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tnweathernut

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About tnweathernut

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    East_TN_Snowhound
  • Birthday April 26

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTRI
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    Male
  • Location:
    Johnson City, TN

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  1. So, basically a higher resolution version of the DGEX. That's great for digital snow, not so much for actual snow.
  2. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    It might be like this year and we might not know what next winter is going to be like until it's almost over. lol I am with you on the needing dry weather front. We definitely need to catch a break from all the juice! Unfortunately, that part looks a given the next 10-14.
  3. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    I have almost gotten to the point I will be skeptical of everything moving forward. Going into this year we had virtually everything pointing to a fantastic mid to late winter. An early SSW with a split and big time wind reversal. LR map after LR map things were looking optimal. Experts almost across the board were laying their chips down for an extended winter stretch. Virtually every index we look at was favorable. Now here we are blaming the MJO for ruining winter for the east and probably not sure of that, even though many (myself included) think it's largely to blame. Even some saying the SSW not only didn't help, but hurt? We just haven't advanced to a point where LR forecasting is anything but an educated guess. We did have a recent winter where LR forecasts were for warmth that never arrived. So I guess it goes both ways, but it drives a person mad trying to figure out what could go wrong. I guess in a nutshell in the south, just about everything can go wrong for snow lovers... lol
  4. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    I believe the general look at 500 was forecast well in advance. I remember a couple of weeks ago thinking the PAC northwest could have a lot of winter if the maps verified. By comparison, it's hard to believe Boston is sitting at 2.3" (or they were several days ago)
  5. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    Maybe next year we get the actual weak Nino and combine it with non-existent solar. I know it's the south and all, but we seem pretty good at going on crappy winter "streaks". Would be nice to work into a 3 of 5 year period where winter slaps us in the face. Might have a better chance of hitting little lotto though.
  6. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    I agree. Just the fact the pattern has shown in the long range and never materialized is a reason to put this winter in the least favorable. The LR has been one big tease for the last 7-8 weeks.
  7. speaking as a southerner, you lost me right about .....................here.
  8. The problem with his proclamation is people will remember the snow against what he said. He will be viewed as wrong (and likely already is by many that just got snow) regarding no winter in the east through the 28th. You guys get one or two more wintry systems in the next 6-10 and the egg is not only on his face, but so thick he will need a chisel to get it all off. Good luck with that sneaky system for Saturday, maybe you guys can back into one. Pulling for the MA, just to see DT go down in flames. Any snow in Richmond, would be icing on the cake.
  9. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    There's a decent signal on the 12z EPS for a storm out of the gulf in the 7-10. Long way to go to get to that pretty look thrown by the 12z GFS (you know, the model that's so bad they are replacing it?) lol
  10. tnweathernut

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    Not sure I'm ready to get reeled back in just yet, but I will say if the blocking in the Atlantic is real and the 50/50 is strong and well placed, these solutions being seen on OP's aren't a lock to move more northwest (as is typical) as we get closer. If the confluence is a touch stronger, one of these systems that likely follows a cutter could be a mid-south/southeast system vs. a midatlantic/northeast system. Still a LONG way out (what hasn't been this winter, right?) but the LR looks in general seem to be progressing the last couple of days and that's a good first step. Pretty sure we will see a few more fantasy snows being thrown by the OP's this week. Devil's advocate - we are working toward a period that is really late in the year for a large part of our forum wrt wintry weather. That of course doesn't take the chances to zero for all of our forum, but we will find ourselves in a race against the clock very soon.
  11. tnweathernut

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    Only the NCAA can punish so arbitrarily. The NCAA gave Tennessee's basketball coach a TWO year show cause for lying about a BBQ, but then let North Carolina off without any punishment for the worst academic fraud in college sports history. "The N.C.A.A. did not dispute that the University of North Carolina was guilty of running one of the worst academic fraud schemes in college sports history, involving fake classes that enabled dozens of athletes to gain and maintain their eligibility. In a ruling that caused head-scratching everywhere except Chapel Hill, the N.C.A.A. announced on Friday that it could not punish the university or its athletics program because the “paper” classes were not available exclusively to athletes. Other students at North Carolina had access to the fraudulent classes, too." New York Times
  12. tnweathernut

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    Just saw where Kansas guard Vick is taking an immediate leave of absence. First their big guy, then a guard.... not good in Jayhawk land. :-(
  13. tnweathernut

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    Good luck against K-State. I don't have a great feeling about Missouri, at least not in the obliterate department. Won't surprise me to see a close game. I think the boys are looking ahead to the weekend game against FL. I also haven't given up on winter, but once we have the first warm spell in February I lose interest in looking at LR maps for winter prospects. I am in the camp that says if we score it's likely to be something that sneaks up on us inside of 5 days.
  14. tnweathernut

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    I was thinking the same thing. Need more games like the last to know for sure, but they definitely righted the ship against top 25, TT. I'm also ready for some TN/KY action. Should be a couple of really good games. Plus, playing Texas A&M over the weekend and only getting 4 FT's the entire game was a good tune up for what we normally see inside Rupp. haha
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