hosj III Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks 30-40 miles south of 18z. Coming in line with other guidance. Not a big hit yet but at this rate 12z tomorrow should be foot plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Over under on the use of the words tick tad smidge hair for the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks 30-40 miles south of 18z. Coming in line with other guidance. Not a big hit yet but at this rate 12z tomorrow should be foot plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Over under on the use of the words tick tad smidge hair for the nam tick, tad, smidge...over sleet - over Im worried - over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Over under on the use of the words tick tad smidge hair for the nam Usually a good sign it still looks pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks 30-40 miles south of 18z. Coming in line with other guidance. Not a big hit yet but at this rate 12z tomorrow should be foot plus. How far out are you? You've seen out through the end of the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks 30-40 miles south of 18z. Coming in line with other guidance. Not a big hit yet but at this rate 12z tomorrow should be foot plus. At this rate the full run will take an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nam is further east, but not as far east as the 18z GFS. I'd say it came about halfway, PA turnpike should get the Jackpot on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 How far out are you? You've seen out through the end of the storm? Out to 48 on Instantwxmaps. Stormvista might be a hair faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The NAM is a straight beatdown North and West of the Cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwgNAS Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The NAM is a straight beatdown North and West of the Cities. In the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The NAM is a straight beatdown North and West of the Cities. What hour are you out to? through 57 all of MD is above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM seems to be starting to get a clue..I'm only at 54, so not sure how people are saying its a hit anywhere yet, but it's definitely colder, quicker, but it's not even below freezing N and W of the cities yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The NAM is a straight beatdown North and West of the Cities. Of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 A smidge colder, a hair south, and a tad wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Congrats louisville Don't care about Cincy, Columbus or Pitt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM flips just after 0700am in DC, it seems. More precip before than after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Of sleet Vs a complete zero not 6 hours ago...now that's a trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM seems to be starting to get a clue..I'm only at 54, so not sure how people are saying its a hit anywhere yet, but it's definitely colder, quicker, but it's not even below freezing N and W of the cities yet. But the north trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM is sleet 9Z through 15Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What hour are you out to? through 57 all of MD is above freezing Why are you looking at surface temps? Leesburg west is all snow from 6Z on. In the city? 850 Line is basically straddling the cities out through 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 At 60 the NAM is definitely a good 50ish miles south. and definitely colder at 850s and surface. should be just the beginning of the NAM correction. also faster then 18z. not sure why anyone would take this fail of a model seriously lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM still won't get it done, but it's an improvement and noticeable shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Of sleet Not for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Carroll County mixes with snow at 15Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The only takeaway anybody needs from the NAM is that it just went toward the GFS. If it were on to something bad it would have held it or gotten worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not for everyone Winchester is... there is a warm layer at 700-800mb... at hr 54, 775-800mb are nearly +5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Carroll County mixes with snow at 15Z Carroll County? They should be colder and faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The only takeaway anybody needs from the NAM is that it just went toward the GFS. If it were on to something bad it would have held it or gotten worse Pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The only takeaway anybody needs from the NAM is that it just went toward the GFS. If it were on to something bad it would have held it or gotten worse Good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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