HailMan06 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm gonna laugh my ass off if you guys come within 10% of DCA.Considering that 10% of DCA's expected snowfall would be 2-3" I'd say we have that amount in the bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm gonna laugh my ass off if you guys come within 10% of DCA. Wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm gonna laugh my ass off if you guys come within 10% of DCA. I think he meant if DCA gets 20, within 10% would be 18... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The first question is A) Why do you care what he says? The second question is Why would you ever care what he says? I.L., your stock just went up in my market. Read 1's question, though, was decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I think he meant if DCA gets 20, within 10% would be 18... I figured that was out, but I'm not so sure now, looking at the mesoscale modeling - they may underperform the crazy globals if the heaviest snow is N and W of them and they get more mix. It wouldn't take too much to get you guys close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stampede331 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Question for Mets: within 24 hours, what verifies more often, the NAM or the global mediums? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Omg Lonnie Quinn is on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I think the NAM is overestimating the stall and the amount of time the area gets snowed on. As I said earlier in the thread models seem to do that with large scale events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I need serious advice I need to be at work In Manhattan by 6am leaving LI at 445 In a 4wd truck. Is it going to be snowing hard that early? Should I tell my boss I need to come in earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The little NAM who cried wolf? Appropriate during the wolf moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The water vapor loop on this thing is awesome. To me it looks March '93ish, just not negatively titled yet. I am pumped that Forky is all over this. When a Met, who hammers the snow weenies with regularity, is all in on a storm threat, how can you not be? Yes, I notice the water vapor loop injecting right up the coast towards NYC, although there seems to be a dry slot inside it. Very encouraging, but I think the snow may have a slow time moving into the dry air (judging by the radar). However, my now casting skills are not as reliable as they used to be. Of course the obvious statement is this storm can over produce in NYC metro or greatly under produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The NAM is correct about as often as Donald Trump is elected President of the United States. Uh oh!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Earthlight and co. upped amounts to 9-15 across NYC N to S... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Thank you based nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I need serious advice I need to be at work In Manhattan by 6am leaving LI at 445 In a 4wd truck. Is it going to be snowing hard that early? Should I tell my boss I need to come in earlier? What part of LI? I'm going from jersey city to Manhattan at 5am but don't nearly have as far to go as you. Anyway parkway should be fine with a few inches. Coming home is a different story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Dt final call map out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Dt final call map out. Hasn't it been for 6 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Smells like snow outside. Many acorns will be birthing squirrels in a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm really enjoying the weather channel coverage of this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm really enjoying the weather channel coverage of this storm Yeah they've been doing a great job since last year with storm coverage. Almost like the good 'ole days. Just need Kocin to appear now. ha ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Signing out for the Sabbath. Not going to be watching any more models or radar. Going to enjoy it the old fashioned way. Enjoy all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah they've been doing a great job since last year with storm coverage. Almost like the good 'ole days. Just need Kocin to appear now. ha ha ha Agree. They are actually putting science behind things and talking about weather nerd stuff. Signing out for the Sabbath. Not going to be watching any more models or radar. Going to enjoy it the old fashioned way. Enjoy all! Enjoy the storm Morris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm really enjoying the weather channel coverage of this storm Freakin Verizon fios.. I'm stuck with accuweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Guys I think its almost time to start an obs thread. Can someone do it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Guys I think its almost time to start an obs thread. Can someone do it? Already is one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 what is a randytastic snowstorm? Can we spice it up and say Blizzard of 2016 for nyc etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 what is a randytastic snowstorm? Can we spice it up and say Blizzard of 2016 for nyc etc Hahaha. Randy put in a filter during the NAM or gfs run the other day that turned "amped up" into randytastic. It was too perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA501 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016PAZ065-066-231015-/O.UPG.KCTP.WS.W.0001.160123T0000Z-160124T1200Z//O.NEW.KCTP.BZ.W.0001.160123T0000Z-160124T1200Z/YORK-LANCASTER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YORK...LANCASTER501 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED ABLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THEWINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* ACCUMULATIONS...15 TO 20 INCHES WITH UP TO 2 FEET ALONG THEMARYLAND BORDER.* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIESTSNOW WITH RAPID ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOURWILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TAPEROFF SATURDAY NIGHT AND END BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.* WINDS...FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTSAROUND 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SOME ROADSWILL BECOME IMPASSABLE BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH NEAR WHITEOUTCONDITIONS FROM SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Hahaha. Randy put in a filter during the NAM or gfs run the other day that turned "amped up" into randytastic. It was too perfect. lol. well this will probably be nyc biggest snowstorm since january 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 thats funny superstorm snoop dawg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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