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About tnweathernut

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  • Birthday April 26

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  • Location:
    Johnson City, TN

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  1. tnweathernut

    Winter 2018-2019 Observations

    Pretty amazing what deep snow pack can do......... We have a dying air mass and areas with deep snow pack seemed to manage to get down into the low single digits to the mid teens in northeast Tennessee and southwest Virginia. I am always amazed what snow on the ground can do to temps!
  2. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    I noticed that. It was off in Tazewell too, where my in-laws live. Maybe someone can post the final map once noaa revises a finalized map?
  3. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    This should probably go in the obs section, but in later years while searching for this storm i thought it would be appropriate to have the accumulations map so you could not only see the storm discussion, but the map for how the storm turned out.... if mods would prefer to move it, no worries. I just know if I’m looking for this storm in future years I won’t be searching for the obs. haha
  4. tnweathernut

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    What a finish in the TN game. When Williams fouled out, I didnt think they had a chance..... I didn’t know Schofield had that kind of offensive game in him, and certainly didn’t think he had game enough to single handedly beat #1 on the road. Great win! This game and the Kansas game will prepare them to be ready come March. This team has both the ability and desire to be great.... and they are really fun to watch.
  5. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Boone’s Creek on the Jonesborough side we have 8 inches. Congrats to all those that scored some snow. Hopefully the next one will be much more widespread!
  6. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Where are you located, VolMan? Seems some of those against the mountains have seen less, but those toward Kingsport have seen the heaviest. The models that showed the mountain shadow and the enhancements toward Sullivan seem to have done well.
  7. tnweathernut

    December 2018 Pattern And Forecast Discussion

    I’d bet a dollar to a donut, @Math/Met is searching for a mountain wave event with the look of the system on the 14th and 15th......
  8. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    The higher the ratio the more fluffy (easy to shovel) snow is. Average rates are around 10:1. 15 or 20:1 is possible when all layers of the atmosphere are very cold. The lower the ratio the heavier the snow. 5:1 to 8:1 is extremely heavy and much harder to shovel having a higher water content. Anything with these ratios where more than 5 to 6 inches falls and there will likely be a lot of downed limbs and power lines. I suspect electric companies will likely be busy with this storm in northeast TN if the forecast pans out.
  9. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    I see MathMet lurking, hope you are doing well. We all probably MBY focused on some level, but I’d like to know if you have an opinion of the mesoscale models showing the downslope this AM? If your prior opinion still stands no worries about a response, I know you have to be busy....lol overall modeling seems to be converging on a heavy northeast (maybe much of east) TN snow. It’s funny I’m almost obsessing about the trailing piece of energy as much as the main system. I find that discrete feature fascinating!
  10. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    I have been so busy looking at most I haven’t looked at what is actually going on. Is this precipitation way ahead of schedule??
  11. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Some modeling is still holding onto the idea there is a second impulse in the flow that increases precipitation after the main event. MRX even talked about having to keep their eye on it in their afternoon discussion. If you swing and miss the first pitch, maybe you will get another chance with the second (assuming it’s a real possibility and not just model hallucinations, lol).
  12. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Yep, that was 12z. 18z just initialized.
  13. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    I noticed that for MBY on the 18z 3k NAM. It looked like a band developed at the tail end (almost like a squall line) and lifted north throughout northeast TN. The snow shows as red, the highest possible intensity. Pretty crazy!
  14. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    UKMET at 12z continued the trend of more precip north and west. Still a SHARP cutoff, but northeast TN would likely do very well with this depiction.
  15. tnweathernut

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    It will likely just mean we can get NAM'd at longer leads. lol The snow maps for the FV3 are pretty. Would be nice if we all found out they were legit, but i'm not sure any met is buying into them. Overall though, I will say the FV3 has been MUCH more steady and hasn't jumped around like the current GFS. Baby steps..............