weathafella Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I just want a snowy foxboro. Our national weenie reputation is on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I'm worried about this moving too much ENE screwing western and especially NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I'm worried about this moving too much ENE screwing western and especially NNE. I'm shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Did the Euro show anything for the 18th "storm"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I just want a snowy foxboro. Our national weenie reputation is on the line. Haha agreed! Foxboro is in the best snow spot in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Did the Euro show anything for the 18th "storm"? No....sort of tries to get an inverted trough going for southern CT, but quickly moves east after some light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I think N of the pike is trotting towards the end zone. Yea you guys looking good. Down here, I see a notable trend to collapse the backside quicker. Looking at euro 12z mon and 12z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Did the Euro show anything for the 18th "storm"? What 18th storm? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 12z mon: 12z tue: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Have to favor a rain to snow scenario here w/ minor accumulations generally under 2 inches based on blend of current data, obviously tons of time to change. Far from over but goal posts do seem to be narrowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 What 18th storm? lolThere were earlier postings about a follow up Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I just want a snowy foxboro. Our national weenie reputation is on the line.Euro game time, heavy snow 31 degrees wind NE gust to 30 heavy snow to lighter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Have to favor a rain to snow scenario here w/ minor accumulations generally under 2 inches based on blend of current data, obviously tons of time to change. Far from over but goal posts do seem to be narrowing.Throwing out amounts 4 days out when each cycle keeps going substantially colder? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 There were earlier postings about a follow up Miller A I know, But the Euro does not have it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Throwing out amounts 4 days out when each cycle keeps going substantially colder? Lol panic that winter is slipping away is setting in, apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 By Tuesday, DC may have more seasonal snowfall than CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 That's a pretty strong low on the Ukie. It definitely is strong. But the pressure field that it's in is pretty low overall, so the overall pressure gradient is less than you might ordinarily expect to see with such slp with that pressure. So it doesn't have to deepen quite as much and consequently isn't as impactful from a wind and QPF perspective as a low center with a larger pressure gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Throwing out amounts 4 days out when each cycle keeps going substantially colder? Lol Based on current data. Not my early call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I know, But the Euro does not have There's been a big low signal on the euro and gfs ensembles for a few days now...mostly an ocean storm. I'm not sure it's good for you guys, but it's definitely something Ive been watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 There's been a big low signal on the euro and gfs ensembles for a few days now...mostly an ocean storm. I'm not sure it's good for you guys, but it's definitely something Ive been watching. For sure a better look where you are if it comes to fruition, I would not plan on it back here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 It definitely is strong. But the pressure field that it's in is pretty low overall, so the overall pressure gradient is less than you might ordinarily expect to see with such slp with that pressure. So it doesn't have to deepen quite as much and consequently isn't as impactful from a wind and QPF perspective as a low center with a larger pressure gradient. I mentioned that yesterday. This is why we are seeing like 8-12" amounts. That, and the progressive nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 By Tuesday, DC may have more seasonal snowfall than CT.wrong thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Still trending, though....get that into the low 960s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Throwing out amounts 4 days out when each cycle keeps going substantially colder? Lol How many days ago were you throwing out amounts on this clipper? There's nothing wrong with saying what the most likely scenario is based on the data that one is looking at but also acknowledging that the data can and will change. Is it possible that the energy transfers faster, the storm intensifies more rapidly, and the thermal profile is slightly colder and we get a nice blue bomb. Certainly, but it's just not the most likely scenario based on the current data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 wrong thread? No...it also capture my thoughts on the weekend storm for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 How many days ago were you throwing out amounts on this clipper? There's nothing wrong with saying what the most likely scenario is based on the data that one is looking at but also acknowledging that the data can and will change. Is it possible that the energy transfers faster, the storm intensifies more rapidly, and the thermal profile is slightly colder and we get a nice blue bomb. Certainly, but it's just not the most likely scenario based on the current data. There is no difference, Except you did not hype it and expressed your honest feelings for your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 How many days ago were you throwing out amounts on this clipper? There's nothing wrong with saying what the most likely scenario is based on the data that one is looking at but also acknowledging that the data can and will change. Is it possible that the energy transfers faster, the storm intensifies more rapidly, and the thermal profile is slightly colder and we get a nice blue bomb. Certainly, but it's just not the most likely scenario based on the current data.This clipper was fairly easy to call days in advance. Signs were all there of a nice little event for some/most of the area. Nothing is yet likely with the MLK Storm. Each set of runs trends colder across the board. Until those trends reverse no one has any idea what the outcome will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Going to be a lot of snow where it stays all snow Hopefully! Looks all snow for most of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 This looks like a spring storm. Definitely better higher elevations as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hopefully! Looks all snow for most of NNE. It does right now anyways, But still a lot of time left in the period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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