may be a function of shortened wave-lengths ... I dunno. But, for days the suite has really been so exotically winter like it would make a January zealot ashamed - yet, predicting heat waves ...just a weeeeee bit out of whack there. fascinating. A.C. Installation delay? ...Possible frustration from the April Install crowd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 If you don't install today, you will roast the next 4 days. Get em in ASAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 If you don't install today, you will roast the next 4 days. Get em in ASAP 85-90 with dewpoints in the 40s is warm but not roasting. 85-90 with dewpoints in the 70s is roasting. I won't turn on my AC for those temps with dewpoints in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 If you don't install today, you will roast the next 4 days. Get em in ASAP I actually agree with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 If you don't install today, you will roast the next 4 days. Get em in ASAP I took 15 minutes yesterday and got all 3 installed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 That's the guy! Why was he banned?IIRC he said something homophobic on the political forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 lots of banter posts (installing, banning, etc...) today. Back to dry spells, heat, backdoor fronts, and potential for severe weather, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 I took 15 minutes yesterday and got all 3 installed. Due to the potential heat and unknown location of the backdoor front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 85-90 with dewpoints in the 40s is warm but not roasting. 85-90 with dewpoints in the 70s is roasting. I won't turn on my AC for those temps with dewpoints in the 40s. 50's dews and 65+ Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Perfect scenario on the GFS. High heat through Saturday and then the BD comes roaring through. Sun-Mon ends up miserable for NYC-south while we get sun and cooler temps. That's how you run a BD this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 lots of banter posts (installing, banning, etc...) today. Back to dry spells, heat, backdoor fronts, and potential for severe weather, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 90 tomorrow? Some of the torch areas might be able to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 90 tomorrow? Some of the torch areas might be able to do it. I was just thinking that. WNW flow up here and ~14C at H85. CON/BDL did 84/83 yesterday with about 10C and good mixing...probably a lot of 88-90s in the warm spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 year without a summer ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Perfect scenario on the GFS. High heat through Saturday and then the BD comes roaring through. Sun-Mon ends up miserable for NYC-south while we get sun and cooler temps. That's how you run a BD this time of year. Yeah that's a classic BD this weekend starting on Sunday. Can see that high start nosing down even early on Sunday... And then 24 hours later for Monday it is firmly in place with that high off the New England coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 90 tomorrow? Some of the torch areas might be able to do it. I was just thinking that. WNW flow up here and ~14C at H85. CON/BDL did 84/83 yesterday with about 10C and good mixing...probably a lot of 88-90s in the warm spots. You guys actually beat Kevin to the punch....lol I installed yesterday just to offset the daytime heat. I think we should be fine over night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 What are we looking at for dews tomorrow, Thurs, Fri, Sat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 SW CT specials for storms this afternoon, on our 3rd one since mid-day-mostly thunder and some decent rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 lots of banter posts (installing, banning, etc...) today. Back to dry spells, heat, backdoor fronts, and potential for severe weather, please. You are really stuck on a militant type of order in this forum aren't you? Overall patterns are discussed, but this is a social forum as well. Side discussions are part of what make a successful online community, regardless of how sterile you unidirectional you envision this place being. Don't be so uptight and enjoy the talk (or not). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 12 z Euro ... as I expected, backed off a little on the intensity of that BD for late Sunday and is suspect that trend isn't through. I think there is going to be a boundary in the area though - I just don't see a 35 kt NE under welling roller going all the way to Cape Hatteras and probably something much more akin to a banal BD in this case is more likely. we need these inside of 72 hours in any guidance or they tend to be over done scenarios in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Love all the installations!! Up out of the closets and in the windows. up and In! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 agree Brian ... I think much of the dread of BDs is when the boundary stalls over NYC, they get training multi-pulse natural fireworks while we sit dead calm at 48 F under gray so dense street lamps flick on. ideally, if a boundary needs to come in from the NE ...you're far better off it means business. The 12z Euro did back off a little on the backside HP as well, positioning it more E than the previous cycle.. hopefully, that doesn't mean an edger - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 TPC has a statement out for the region near the Bahamas. this area has been signaled to varying degrees by all guidance - i was wondering, with such ensemble support for a "book end" deal, would a statement turn out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Love all the installations!! Up out of the closets and in the windows. up and In! You are an odd duck my man, haha. Almost an OCD component to it, this compulsion to get people to install AC units. Do those that love heat and humidity all have such an affinity for climate controlled houses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 You are an odd duck my man, haha. Almost an OCD component to it, this compulsion to get people to install AC units. Do those that love heat and humidity all have such an affinity for climate controlled houses? Kev would literally croak down here. No window units needed, Central Air for cooling and heat which is rarely needed. Top to bottom wood 8" tongue-in-grove cedar. Insulates itself I like the heat, easier on the bones, all the aches and pain seems slightly more tolerable. The Td's are what kills ya had to get acclimated real fast-no choice. Come on down I'll show ya some heat. It's been right around 90 (May) everyday with a few days with mid 70 dews. A new meaning to swamp-arz. Another year that the heat rounds the top of a cut-off...tropic watch down here. I'm hoping this is the year the drought is broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 If you don't install today, you will roast the next 4 days. Get em in ASAP I actually agree with this Toughen up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 24, 2016 Share Posted May 24, 2016 Toughen up!install for a few days near 85 with dews in the 50s lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 install for a few days near 85 with dews in the 50s lolFri/Sat look legit muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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