Wow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Boom by 102... big dump of snow for I-85 and NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Gosh at 93 if that Baja low can eject out just a tad quicker the western energy diving is waiting and diving south more so this cycle. Big area of precip breaking out over the southeast states though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 2m temps skyrocket at 102. Edit: Look better at 108 during evening hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sure is Burger. Sped up, and it is golden.\ 12z is very close to where we want it. Sadly it's just a case of bad timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Wow 105! GFS goes BOOM in NC....from about CLT north it's cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 @108! Lots of snow ATL north and NC....this is a good run!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Boom is right! Large QPF push as the Low pop off the coast of NC. Boom by 102.. Also at 108. Nice fetch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Anxious to see what the doc says. I think the GFS could either be an outlier or its on to something. Guess well find out by sunday. The sooner that first wave gets here the better, just hope it dont fizzle out before hand. Edit: love the look on the GFS wouldn't take much more interaction to give many a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 2m temps skyrocket at 102. Edit: Look better at 108 during evening hours. I thinks these temps are too warm considering the low DP temperatures across the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The first wave isn't going to give us NC folks the goods, anyways. I'd prefer the second wave with its big potental. Of couse, folks S/E won't agree, but in the end we're all rooting for our backyards. This is not a winter of charity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 @108! Lots of snow ATL north and NC....this is a good run!! This is what a lot of the 0z and 6z GEFS members were showing. Sfc temps are pretty warm for AL/GA/SC but this is a self-admitted bias of the new GFS. I would expect to see a nice wide swath of snow across N MS/N AL/N GA/N SC/TN/W & C NC and up into the mid atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The first wave isn't going to give us NC folks the goods, anyways. I'd prefer the second wave with its big potental. I don't care what wave it is as long as we get the good stuff in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Anyone still worried about this missing south...never learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Not sure why GA doesn't have more snow on this run...this is a trend we want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Snowfall map through 114 blanks the NC mountains but picks up in the lee side down int he upstate and back into towards KGSO with a nice swath of 4-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 12Z GFS is a major event for the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 snow fall maps don't look bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I absolutely love where I sit right now. I may be getting the grazing right now but at 105 that heavy precip is just training just to my south. I feel it may shift north in the coming cycles. That was a hell of a run everything was almost money there with all the interactions etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 We need the GFS with just more precip. Have the first wave give a few inches to the southern parts of the region that don't usually see snow and then the coastal will bury those of us in the more favorable locations. If we're only going to get one storm this year may as well go all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hartweather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Is this similar to our storm last year? I think it was around this same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Is this similar to our storm last year? I think it was around this same time. Today is the 1 year anniversary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Both the GFS and NAM have the northern energy dropping more vertically and further west which picks up the BAHA low. Something to watch on future models and runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The baja low weakened to quickly again, but was closer. This will trend stronger more NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 CLT can't get warmer than +1 at 850's...hard to tell though with my maps. Butkif will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I feel like we'd want precip in here as soon as possible to lock in and reinforce the wedge, if HP is moving out. If we don't get that, the wedge could erode faster than we'd like to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 ensembles will be interesting for that first wave, hope we can get it to come in and lay down an inch or two before the big dog comes in tues/weds. seems the gfs op is out to lunch killing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 CLT can't get warmer than +1 at 850's...hard to tell though with my maps. Butkif will be interesting. It's a snow sounding, best I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I feel like we'd want precip in here as soon as possible to lock in and reinforce the wedge, if HP is moving out. If we don't get that, the wedge could erode faster than we'd like to see. The 12z GFS was a great run for our area The only questions would be how much mixing would occur. At 108 the low resolution p-type shows ice over the Triangle, but snow before hand. After this the low would be pulling away with a possible return to snow. Basically (as we all know) many things are still possible. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=108ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_108_dom_precip_type.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=dom_precip_type&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150213+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Interesting that the difference between qpf in parts of northeast GA went from .10 to .5 and .75 through hour 126. Noticeable shift there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 12z GFS at hour 120 for 24 hour total precip (looks like RDU right at .75): http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=120ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_120_precip_p24.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p24&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150213+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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