Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Joe...the nam precip graphics show MDT with less than 0.25" total qpf for tomorrow night's event. What data are you looking at?? Maybe you misread it and it is actually 0.21" ? I fat thumbed the wrong number on my phone, sorry! :/ CTP going with 3-5 for the Mason-Dixon counties and one tier north it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I fat thumbed the wrong number on my phone, sorry! :/ CTP going with 3-5 for the Mason-Dixon counties and one tier north it seems. Well, I think you nailed it the other day. This appears to be a 22 and south event. CTP's snow map has 3-4 from 22 south and 4-6 from turnpike and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I fat thumbed the wrong number on my phone, sorry! :/ CTP going with 3-5 for the Mason-Dixon counties and one tier north it seems. i had -1 this morning at 530 when i let the dogs out. another light fluffy snow for Tuesday, what its gonna be, like 18 or 19:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Got down to -2 it looks like at Millersville. No record, but not bad at all. I think a solid 3-6" south of Rt 30 and 1-3" from I80 to turnpike. 2-4" from turnpike to north side of Rt 30. Cold powder and not a single flake will be wasted. Enjoy everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Looks like it went calm long enough to hit -11 at the airport. Damn impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Got down to -2 it looks like at Millersville. No record, but not bad at all. I think a solid 3-6" south of Rt 30 and 1-3" from I80 to turnpike. 2-4" from turnpike to north side of Rt 30. Cold powder and not a single flake will be wasted. Enjoy everyone I had -2 as well. Looks like a wintry week with storm tonight, possible squalls Wednesday, then another shot of artic air to finish the week. Should be good times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I had -2 as well. Looks like a wintry week with storm tonight, possible squalls Wednesday, then another shot of artic air to finish the week. Should be good timesYessir. Snow will be of the powder variety too. It'll actually look and feel winter down here for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yessir. Snow will be of the powder variety too. It'll actually look and feel winter down here for once Love the powder. I've managed to hold onto this 2" of a glacier snowpack the last couple weeks that's kept the winter feel going. My highest snow depth has only been 5" this season but hasn't dropped below 2" since Jan. 22nd. Pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Easily the coldest I've experienced here. -14.5° in Bellefonte this morning. Frozen pipes and no running water at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 -3.2 here this morning. I had 2 mornings that were colder last winter, but very, very impressive for mid February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 i had -1 this morning at 530 when i let the dogs out. another light fluffy snow for Tuesday, what its gonna be, like 18 or 19:1? Climo for our sub-fourm is 12:1, with 15:1 in the lake effect region. You really wanted the 850 temps to be -10 to -20. This presentation is part of my snow forecasting folder on my computer. Next to the KU books, (autographed personally by the authors :nerd: ) this is my go-to. Link: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/snowfcst/snow.pdf Take note for this storm Slide 30. What we need for big snow and good ratios: 1.) 850 temps around -10 to -15 celcius (CHECK) 2.) Strengthening 850 low (KINDA, at the very least you need a closed 850 low) 3.) Your region is to the LEFT of the 850 low track (CHECK, but we want to be within 90 nautical miles, and we are further away. Still, no question of precip type). 4.) Little to no warming along, to hamper the snow growth region (CHECK). I also like Slide 39 and 40 (The Cook Method & Garcia Technique). For establishing the most likely / highest snowfall potential. It lines up well with the currently NWS thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 -8 for the low last night - currently @-7 it doesn't look like it is going to get above freezing this work week. Try and stay warm today!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 -32 looks to be the coldest report received by CTP way up in Warren county. A solid 2-3" event as displayed on CTPs snow map would be nice to keep the snowpack going strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 -32 looks to be the coldest report received by CTP way up in Warren county. A solid 2-3" event as displayed on CTPs snow map would be nice to keep the snowpack going strong. yep, -32 was the coldest coop report I could find (Chandlers Valley) with Kane recording a -28 ***Only 10 degrees from the all time -42 mark. Impressive*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We missed the record by one degree....drop ended at -4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Per CTP: 2-16-2015: 620am ESTExtreme Cold Perspective: The PA state record low is -42° at Smethport (McKean County) on 1/5/1904. Low Temperatures this morning in the same area are -25° to -35°F. In other words, we came within 7 degrees of breaking the statewide record low for Pennsylvania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Nice: 000SXUS71 KPBZ 161323RERDUJRECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA0821 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT DUBOIS...A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF -17 DEGREES WAS SET AT DUBOIS TODAY.THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF -10 SET IN 1963. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Easily the coldest I've experienced here. -14.5° in Bellefonte this morning. Frozen pipes and no running water at work. Well, woke up to no running water here this morning. There was a water main break that is affecting our entire subdivision. Don't know when it will be repaired. Oh joy. Went to bed at 1:30 with a temperature of +1F and only managed a low of -1F. Winds barely went calm for a short time around 5:00am and that is when the temp dropped to reach the low. If we get the 3-5" NWS is forecasting, then with a deeper snowpack the next arctic blast may produce negative temps below -1F here I would think. I'm hoping for something more than 3" since that has been my highest single storm total for the entire winter. I've had like 6 2" events here since November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This seems to be a pretty useful and comprehensive resource. Is anyone using it - what are your thoughts about it? Thanks. http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/conus.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Remember folks, mPING is your friend. Be sure to file those reports on your phone when the precip starts falling! http://mping.nssl.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This seems to be a pretty useful and comprehensive resource. Is anyone using it - what are your thoughts about it? Thanks. http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/conus.php I've found this view is a bit more friendly on the eye: http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/nemetro.php#tabs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Hit -7.8 at 5:09 am and have been rising ever since. Kind of strange to start rising that early while the airport was still falling. Now reading -2.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I've found this view is a bit more friendly on the eye: http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/nemetro.php#tabs Thanks. But it's the same resource - just a different view - which is easily changed. My question is does anyone think this in its entirety is a great resource, not-so-much, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Thanks. But it's the same resource - just a different view - which is easily changed. My question is does anyone think this in its entirety is a great resource, not-so-much, etc. Yes it is a good resource, IMO. A view like this helps you look at the way different weather offices are forecasting and working the timing of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Think MDT bottomed out at 0 and missed the record by one degree. Bummer! WWA up for us, 1-" expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 we bottomed out at -11f. when I left for work it was -2 (8:00 am). good start to the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Wife's car was dead this morning. Was 0 here when I woke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Think MDT bottomed out at 0 and missed the record by one degree. Bummer! WWA up for us, 1-" expected. MDT just will not break 0... that was lowest last winter too... still has been since Feb 6 1996 since MDT last reporting a reading below 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yes it is a good resource, IMO. A view like this helps you look at the way different weather offices are forecasting and working the timing of the storm. Thanks so much! It's good to have a knowledgeable opinion - especially since I know so little myself. But I'm trying to learn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yup MDT and t tied recorded: @NWSStateCollege: Looks like a tie for #record lows at Harrisburg (0°) and Williamsport (-5°). Both records are 110 years old. #PAwx #ctpwx It is 1 here now, I know I hit at least -1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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