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stormtracker

January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter

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Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity

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the differences @ H5 between the 18z GFS and 0z GFS are pretty staggering, considering we're inside 84 hours. 

The ULL is going to the EURO timing, but higher height rises along the coast do the trick.


Helluva run for you guys.

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Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity

I am not happy with my 2 feet. I want this 50 miles NE please  :P .

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Maybe NWS ran a test instead of a real GFS run? ;)
 

Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity

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Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity

 

Trust me, Ji will find a way!  :lmao:

 

Agree with what you say here.  I've said before that given the choice of something like today's 12Z Euro in which we would rely upon banding in the CCB area...or getting hammered but risk some period of sleet in there (then get hit with banding)...I'd take the latter.  We still would get crushed even those areas that mix with sleet for awhile.

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Not to rain on the parade, but Masco saying there may have been a feedback error and the low may be too far north during transfer to coast

Who is Masco?.

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Well.  I don't even know what to type at this point.

we better never start a thread for a 1-2 inch clipper ever again

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The 500 evolution is just model porn.  It captures the SLP at pretty much the perfect time.  

 

9FvtSG4.png

That's like what... a 4 contour bowling ball? O.o

 

Also, we still don;t really know where the deform band is gonna set up obviously, but it seems like a good bet that it will be over our area and stay for quite a while.

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I'd probably move the heaviest snow amounts NW a little.  And then expand the QPF periphery north/northwest.  We'll have to see what the euro says, but even if this were our only piece of guidance and we were <24 hours out, I would have the max snow lollipop run from OKV to MRB to West of FDK and then down to IAD.  In that quadrant. 

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Trash the gfs over the euro all you want. It has barely wavered for 12+ runs in general besides wobbles. If it busts to "the king" then let the trashing continue for years. But you can't deny the consistency. I've never seem the gfs do this Pre upgrade

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Who is Masco?.

Mike Masco. He is a TV Met who worked at Channel 2 in Baltimore for awhile but is now working at a station in Philly. I bet dtk would take issue with what he said, lol.

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Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity

Just unreal.

Best run of our lifetimes

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Trash the gfs over the euro all you want. It has barely wavered for 12+ runs in general besides wobbles. If it busts to "the king" then let the trashing continue for years. But you can't deny the consistency. I've never seem the gfs do this Pre upgrade

 

Agreed...the GFS has been spitting out insane numbers since 3 days ago...unspeakable.

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